Sporting Lagos

VS Scheduled Saturday 5 Dec 202615:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 16

Recent matches

Sporting Lagos

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Sporting Lagos1–1Barau
2026-09-23	26/27	Enyimba2–3Sporting Lagos
2026-09-20	26/27	Sporting Lagos0–2Abia
2026-09-13	26/27	Inter Lagos0–3Sporting Lagos
2026-08-30	26/27	Doma United2–0Sporting Lagos

Tornadoes

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Nasarawa Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-23	26/27	Tornadoes0–0Warri
2026-09-19	26/27	Katsina Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-14	26/27	Tornadoes1–1Plateau Utd
2026-09-06	26/27	Kano Pillars3–2Tornadoes
2026-08-30	26/27	Tornadoes2–1Enyimba

Sporting Lagos Tornadoes

Wins

40%

17%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

33%

Both teams scored

40%

50%

Clean sheets

20%

17%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sporting Lagos

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Sporting Lagos	1–1	Barau	1	35′ Away
12	Sporting Lagos		Rivers Utd	2
12	Sporting Lagos		Plateau Utd	3
12	Sporting Lagos		Enugu	4
12	Sporting Lagos		Doma United	5
12	Sporting Lagos		Kano Pillars	6
12	Sporting Lagos		Bendel Ins.	7
12	Sporting Lagos		Ikorodu City	8
12	Sporting Lagos	0–2	Abia	9	87′ Away
12	Sporting Lagos		Kwara Utd	10
12	Sporting Lagos		Ranchers Bees	11
12 · Sporting Lagos
12	Sporting Lagos		Warri	13
12	Sporting Lagos		Nasarawa Utd	14
12	Sporting Lagos		Katsina Utd	15
12	Sporting Lagos		Shooting Stars	16
12	Sporting Lagos		Tornadoes	17
12	Sporting Lagos		Kun Khalifat	18
12	Sporting Lagos		Inter Lagos	19
12	Sporting Lagos		Enyimba	20

Tornadoes

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau		Tornadoes	17
2	Rivers Utd		Tornadoes	17
3	Plateau Utd		Tornadoes	17
4	Enugu		Tornadoes	17
5	Doma United		Tornadoes	17
6	Kano Pillars	3–2	Tornadoes	17	40′ Home
7	Bendel Ins.		Tornadoes	17
8	Ikorodu City		Tornadoes	17
9	Abia		Tornadoes	17
10	Kwara Utd		Tornadoes	17
11	Ranchers Bees		Tornadoes	17
12	Sporting Lagos		Tornadoes	17
13	Warri		Tornadoes	17
14	Nasarawa Utd	1–0	Tornadoes	17	20′ Home
15	Katsina Utd	1–0	Tornadoes	17	21′ Home
16	Shooting Stars		Tornadoes	17
17 · Tornadoes
18	Kun Khalifat		Tornadoes	17
19	Inter Lagos		Tornadoes	17
20	Enyimba		Tornadoes	17

Sporting Lagos Home Tornadoes Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

100%

33%

Over 2.5

0%

33%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

33%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sporting Lagos

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	0.50	2.00	1.40
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	2.00	1.40
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.33	1.40
Total goals / match	2.00	3.33	2.80
Failed to score	50.0%	33.3%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	33.3%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Tornadoes

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.67	0.00	0.83
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.67	0.83
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.67	1.17
Total goals / match	1.67	2.33	2.00
Failed to score	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sporting Lagos	Draw	Tornadoes	How it works
Strength (Elo)	46.7%	23.9%	29.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	24.0%	25.8%	49.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.97–1.52 Model expected goals

44.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

48.2% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 12.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-112.6%

1-112.2%

0-29.6%

1-29.3%

0-08.3%

1-08.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sporting Lagos	Tornadoes	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1500	1479	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	12	-29	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1494	1492	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sporting Lagos	0.20	1.20	0.60	0.80
Tornadoes	0.17	0.67	0.83	0.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sporting Lagos	0%	0%	60%	20%	20%
Tornadoes	17%	33%	17%	17%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.50 Sporting Lagos at home, 2 matches

0.00 Tornadoes away, 3 matches

70d Days of rest for Sporting Lagos

69d Days of rest for Tornadoes

— Manager of Sporting Lagos

— Manager of Tornadoes

0 Matches for Sporting Lagos in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Tornadoes in the last 14 days

5 Points for Sporting Lagos behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

7 Points for Tornadoes behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sporting Lagos, the right bar represents Tornadoes.

On the ball

20 matches

5.8

corners

5.67

12.0

fouls

17.0

2.0

yellow cards

1.25

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sporting Lagos	DWLWL	1.40	1.40–1.40	1D
Tornadoes	LDLDLW	0.83	0.83–1.17	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sporting Lagos	1	1	3	1	0
Tornadoes	1	1	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sporting Lagos

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Tornadoes

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.