Marsa

Marsa

VS Scheduled Wednesday 28 Oct 202600:00

Tunisia 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 9

Sfax

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-12	26/27	Marsa1–0ES Sahel
2026-09-06	26/27	Tunis2–1Marsa
2026-08-29	26/27	Marsa0–0Progrès SE
2026-08-23	26/27	Bizertin1–0Marsa

Sfax

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Sfax2–0Bizertin
2026-09-16	26/27	USBG1–1Sfax
2026-08-29	26/27	Sfax2–1ESZ
2026-08-22	26/27	Stade Tunisien1–1Sfax

Marsa Sfax

Wins

25%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

Both teams scored

25%

75%

Clean sheets

50%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Marsa

Home · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Marsa		Club Africain	1
11	Marsa		Tunis	2
11	Marsa		Sfax	3
11	Marsa	0–0	Progrès SE	4	–
11	Marsa		Monastir	5
11	Marsa		USBG	6
11	Marsa		JS Omrane	7
11	Marsa		Bizertin	8
11	Marsa		Stade Tunisien	9
11	Marsa	1–0	ES Sahel	10	23′ Home
11 · Marsa
11	Marsa		ESZ	12
11	Marsa		Métlaoui	13
11	Marsa		Olympique Béja	14
11	Marsa		ESHS	15
11	Marsa		Hammam-Lif	16

Sfax

Away · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Club Africain		Sfax	3
2	Tunis		Sfax	3
3 · Sfax
4	Progrès SE		Sfax	3
5	Monastir		Sfax	3
6	USBG	1–1	Sfax	3	32′ Away
7	JS Omrane		Sfax	3
8	Bizertin		Sfax	3
9	Stade Tunisien	1–1	Sfax	3	36′ Away
10	ES Sahel		Sfax	3
11	Marsa		Sfax	3
12	ESZ		Sfax	3
13	Métlaoui		Sfax	3
14	Olympique Béja		Sfax	3
15	ESHS		Sfax	3
16	Hammam-Lif		Sfax	3

Marsa Home Sfax Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

0%

100%

Over 2.5

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

0%

100%

Clean sheets

100%

0%

Scores first

50%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Marsa

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.00	1.00
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	0.50	0.50
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.50	0.75
Total goals / match	0.50	2.00	1.25
Failed to score	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	50.0%	75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sfax

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.00	2.00
Draws	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.00	0.75
Total goals / match	2.50	2.00	2.25
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	100.0%	75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 2	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	2
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Marsa	Draw	Sfax	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	13.0%	27.5%	59.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.49–1.40 Model expected goals

28.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

29.0% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 21.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-121.2%

0-015.2%

0-214.8%

1-110.4%

1-07.4%

1-27.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Marsa	Sfax	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Marsa	0.50	0.00	0.25	0.50
Sfax	1.00	0.50	0.00	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Marsa	25%	50%	0%	25%	0%
Sfax	0%	0%	75%	25%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Marsa at home, 2 matches

1.00 Sfax away, 2 matches

46d Days of rest for Marsa

38d Days of rest for Sfax

— Manager of Marsa

— Manager of Sfax

0 Matches for Marsa in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Sfax in the last 14 days

5 Points for Marsa behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

1 Points for Sfax behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.03 League goals per match

25.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Marsa, the right bar represents Sfax.

On the ball

20 matches

4.75

corners

3.75

12.33

fouls

9.0

2.0

yellow cards

1.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Marsa	WLDL	1.00	0.50–0.75	1W
Sfax	WDWD	2.00	1.50–0.75	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Marsa	1	3	0	0	0
Sfax	4	0	0	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Marsa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sfax

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.