Ikorodu City

Ikorodu City

VS Scheduled Saturday 19 Dec 202615:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 18

Nasarawa Utd

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Ikorodu City2–0Enugu
2026-09-23	26/27	Bendel Ins.2–1Ikorodu City
2026-09-19	26/27	Ikorodu City0–0Barau
2026-09-13	26/27	Abia2–2Ikorodu City
2026-08-30	26/27	Ikorodu City3–1Ranchers Bees

Nasarawa Utd

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Nasarawa Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-23	26/27	Kwara Utd2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-09-20	26/27	Nasarawa Utd1–1Rivers Utd
2026-09-18	26/27	Enugu2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-09-06	26/27	Nasarawa Utd1–0Bendel Ins.
2026-08-30	26/27	Barau3–1Nasarawa Utd

Ikorodu City Nasarawa Utd

Wins

40%

33%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

50%

Both teams scored

60%

67%

Clean sheets

40%

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ikorodu City

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Ikorodu City	0–0	Barau	1	–
8	Ikorodu City		Rivers Utd	2
8	Ikorodu City		Plateau Utd	3
8	Ikorodu City	2–0	Enugu	4	8′ Home
8	Ikorodu City		Doma United	5
8	Ikorodu City		Kano Pillars	6
8	Ikorodu City		Bendel Ins.	7
8 · Ikorodu City
8	Ikorodu City		Abia	9
8	Ikorodu City		Kwara Utd	10
8	Ikorodu City	3–1	Ranchers Bees	11	6′ Away
8	Ikorodu City		Sporting Lagos	12
8	Ikorodu City		Warri	13
8	Ikorodu City		Nasarawa Utd	14
8	Ikorodu City		Katsina Utd	15
8	Ikorodu City		Shooting Stars	16
8	Ikorodu City		Tornadoes	17
8	Ikorodu City		Kun Khalifat	18
8	Ikorodu City		Inter Lagos	19
8	Ikorodu City		Enyimba	20

Nasarawa Utd

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau	3–1	Nasarawa Utd	14	15′ Home
2	Rivers Utd		Nasarawa Utd	14
3	Plateau Utd		Nasarawa Utd	14
4	Enugu	2–1	Nasarawa Utd	14	—
5	Doma United		Nasarawa Utd	14
6	Kano Pillars		Nasarawa Utd	14
7	Bendel Ins.		Nasarawa Utd	14
8	Ikorodu City		Nasarawa Utd	14
9	Abia		Nasarawa Utd	14
10	Kwara Utd	2–1	Nasarawa Utd	14	13′ Home
11	Ranchers Bees		Nasarawa Utd	14
12	Sporting Lagos		Nasarawa Utd	14
13	Warri		Nasarawa Utd	14
14 · Nasarawa Utd
15	Katsina Utd		Nasarawa Utd	14
16	Shooting Stars		Nasarawa Utd	14
17	Tornadoes		Nasarawa Utd	14
18	Kun Khalifat		Nasarawa Utd	14
19	Inter Lagos		Nasarawa Utd	14
20	Enyimba		Nasarawa Utd	14

Ikorodu City Home Nasarawa Utd Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

67%

100%

Over 2.5

33%

100%

Over 3.5

33%

Both teams scored

33%

100%

Clean sheets

67%

0%

Scores first

33%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ikorodu City

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	2.33	0.50	1.60
Draws	33.3%	50.0%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.50	1.60
Goals conceded / match	0.33	2.00	1.00
Total goals / match	2.00	3.50	2.60
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	0.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nasarawa Utd

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	0.00	1.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.33	2.33	1.33
Total goals / match	1.33	3.33	2.33
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	0.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ikorodu City	Draw	Nasarawa Utd	How it works
Strength (Elo)	47.8%	23.5%	28.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	35.3%	26.6%	37.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.26–1.31 Model expected goals

46.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

52.0% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.6%

0-110.0%

1-09.7%

1-28.3%

2-18.0%

0-07.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ikorodu City	Nasarawa Utd	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1517	1488	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	5	0	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1508	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ikorodu City	1.00	0.60	0.40	0.60
Nasarawa Utd	0.67	0.33	0.50	0.83

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ikorodu City	20%	0%	20%	20%	40%
Nasarawa Utd	0%	33%	17%	33%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Ikorodu City at home, 3 matches

0.00 Nasarawa Utd away, 3 matches

83d Days of rest for Ikorodu City

83d Days of rest for Nasarawa Utd

— Manager of Ikorodu City

— Manager of Nasarawa Utd

0 Matches for Ikorodu City in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Nasarawa Utd in the last 14 days

4 Points for Ikorodu City behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Nasarawa Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ikorodu City, the right bar represents Nasarawa Utd.

On the ball

20 matches

5.67

corners

8.0

17.67

fouls

17.5

2.0

yellow cards

1.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ikorodu City	WLDDW	1.60	1.60–1.00	1W
Nasarawa Utd	WLDLWL	1.17	1.00–1.33	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ikorodu City	3	2	0	0	1
Nasarawa Utd	1	5	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ikorodu City

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nasarawa Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.