Shooting Stars

Shooting Stars

VS Scheduled Sunday 13 Dec 202615:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 17

Tornadoes

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Warri1–0Shooting Stars
2026-09-23	26/27	Shooting Stars2–0Katsina Utd
2026-09-20	26/27	Plateau Utd3–1Shooting Stars
2026-08-28	26/27	Shooting Stars2–1Inter Lagos

Tornadoes

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Nasarawa Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-23	26/27	Tornadoes0–0Warri
2026-09-19	26/27	Katsina Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-14	26/27	Tornadoes1–1Plateau Utd
2026-09-06	26/27	Kano Pillars3–2Tornadoes
2026-08-30	26/27	Tornadoes2–1Enyimba

Shooting Stars Tornadoes

Wins

50%

17%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

25%

17%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Shooting Stars

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
16	Shooting Stars		Barau	1
16	Shooting Stars		Rivers Utd	2
16	Shooting Stars		Plateau Utd	3
16	Shooting Stars		Enugu	4
16	Shooting Stars		Doma United	5
16	Shooting Stars		Kano Pillars	6
16	Shooting Stars		Bendel Ins.	7
16	Shooting Stars		Ikorodu City	8
16	Shooting Stars		Abia	9
16	Shooting Stars		Kwara Utd	10
16	Shooting Stars		Ranchers Bees	11
16	Shooting Stars		Sporting Lagos	12
16	Shooting Stars		Warri	13
16	Shooting Stars		Nasarawa Utd	14
16	Shooting Stars	2–0	Katsina Utd	15	20′ Home
16 · Shooting Stars
16	Shooting Stars		Tornadoes	17
16	Shooting Stars		Kun Khalifat	18
16	Shooting Stars	2–1	Inter Lagos	19	—
16	Shooting Stars		Enyimba	20

Tornadoes

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau		Tornadoes	17
2	Rivers Utd		Tornadoes	17
3	Plateau Utd		Tornadoes	17
4	Enugu		Tornadoes	17
5	Doma United		Tornadoes	17
6	Kano Pillars	3–2	Tornadoes	17	40′ Home
7	Bendel Ins.		Tornadoes	17
8	Ikorodu City		Tornadoes	17
9	Abia		Tornadoes	17
10	Kwara Utd		Tornadoes	17
11	Ranchers Bees		Tornadoes	17
12	Sporting Lagos		Tornadoes	17
13	Warri		Tornadoes	17
14	Nasarawa Utd	1–0	Tornadoes	17	20′ Home
15	Katsina Utd	1–0	Tornadoes	17	21′ Home
16	Shooting Stars		Tornadoes	17
17 · Tornadoes
18	Kun Khalifat		Tornadoes	17
19	Inter Lagos		Tornadoes	17
20	Enyimba		Tornadoes	17

Shooting Stars Home Tornadoes Away

Wins

100%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

33%

Over 2.5

50%

33%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

33%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

N/A

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Shooting Stars

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.00	1.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.50	1.25
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.00	1.25
Total goals / match	2.50	2.50	2.50
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 1/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Tornadoes

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.67	0.00	0.83
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.67	0.83
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.67	1.17
Total goals / match	1.67	2.33	2.00
Failed to score	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Shooting Stars	Draw	Tornadoes	How it works
Strength (Elo)	46.7%	23.9%	29.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	23.8%	27.8%	48.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.86–1.36 Model expected goals

38.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

42.8% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 14.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-114.7%

1-112.7%

0-010.8%

0-210.0%

1-09.4%

1-28.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Shooting Stars	Tornadoes	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1499	1479	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-9	-29	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1496	1492	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Shooting Stars	1.00	0.25	0.50	0.75
Tornadoes	0.17	0.67	0.83	0.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Shooting Stars	0%	25%	25%	25%	25%
Tornadoes	17%	33%	17%	17%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Shooting Stars at home, 2 matches

0.00 Tornadoes away, 3 matches

77d Days of rest for Shooting Stars

77d Days of rest for Tornadoes

— Manager of Shooting Stars

— Manager of Tornadoes

0 Matches for Shooting Stars in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Tornadoes in the last 14 days

6 Points for Shooting Stars behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

7 Points for Tornadoes behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Shooting Stars, the right bar represents Tornadoes.

On the ball

20 matches

4.0

corners

5.67

18.0

fouls

17.0

1.33

yellow cards

1.25

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Shooting Stars	LWLW	1.50	1.25–1.25	1L
Tornadoes	LDLDLW	0.83	0.83–1.17	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Shooting Stars	3	0	1	0	1
Tornadoes	1	1	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Shooting Stars

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Tornadoes

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.