ESZ

VS Scheduled Wednesday 4 Nov 202600:00

Tunisia 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 10

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Club Africain1–0ESZ
2026-09-16	26/27	ESZ1–2Monastir
2026-08-29	26/27	Sfax2–1ESZ
2026-08-23	26/27	ESZ1–0Olympique Béja

Progrès SE

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	26/27	Olympique Béja1–1Progrès SE
2026-09-05	26/27	Progrès SE1–0Hammam-Lif
2026-08-29	26/27	Marsa0–0Progrès SE
2026-08-22	26/27	Progrès SE2–0JS Omrane

ESZ Progrès SE

Wins

25%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

0%

Both teams scored

50%

25%

Clean sheets

25%

75%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

ESZ

Home · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
12	ESZ		Club Africain	1
12	ESZ		Tunis	2
12	ESZ		Sfax	3
12	ESZ		Progrès SE	4
12	ESZ	1–2	Monastir	5	21′ Away
12	ESZ		USBG	6
12	ESZ		JS Omrane	7
12	ESZ		Bizertin	8
12	ESZ		Stade Tunisien	9
12	ESZ		ES Sahel	10
12	ESZ		Marsa	11
12 · ESZ
12	ESZ		Métlaoui	13
12	ESZ	1–0	Olympique Béja	14	90+8′ Home
12	ESZ		ESHS	15
12	ESZ		Hammam-Lif	16

Progrès SE

Away · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Club Africain		Progrès SE	4
2	Tunis		Progrès SE	4
3	Sfax		Progrès SE	4
4 · Progrès SE
5	Monastir		Progrès SE	4
6	USBG		Progrès SE	4
7	JS Omrane		Progrès SE	4
8	Bizertin		Progrès SE	4
9	Stade Tunisien		Progrès SE	4
10	ES Sahel		Progrès SE	4
11	Marsa	0–0	Progrès SE	4	–
12	ESZ		Progrès SE	4
13	Métlaoui		Progrès SE	4
14	Olympique Béja	1–1	Progrès SE	4	45+6′ Away
15	ESHS		Progrès SE	4
16	Hammam-Lif		Progrès SE	4

ESZ Home Progrès SE Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

50%

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

50%

Scores first

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

ESZ

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.00	0.75
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.50	0.75
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.50	1.25
Total goals / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Progrès SE

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.00	2.00
Draws	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.50	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.00	0.50	0.25
Total goals / match	1.50	1.00	1.25
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	ESZ	Draw	Progrès SE	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	11.5%	24.9%	63.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.49–1.55 Model expected goals

32.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

30.3% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 20.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-120.1%

0-215.6%

0-013.0%

1-19.9%

0-38.1%

1-27.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	ESZ	Progrès SE	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
ESZ	0.25	0.50	0.50	0.75
Progrès SE	0.75	0.25	0.25	0.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
ESZ	0%	50%	0%	50%	0%
Progrès SE	25%	25%	50%	0%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 ESZ at home, 2 matches

1.00 Progrès SE away, 2 matches

45d Days of rest for ESZ

52d Days of rest for Progrès SE

— Manager of ESZ

— Manager of Progrès SE

0 Matches for ESZ in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Progrès SE in the last 14 days

6 Points for ESZ behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

1 Points for Progrès SE behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.03 League goals per match

25.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents ESZ, the right bar represents Progrès SE.

On the ball

20 matches

6.0

corners

3.25

10.0

fouls

13.5

2.0

yellow cards

2.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
ESZ	LLLW	0.75	0.75–1.25	3L
Progrès SE	DWDW	2.00	1.00–0.25	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
ESZ	0	3	1	0	0
Progrès SE	1	3	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

ESZ

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Progrès SE

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.