Quwa

Quwa

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202618:30

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 10

Al-Karma

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Quwa1–1Diala
2026-09-10	26/27	Quwa0–1Zawra'a
2026-09-07	26/27	Karbala2–3Quwa
2026-09-03	26/27	Duhok2–1Quwa
2026-08-29	26/27	Quwa1–1Maysan
2026-08-25	26/27	Quwa1–1Ghaz Al Shamal SC
2026-08-21	26/27	Erbil1–1Quwa
2026-08-14	26/27	Newroz SC3–3Quwa

Al-Karma

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Al-Karma1–0Zakho
2026-09-14	26/27	Erbil1–2Al-Karma
2026-09-09	26/27	Al-Karma3–0Naft
2026-09-03	26/27	Diala1–2Al-Karma
2026-08-30	26/27	Al-Karma2–0Karbala
2026-08-26	26/27	Kahrabaa1–1Al-Karma
2026-08-21	26/27	Al-Karma2–1Shorta
2026-08-15	26/27	Al-Karma1–1Al Mosul

Quwa Al-Karma

Wins

12%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

50%

Both teams scored

88%

62%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Quwa

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Quwa		Al-Karma	1
13	Quwa	0–1	Zawra'a	2	40′ Away
13	Quwa		Erbil	3
13	Quwa		Shorta	4
13	Quwa		Naft	5
13	Quwa		Newroz SC	6
13	Quwa		Minaa Basra	7
13	Quwa		Talaba	8
13	Quwa		Al Jolan SC	9
13	Quwa		Duhok	10
13	Quwa	1–1	Diala	11	—
13	Quwa		Zakho	12
13 · Quwa
13	Quwa	1–1	Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14	33′ Away
13	Quwa		Al Mosul	15
13	Quwa		Karkh	16
13	Quwa		Kahrabaa	17
13	Quwa	1–1	Maysan	18	57′ Away
13	Quwa		Al Gharraf	19
13	Quwa		Karbala	20

Al-Karma

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Al-Karma
2	Zawra'a		Al-Karma	1
3	Erbil	1–2	Al-Karma	1	6′ Away
4	Shorta		Al-Karma	1
5	Naft		Al-Karma	1
6	Newroz SC		Al-Karma	1
7	Minaa Basra		Al-Karma	1
8	Talaba		Al-Karma	1
9	Al Jolan SC		Al-Karma	1
10	Duhok		Al-Karma	1
11	Diala	1–2	Al-Karma	1	10′ Away
12	Zakho		Al-Karma	1
13	Quwa		Al-Karma	1
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC		Al-Karma	1
15	Al Mosul		Al-Karma	1
16	Karkh		Al-Karma	1
17	Kahrabaa	1–1	Al-Karma	1	78′ Home
18	Maysan		Al-Karma	1
19	Al Gharraf		Al-Karma	1
20	Karbala		Al-Karma	1

Quwa Home Al-Karma Away

Wins

0%

67%

Over 1.5

75%

100%

Over 2.5

0%

67%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

75%

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Quwa

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.75	1.25	1.00
Draws	75.0%	50.0%	62.5%
Goals scored / match	0.75	2.00	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.50
Total goals / match	1.75	4.00	2.88
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	25.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Al-Karma

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.60	2.33	2.50
Draws	20.0%	33.3%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.80	1.67	1.75
Goals conceded / match	0.40	1.00	0.62
Total goals / match	2.20	2.67	2.38
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	33.3%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Quwa	Draw	Al-Karma	How it works
Strength (Elo)	29.5%	38.7%	31.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	8.7%	17.1%	71.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.61–2.22 Model expected goals

51.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

39.6% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 14.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-214.5%

0-113.1%

0-310.7%

1-28.9%

1-18.0%

1-36.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Quwa	Al-Karma	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1490	1563	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-12	65	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1506	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Quwa	0.50	0.88	0.62	0.88
Al-Karma	0.75	1.00	0.12	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Quwa	0%	12%	50%	12%	25%
Al-Karma	0%	12%	38%	50%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.75 Quwa at home, 4 matches

2.33 Al-Karma away, 3 matches

28d Days of rest for Quwa

28d Days of rest for Al-Karma

— Manager of Quwa

— Manager of Al-Karma

0 Matches for Quwa in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Al-Karma in the last 14 days

12 Points for Quwa behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Al-Karma behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Quwa, the right bar represents Al-Karma.

On the ball

20 matches

3.67

corners

5.57

8.0

fouls

6.0

2.67

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Quwa	DLWLDDDD	1.00	1.38–1.50	1D
Al-Karma	WWWWWDWD	2.50	1.75–0.62	5W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Quwa	2	3	3	0	1
Al-Karma	3	5	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Quwa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Al-Karma

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.