Warri

Warri

VS Scheduled Wednesday 30 Dec 202615:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 19

Barau

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Warri1–0Shooting Stars
2026-09-23	26/27	Tornadoes0–0Warri
2026-09-20	26/27	Warri1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-16	26/27	Rivers Utd2–0Warri
2026-08-30	26/27	Bendel Ins.2–1Warri

Barau

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Sporting Lagos1–1Barau
2026-09-23	26/27	Barau2–0Abia
2026-09-19	26/27	Ikorodu City0–0Barau
2026-09-13	26/27	Barau3–1Ranchers Bees
2026-09-06	26/27	Kun Khalifat0–0Barau
2026-08-30	26/27	Barau3–1Nasarawa Utd

Warri Barau

Wins

40%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

20%

33%

Both teams scored

20%

50%

Clean sheets

60%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Warri

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Warri		Barau	1
13	Warri		Rivers Utd	2
13	Warri		Plateau Utd	3
13	Warri		Enugu	4
13	Warri		Doma United	5
13	Warri		Kano Pillars	6
13	Warri		Bendel Ins.	7
13	Warri		Ikorodu City	8
13	Warri		Abia	9
13	Warri	1–0	Kwara Utd	10	8′ Home
13	Warri		Ranchers Bees	11
13	Warri		Sporting Lagos	12
13 · Warri
13	Warri		Nasarawa Utd	14
13	Warri		Katsina Utd	15
13	Warri	1–0	Shooting Stars	16	7′ Home
13	Warri		Tornadoes	17
13	Warri		Kun Khalifat	18
13	Warri		Inter Lagos	19
13	Warri		Enyimba	20

Barau

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Barau
2	Rivers Utd		Barau	1
3	Plateau Utd		Barau	1
4	Enugu		Barau	1
5	Doma United		Barau	1
6	Kano Pillars		Barau	1
7	Bendel Ins.		Barau	1
8	Ikorodu City	0–0	Barau	1	–
9	Abia		Barau	1
10	Kwara Utd		Barau	1
11	Ranchers Bees		Barau	1
12	Sporting Lagos	1–1	Barau	1	35′ Away
13	Warri		Barau	1
14	Nasarawa Utd		Barau	1
15	Katsina Utd		Barau	1
16	Shooting Stars		Barau	1
17	Tornadoes		Barau	1
18	Kun Khalifat	0–0	Barau	1	–
19	Inter Lagos		Barau	1
20	Enyimba		Barau	1

Warri Home Barau Away

Wins

100%

0%

Over 1.5

0%

33%

Over 2.5

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

0%

33%

Clean sheets

100%

67%

Scores first

100%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Warri

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.33	1.40
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.33	0.60
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.33	0.80
Total goals / match	1.00	1.67	1.40
Failed to score	0.0%	66.7%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	66.7%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Barau

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.00	2.00
Draws	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	0.33	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.33	0.50
Total goals / match	3.33	0.67	2.00
Failed to score	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	100.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Warri	Draw	Barau	How it works
Strength (Elo)	39.5%	25.3%	35.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	15.9%	25.2%	58.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.68–1.57 Model expected goals

38.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

38.7% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 16.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-116.6%

0-213.0%

1-111.2%

0-010.6%

1-28.8%

1-07.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Warri	Barau	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1500	1539	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	8	27	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1503	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Warri	0.60	0.00	0.40	0.40
Barau	0.67	0.83	0.17	0.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Warri	20%	40%	20%	20%	0%
Barau	33%	0%	33%	0%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Warri at home, 2 matches

1.00 Barau away, 3 matches

94d Days of rest for Warri

95d Days of rest for Barau

— Manager of Warri

— Manager of Barau

0 Matches for Warri in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Barau in the last 14 days

5 Points for Warri behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Barau behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Warri, the right bar represents Barau.

On the ball

20 matches

1.0

corners

5.6

26.0

fouls

16.75

1.5

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Warri	WDWLL	1.40	0.60–0.80	1W
Barau	DWDWDW	2.00	1.50–0.50	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Warri	2	2	1	0	0
Barau	3	3	0	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Warri

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Barau

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.