Katsina Utd

Katsina Utd

VS Scheduled Sunday 13 Dec 202615:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 17

Abia

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Katsina Utd2–1Doma United
2026-09-23	26/27	Shooting Stars2–0Katsina Utd
2026-09-19	26/27	Katsina Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-13	26/27	Kwara Utd3–0Katsina Utd
2026-08-30	26/27	Enugu1–1Katsina Utd

Abia

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Abia3–0Bendel Ins.
2026-09-23	26/27	Barau2–0Abia
2026-09-20	26/27	Sporting Lagos0–2Abia
2026-09-13	26/27	Abia2–2Ikorodu City
2026-09-07	26/27	Ranchers Bees4–0Abia
2026-08-30	26/27	Abia0–0Kun Khalifat

Katsina Utd Abia

Wins

40%

33%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

50%

Both teams scored

40%

17%

Clean sheets

20%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Katsina Utd

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Katsina Utd		Barau	1
15	Katsina Utd		Rivers Utd	2
15	Katsina Utd		Plateau Utd	3
15	Katsina Utd		Enugu	4
15	Katsina Utd	2–1	Doma United	5	24′ Home
15	Katsina Utd		Kano Pillars	6
15	Katsina Utd		Bendel Ins.	7
15	Katsina Utd		Ikorodu City	8
15	Katsina Utd		Abia	9
15	Katsina Utd		Kwara Utd	10
15	Katsina Utd		Ranchers Bees	11
15	Katsina Utd		Sporting Lagos	12
15	Katsina Utd		Warri	13
15	Katsina Utd		Nasarawa Utd	14
15 · Katsina Utd
15	Katsina Utd		Shooting Stars	16
15	Katsina Utd	1–0	Tornadoes	17	21′ Home
15	Katsina Utd		Kun Khalifat	18
15	Katsina Utd		Inter Lagos	19
15	Katsina Utd		Enyimba	20

Abia

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau	2–0	Abia	9	22′ Home
2	Rivers Utd		Abia	9
3	Plateau Utd		Abia	9
4	Enugu		Abia	9
5	Doma United		Abia	9
6	Kano Pillars		Abia	9
7	Bendel Ins.		Abia	9
8	Ikorodu City		Abia	9
9 · Abia
10	Kwara Utd		Abia	9
11	Ranchers Bees	4–0	Abia	9	41′ Home
12	Sporting Lagos	0–2	Abia	9	87′ Away
13	Warri		Abia	9
14	Nasarawa Utd		Abia	9
15	Katsina Utd		Abia	9
16	Shooting Stars		Abia	9
17	Tornadoes		Abia	9
18	Kun Khalifat		Abia	9
19	Inter Lagos		Abia	9
20	Enyimba		Abia	9

Katsina Utd Home Abia Away

Wins

100%

33%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

50%

33%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

0%

Clean sheets

50%

33%

Scores first

100%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Katsina Utd

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.33	1.40
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.33	0.80
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.00	1.40
Total goals / match	2.00	2.33	2.20
Failed to score	0.0%	66.7%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	66.7%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	2	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Abia

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.67	1.00	1.33
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.67	1.17
Goals conceded / match	0.67	2.00	1.33
Total goals / match	2.33	2.67	2.50
Failed to score	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	2
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Katsina Utd	Draw	Abia	How it works
Strength (Elo)	42.7%	24.9%	32.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	12.4%	20.9%	65.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.68–1.91 Model expected goals

46.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

41.2% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 14.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-114.4%

0-213.7%

1-19.7%

1-29.3%

0-38.7%

0-07.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Katsina Utd	Abia	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1492	1504	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-10	6	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1508	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Katsina Utd	0.60	0.20	0.60	0.80
Abia	0.67	0.50	0.83	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Katsina Utd	0%	20%	40%	40%	0%
Abia	17%	0%	33%	17%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Katsina Utd at home, 2 matches

1.00 Abia away, 3 matches

77d Days of rest for Katsina Utd

77d Days of rest for Abia

— Manager of Katsina Utd

— Manager of Abia

0 Matches for Katsina Utd in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Abia in the last 14 days

5 Points for Katsina Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Abia behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Katsina Utd, the right bar represents Abia.

On the ball

20 matches

4.0

corners

3.0

—

fouls

20.5

2.0

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Katsina Utd	WLWLD	1.40	0.80–1.40	1W
Abia	WLWDLD	1.33	1.17–1.33	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Katsina Utd	2	1	2	0	1
Abia	1	2	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Katsina Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Abia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.