USBG

USBG

VS Scheduled Wednesday 4 Nov 202600:00

Tunisia 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 10

Bizertin

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	USBG1–0Hammam-Lif
2026-09-16	26/27	USBG1–1Sfax
2026-09-12	26/27	Monastir3–3USBG
2026-08-30	26/27	Olympique Béja1–2USBG

Bizertin

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Sfax2–0Bizertin
2026-09-05	26/27	Bizertin1–1Olympique Béja
2026-08-30	26/27	Hammam-Lif0–1Bizertin
2026-08-23	26/27	Bizertin1–0Marsa

USBG Bizertin

Wins

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

0%

Both teams scored

75%

25%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

USBG

Home · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
6	USBG		Club Africain	1
6	USBG		Tunis	2
6	USBG	1–1	Sfax	3	32′ Away
6	USBG		Progrès SE	4
6	USBG		Monastir	5
6 · USBG
6	USBG		JS Omrane	7
6	USBG		Bizertin	8
6	USBG		Stade Tunisien	9
6	USBG		ES Sahel	10
6	USBG		Marsa	11
6	USBG		ESZ	12
6	USBG		Métlaoui	13
6	USBG		Olympique Béja	14
6	USBG		ESHS	15
6	USBG	1–0	Hammam-Lif	16	87′ Home

Bizertin

Away · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Club Africain		Bizertin	8
2	Tunis		Bizertin	8
3	Sfax	2–0	Bizertin	8	35′ Home
4	Progrès SE		Bizertin	8
5	Monastir		Bizertin	8
6	USBG		Bizertin	8
7	JS Omrane		Bizertin	8
8 · Bizertin
9	Stade Tunisien		Bizertin	8
10	ES Sahel		Bizertin	8
11	Marsa		Bizertin	8
12	ESZ		Bizertin	8
13	Métlaoui		Bizertin	8
14	Olympique Béja		Bizertin	8
15	ESHS		Bizertin	8
16	Hammam-Lif	0–1	Bizertin	8	9′ Away

USBG Home Bizertin Away

Wins

50%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

50%

0%

Clean sheets

50%

Scores first

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

USBG

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	2.50	1.75
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.00	1.25
Total goals / match	1.50	4.50	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	0.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bizertin

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.50	1.75
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.50	0.75
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.00	0.75
Total goals / match	1.50	1.50	1.50
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	USBG	Draw	Bizertin	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	33.2%	28.8%	37.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.07–1.16 Model expected goals

38.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.0% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 13.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-113.3%

0-112.5%

1-011.5%

0-010.7%

1-27.8%

0-27.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	USBG	Bizertin	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
USBG	1.00	0.75	0.50	0.75
Bizertin	0.25	0.50	0.50	0.25

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
USBG	0%	25%	25%	25%	25%
Bizertin	0%	50%	50%	0%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 USBG at home, 2 matches

1.50 Bizertin away, 2 matches

45d Days of rest for USBG

45d Days of rest for Bizertin

— Manager of USBG

— Manager of Bizertin

0 Matches for USBG in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Bizertin in the last 14 days

1 Points for USBG behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Bizertin behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.03 League goals per match

25.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents USBG, the right bar represents Bizertin.

On the ball

20 matches

2.75

corners

7.75

19.0

fouls

12.0

2.67

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
USBG	WDDW	2.00	1.75–1.25	1W
Bizertin	LDWW	1.75	0.75–0.75	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
USBG	2	1	1	0	1
Bizertin	1	1	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

USBG

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bizertin

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.