Sporting Lagos

VS Scheduled Sunday 22 Nov 202615:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 14

Recent matches

Sporting Lagos

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Sporting Lagos1–1Barau
2026-09-23	26/27	Enyimba2–3Sporting Lagos
2026-09-20	26/27	Sporting Lagos0–2Abia
2026-09-13	26/27	Inter Lagos0–3Sporting Lagos
2026-08-30	26/27	Doma United2–0Sporting Lagos

Kwara Utd

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Kun Khalifat1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-23	26/27	Kwara Utd2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-09-20	26/27	Warri1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-13	26/27	Kwara Utd3–0Katsina Utd
2026-09-06	26/27	Plateau Utd1–0Kwara Utd
2026-08-30	26/27	Kwara Utd2–2Kano Pillars

Sporting Lagos Kwara Utd

Wins

40%

33%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

50%

Both teams scored

40%

33%

Clean sheets

20%

17%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sporting Lagos

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Sporting Lagos	1–1	Barau	1	35′ Away
12	Sporting Lagos		Rivers Utd	2
12	Sporting Lagos		Plateau Utd	3
12	Sporting Lagos		Enugu	4
12	Sporting Lagos		Doma United	5
12	Sporting Lagos		Kano Pillars	6
12	Sporting Lagos		Bendel Ins.	7
12	Sporting Lagos		Ikorodu City	8
12	Sporting Lagos	0–2	Abia	9	87′ Away
12	Sporting Lagos		Kwara Utd	10
12	Sporting Lagos		Ranchers Bees	11
12 · Sporting Lagos
12	Sporting Lagos		Warri	13
12	Sporting Lagos		Nasarawa Utd	14
12	Sporting Lagos		Katsina Utd	15
12	Sporting Lagos		Shooting Stars	16
12	Sporting Lagos		Tornadoes	17
12	Sporting Lagos		Kun Khalifat	18
12	Sporting Lagos		Inter Lagos	19
12	Sporting Lagos		Enyimba	20

Kwara Utd

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau		Kwara Utd	10
2	Rivers Utd		Kwara Utd	10
3	Plateau Utd	1–0	Kwara Utd	10	29′ Home
4	Enugu		Kwara Utd	10
5	Doma United		Kwara Utd	10
6	Kano Pillars		Kwara Utd	10
7	Bendel Ins.		Kwara Utd	10
8	Ikorodu City		Kwara Utd	10
9	Abia		Kwara Utd	10
10 · Kwara Utd
11	Ranchers Bees		Kwara Utd	10
12	Sporting Lagos		Kwara Utd	10
13	Warri	1–0	Kwara Utd	10	8′ Home
14	Nasarawa Utd		Kwara Utd	10
15	Katsina Utd		Kwara Utd	10
16	Shooting Stars		Kwara Utd	10
17	Tornadoes		Kwara Utd	10
18	Kun Khalifat	1–0	Kwara Utd	10	64′ Home
19	Inter Lagos		Kwara Utd	10
20	Enyimba		Kwara Utd	10

Sporting Lagos Home Kwara Utd Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

100%

0%

Over 2.5

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

50%

0%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sporting Lagos

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	0.50	2.00	1.40
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	2.00	1.40
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.33	1.40
Total goals / match	2.00	3.33	2.80
Failed to score	50.0%	33.3%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	33.3%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Kwara Utd

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	0.00	1.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.33	0.00	1.17
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	3.33	1.00	2.17
Failed to score	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sporting Lagos	Draw	Kwara Utd	How it works
Strength (Elo)	44.8%	24.4%	30.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	15.6%	21.5%	61.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.83–1.91 Model expected goals

50.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.2% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 12.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-112.4%

0-211.8%

1-110.2%

1-29.8%

0-37.5%

0-06.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sporting Lagos	Kwara Utd	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1500	1494	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	12	-4	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1494	1486	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sporting Lagos	0.20	1.20	0.60	0.80
Kwara Utd	0.33	0.83	0.83	0.17

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sporting Lagos	0%	0%	60%	20%	20%
Kwara Utd	0%	50%	0%	33%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.50 Sporting Lagos at home, 2 matches

0.00 Kwara Utd away, 3 matches

57d Days of rest for Sporting Lagos

56d Days of rest for Kwara Utd

— Manager of Sporting Lagos

— Manager of Kwara Utd

0 Matches for Sporting Lagos in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Kwara Utd in the last 14 days

5 Points for Sporting Lagos behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Kwara Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sporting Lagos, the right bar represents Kwara Utd.

On the ball

20 matches

5.8

corners

1.0

12.0

fouls

16.0

2.0

yellow cards

—

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sporting Lagos	DWLWL	1.40	1.40–1.40	1D
Kwara Utd	LWLWLD	1.17	1.17–1.00	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sporting Lagos	1	1	3	1	0
Kwara Utd	1	2	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sporting Lagos

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Kwara Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.