Progrès SE

VS Scheduled Thursday 12 Nov 202600:00

Tunisia 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 11

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	26/27	Olympique Béja1–1Progrès SE
2026-09-05	26/27	Progrès SE1–0Hammam-Lif
2026-08-29	26/27	Marsa0–0Progrès SE
2026-08-22	26/27	Progrès SE2–0JS Omrane

USBG

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	USBG1–0Hammam-Lif
2026-09-16	26/27	USBG1–1Sfax
2026-09-12	26/27	Monastir3–3USBG
2026-08-30	26/27	Olympique Béja1–2USBG

Progrès SE USBG

Wins

50%

Over 2.5 goals

0%

50%

Both teams scored

25%

75%

Clean sheets

75%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Progrès SE

Home · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Progrès SE		Club Africain	1
4	Progrès SE		Tunis	2
4	Progrès SE		Sfax	3
4 · Progrès SE
4	Progrès SE		Monastir	5
4	Progrès SE		USBG	6
4	Progrès SE	2–0	JS Omrane	7	1′ Home
4	Progrès SE		Bizertin	8
4	Progrès SE		Stade Tunisien	9
4	Progrès SE		ES Sahel	10
4	Progrès SE		Marsa	11
4	Progrès SE		ESZ	12
4	Progrès SE		Métlaoui	13
4	Progrès SE		Olympique Béja	14
4	Progrès SE		ESHS	15
4	Progrès SE	1–0	Hammam-Lif	16	53′ Home

USBG

Away · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Club Africain		USBG	6
2	Tunis		USBG	6
3	Sfax		USBG	6
4	Progrès SE		USBG	6
5	Monastir	3–3	USBG	6	7′ Home
6 · USBG
7	JS Omrane		USBG	6
8	Bizertin		USBG	6
9	Stade Tunisien		USBG	6
10	ES Sahel		USBG	6
11	Marsa		USBG	6
12	ESZ		USBG	6
13	Métlaoui		USBG	6
14	Olympique Béja	1–2	USBG	6	25′ Away
15	ESHS		USBG	6
16	Hammam-Lif		USBG	6

Progrès SE Home USBG Away

Wins

100%

50%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

0%

100%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

0%

100%

Clean sheets

100%

0%

Scores first

100%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Progrès SE

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.00	2.00
Draws	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.50	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.00	0.50	0.25
Total goals / match	1.50	1.00	1.25
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

USBG

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	2.50	1.75
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.00	1.25
Total goals / match	1.50	4.50	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	0.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	2	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	2
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Progrès SE	Draw	USBG	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	42.2%	33.2%	24.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.02–0.70 Model expected goals

24.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

32.1% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 18.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-018.3%

0-017.9%

1-112.8%

0-112.5%

2-09.3%

2-16.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Progrès SE	USBG	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Progrès SE	0.75	0.25	0.25	0.00
USBG	1.00	0.75	0.50	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Progrès SE	25%	25%	50%	0%	0%
USBG	0%	25%	25%	25%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Progrès SE at home, 2 matches

2.00 USBG away, 2 matches

60d Days of rest for Progrès SE

53d Days of rest for USBG

— Manager of Progrès SE

— Manager of USBG

0 Matches for Progrès SE in the last 14 days

0 Matches for USBG in the last 14 days

1 Points for Progrès SE behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

1 Points for USBG behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.03 League goals per match

25.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Progrès SE, the right bar represents USBG.

On the ball

20 matches

3.25

corners

2.75

13.5

fouls

19.0

2.33

yellow cards

2.67

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Progrès SE	DWDW	2.00	1.00–0.25	1D
USBG	WDDW	2.00	1.75–1.25	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Progrès SE	1	3	0	0	0
USBG	2	1	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Progrès SE

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

USBG

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.