Caspian

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Oct 202615:00

Iran 26/27 Persian Gulf Pro League · Matchday 9

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-10	26/27	Caspian2–3Gol Gohar
2026-09-06	26/27	Chadormalu SC1–0Caspian
2026-09-01	26/27	Caspian0–0Tractor
2026-08-28	26/27	Nassaji0–2Caspian
2026-08-23	26/27	Caspian1–2Aluminium Arak
2026-08-19	26/27	Foolad1–1Caspian
2026-08-15	26/27	Caspian0–2Persepolis

Sepahan

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-06	26/27	Sepahan1–0Khuzestan
2026-09-02	26/27	Sanat Naft0–0Sepahan
2026-08-28	26/27	Sepahan2–0Gol Gohar
2026-08-23	26/27	Esteghlal2–0Sepahan
2026-08-18	26/27	Sepahan0–2Tractor
2026-08-14	26/27	Chadormalu SC0–2Sepahan

Caspian Sepahan

Wins

14%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

29%

0%

Both teams scored

43%

0%

Clean sheets

29%

67%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Caspian

Home · Persian Gulf Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
16	Caspian	0–0	Tractor	1	–
16	Caspian		Esteghlal	2
16	Caspian	0–2	Persepolis	3	11′ Away
16	Caspian	1–2	Aluminium Arak	4	—
16	Caspian		Sepahan	5
16	Caspian	2–3	Gol Gohar	6	—
16	Caspian		Foolad	7
16	Caspian		Paykan	8
16	Caspian		Nassaji	9
16	Caspian		Chadormalu SC	10
16	Caspian		Fajr	11
16	Caspian		Malavan	12
16	Caspian		Kheybar	13
16	Caspian		Zob Ahan	14
16	Caspian		Khuzestan	15
16 · Caspian
16	Caspian		Mes Shahr-e Babak	17
16	Caspian		Sanat Naft	18

Sepahan

Away · Persian Gulf Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Tractor		Sepahan	5
2	Esteghlal	2–0	Sepahan	5	4′ Home
3	Persepolis		Sepahan	5
4	Aluminium Arak		Sepahan	5
5 · Sepahan
6	Gol Gohar		Sepahan	5
7	Foolad		Sepahan	5
8	Paykan		Sepahan	5
9	Nassaji		Sepahan	5
10	Chadormalu SC	0–2	Sepahan	5	—
11	Fajr		Sepahan	5
12	Malavan		Sepahan	5
13	Kheybar		Sepahan	5
14	Zob Ahan		Sepahan	5
15	Khuzestan		Sepahan	5
16	Caspian		Sepahan	5
17	Mes Shahr-e Babak		Sepahan	5
18	Sanat Naft	0–0	Sepahan	5	–

Caspian Home Sepahan Away

Wins

0%

33%

Over 1.5

75%

67%

Over 2.5

50%

0%

Over 3.5

25%

0%

Both teams scored

50%

0%

Clean sheets

25%

67%

Scores first

N/A

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Persian Gulf Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Caspian

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.25	1.33	0.71
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.00	0.86
Goals conceded / match	1.75	0.67	1.29
Total goals / match	2.50	1.67	2.14
Failed to score	50.0%	33.3%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	100.0%	71.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sepahan

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.33	1.67
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.67	0.83
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.67	0.67
Total goals / match	1.67	1.33	1.50
Failed to score	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Caspian	Draw	Sepahan	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.2%	37.1%	29.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	16.2%	27.9%	55.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.60–1.37 Model expected goals

31.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

33.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 19.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-119.2%

0-013.9%

0-213.2%

1-111.4%

1-08.3%

1-27.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Caspian	Sepahan	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1471	1511	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-12	-7	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Caspian	0.43	0.43	0.86	0.43
Sepahan	0.33	0.50	0.33	0.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Caspian	14%	14%	43%	14%	14%
Sepahan	17%	17%	67%	0%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.25 Caspian at home, 4 matches

1.33 Sepahan away, 3 matches

38d Days of rest for Caspian

42d Days of rest for Sepahan

— Manager of Caspian

— Manager of Sepahan

0 Matches for Caspian in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Sepahan in the last 14 days

11 Points for Caspian behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Sepahan behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

1.75 League goals per match

37.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Caspian, the right bar represents Sepahan.

On the ball

20 matches

—

corners

—

fouls

—

2.0

yellow cards

1.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Caspian	LLDWLDL	0.71	0.86–1.29	2L
Sepahan	WDWLLW	1.67	0.83–0.67	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Caspian	1	4	2	0	0
Sepahan	1	4	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Caspian

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sepahan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.