Fajr

Fajr

VS Scheduled Tuesday 13 Oct 202614:30

Iran 26/27 Persian Gulf Pro League · Matchday 7

Aluminium Arak

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-07	26/27	Foolad1–0Fajr
2026-09-03	26/27	Fajr1–1Mes Shahr-e Babak
2026-08-29	26/27	Fajr0–0Zob Ahan
2026-08-24	26/27	Malavan0–1Fajr
2026-08-19	26/27	Fajr0–0Sanat Naft
2026-08-14	26/27	Kheybar1–1Fajr

Aluminium Arak

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-06	26/27	Aluminium Arak0–0Esteghlal
2026-09-01	26/27	Gol Gohar0–2Aluminium Arak
2026-08-28	26/27	Aluminium Arak2–2Kheybar
2026-08-23	26/27	Caspian1–2Aluminium Arak
2026-08-18	26/27	Aluminium Arak0–0Chadormalu SC
2026-08-14	26/27	Khuzestan0–2Aluminium Arak

Fajr Aluminium Arak

Wins

17%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

0%

33%

Both teams scored

33%

Clean sheets

50%

67%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Fajr

Home · Persian Gulf Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Fajr		Tractor	1
11	Fajr		Esteghlal	2
11	Fajr		Persepolis	3
11	Fajr		Aluminium Arak	4
11	Fajr		Sepahan	5
11	Fajr		Gol Gohar	6
11	Fajr		Foolad	7
11	Fajr		Paykan	8
11	Fajr		Nassaji	9
11	Fajr		Chadormalu SC	10
11 · Fajr
11	Fajr		Malavan	12
11	Fajr		Kheybar	13
11	Fajr	0–0	Zob Ahan	14	–
11	Fajr		Khuzestan	15
11	Fajr		Caspian	16
11	Fajr	1–1	Mes Shahr-e Babak	17	—
11	Fajr	0–0	Sanat Naft	18	–

Aluminium Arak

Away · Persian Gulf Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Tractor		Aluminium Arak	4
2	Esteghlal		Aluminium Arak	4
3	Persepolis		Aluminium Arak	4
4 · Aluminium Arak
5	Sepahan		Aluminium Arak	4
6	Gol Gohar	0–2	Aluminium Arak	4	—
7	Foolad		Aluminium Arak	4
8	Paykan		Aluminium Arak	4
9	Nassaji		Aluminium Arak	4
10	Chadormalu SC		Aluminium Arak	4
11	Fajr		Aluminium Arak	4
12	Malavan		Aluminium Arak	4
13	Kheybar		Aluminium Arak	4
14	Zob Ahan		Aluminium Arak	4
15	Khuzestan	0–2	Aluminium Arak	4	11′ Away
16	Caspian	1–2	Aluminium Arak	4	—
17	Mes Shahr-e Babak		Aluminium Arak	4
18	Sanat Naft		Aluminium Arak	4

Fajr Home Aluminium Arak Away

Wins

0%

100%

Over 1.5

33%

100%

Over 2.5

0%

33%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

33%

Clean sheets

67%

Scores first

33%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Persian Gulf Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Fajr

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.33	1.17
Draws	100.0%	33.3%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	0.33	0.67	0.50
Goals conceded / match	0.33	0.67	0.50
Total goals / match	0.67	1.33	1.00
Failed to score	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Aluminium Arak

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.00	3.00	2.00
Draws	100.0%	0.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	0.67	2.00	1.33
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.33	0.50
Total goals / match	1.33	2.33	1.83
Failed to score	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Fajr	Draw	Aluminium Arak	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.3%	37.1%	29.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	15.9%	39.3%	44.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.39–0.85 Model expected goals

12.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

18.4% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 29.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-029.0%

0-124.7%

1-011.2%

0-210.5%

1-19.5%

1-24.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Fajr	Aluminium Arak	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1499	1538	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-3	21	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1497	1500	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Fajr	0.33	0.17	0.00	0.50
Aluminium Arak	0.83	0.50	0.33	0.17

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Fajr	33%	33%	33%	0%	0%
Aluminium Arak	33%	0%	33%	17%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Fajr at home, 3 matches

3.00 Aluminium Arak away, 3 matches

36d Days of rest for Fajr

37d Days of rest for Aluminium Arak

— Manager of Fajr

— Manager of Aluminium Arak

0 Matches for Fajr in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Aluminium Arak in the last 14 days

9 Points for Fajr behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Aluminium Arak behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

1.75 League goals per match

37.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Fajr, the right bar represents Aluminium Arak.

On the ball

20 matches

—

corners

—

fouls

—

3.0

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Fajr	LDDWDD	1.17	0.50–0.50	1L
Aluminium Arak	DWDWDW	2.00	1.33–0.50	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Fajr	2	4	0	0	2
Aluminium Arak	2	4	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Fajr

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Aluminium Arak

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.