Nassaji

Nassaji

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202613:15

Iran 26/27 Persian Gulf Pro League · Matchday 10

Fajr

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	26/27	Mes Shahr-e Babak1–1Nassaji
2026-09-07	26/27	Nassaji1–0Kheybar
2026-09-02	26/27	Malavan0–1Nassaji
2026-08-28	26/27	Nassaji0–2Caspian
2026-08-23	26/27	Khuzestan1–1Nassaji
2026-08-18	26/27	Nassaji0–1Esteghlal
2026-08-14	26/27	Gol Gohar1–0Nassaji

Fajr

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-07	26/27	Foolad1–0Fajr
2026-09-03	26/27	Fajr1–1Mes Shahr-e Babak
2026-08-29	26/27	Fajr0–0Zob Ahan
2026-08-24	26/27	Malavan0–1Fajr
2026-08-19	26/27	Fajr0–0Sanat Naft
2026-08-14	26/27	Kheybar1–1Fajr

Nassaji Fajr

Wins

29%

17%

Over 2.5 goals

0%

Both teams scored

29%

33%

Clean sheets

29%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Nassaji

Home · Persian Gulf Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Nassaji		Tractor	1
9	Nassaji	0–1	Esteghlal	2	82′ Away
9	Nassaji		Persepolis	3
9	Nassaji		Aluminium Arak	4
9	Nassaji		Sepahan	5
9	Nassaji		Gol Gohar	6
9	Nassaji		Foolad	7
9	Nassaji		Paykan	8
9 · Nassaji
9	Nassaji		Chadormalu SC	10
9	Nassaji		Fajr	11
9	Nassaji		Malavan	12
9	Nassaji	1–0	Kheybar	13	34′ Home
9	Nassaji		Zob Ahan	14
9	Nassaji		Khuzestan	15
9	Nassaji	0–2	Caspian	16	27′ Away
9	Nassaji		Mes Shahr-e Babak	17
9	Nassaji		Sanat Naft	18

Fajr

Away · Persian Gulf Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Tractor		Fajr	11
2	Esteghlal		Fajr	11
3	Persepolis		Fajr	11
4	Aluminium Arak		Fajr	11
5	Sepahan		Fajr	11
6	Gol Gohar		Fajr	11
7	Foolad	1–0	Fajr	11	90+2′ Home
8	Paykan		Fajr	11
9	Nassaji		Fajr	11
10	Chadormalu SC		Fajr	11
11 · Fajr
12	Malavan	0–1	Fajr	11	90+1′ Away
13	Kheybar	1–1	Fajr	11	25′ Away
14	Zob Ahan		Fajr	11
15	Khuzestan		Fajr	11
16	Caspian		Fajr	11
17	Mes Shahr-e Babak		Fajr	11
18	Sanat Naft		Fajr	11

Nassaji Home Fajr Away

Wins

33%

Over 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

0%

33%

Clean sheets

33%

Scores first

33%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Persian Gulf Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Nassaji

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.25	1.14
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	0.33	0.75	0.57
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.75	0.86
Total goals / match	1.33	1.50	1.43
Failed to score	66.7%	25.0%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Fajr

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.33	1.17
Draws	100.0%	33.3%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	0.33	0.67	0.50
Goals conceded / match	0.33	0.67	0.50
Total goals / match	0.67	1.33	1.00
Failed to score	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nassaji	Draw	Fajr	How it works
Strength (Elo)	36.2%	36.4%	27.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	20.4%	47.9%	31.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.39–0.55 Model expected goals

6.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

13.6% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 39.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-039.1%

0-121.6%

1-015.1%

1-18.3%

0-26.0%

2-02.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nassaji	Fajr	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1487	1499	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-5	-3	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1489	1497	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nassaji	0.29	0.29	0.14	0.71
Fajr	0.33	0.17	0.00	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nassaji	0%	57%	43%	0%	0%
Fajr	33%	33%	33%	0%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Nassaji at home, 3 matches

1.33 Fajr away, 3 matches

42d Days of rest for Nassaji

48d Days of rest for Fajr

— Manager of Nassaji

— Manager of Fajr

0 Matches for Nassaji in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Fajr in the last 14 days

8 Points for Nassaji behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Fajr behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

1.75 League goals per match

37.3% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nassaji, the right bar represents Fajr.

On the ball

20 matches

—

corners

—

fouls

—

2.5

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nassaji	DWWLDLL	1.14	0.57–0.86	1D
Fajr	LDDWDD	1.17	0.50–0.50	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nassaji	2	4	1	0	1
Fajr	2	4	0	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nassaji

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Fajr

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.