Al Gharraf

Al Gharraf

VS Scheduled Thursday 22 Oct 202620:00

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 11

Naft

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-17	26/27	Zawra'a2–0Al Gharraf
2026-09-12	26/27	Diala3–1Al Gharraf
2026-09-08	26/27	Al Gharraf1–2Shorta
2026-09-03	26/27	Kahrabaa0–0Al Gharraf
2026-08-30	26/27	Al Gharraf0–1Ghaz Al Shamal SC
2026-08-26	26/27	Minaa Basra3–0Al Gharraf
2026-08-22	26/27	Al Gharraf1–0Newroz SC
2026-08-16	26/27	Duhok1–1Al Gharraf

Naft

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Al Mosul0–1Naft
2026-09-14	26/27	Naft2–1Karbala
2026-09-09	26/27	Al-Karma3–0Naft
2026-09-05	26/27	Minaa Basra0–3Naft
2026-08-31	26/27	Talaba0–0Naft
2026-08-26	26/27	Naft1–1Duhok
2026-08-20	26/27	Maysan0–0Naft
2026-08-14	26/27	Naft2–0Karkh

Al Gharraf Naft

Wins

12%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Both teams scored

38%

25%

Clean sheets

25%

62%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Al Gharraf

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
19	Al Gharraf		Al-Karma	1
19	Al Gharraf		Zawra'a	2
19	Al Gharraf		Erbil	3
19	Al Gharraf	1–2	Shorta	4	65′ Away
19	Al Gharraf		Naft	5
19	Al Gharraf	1–0	Newroz SC	6	33′ Home
19	Al Gharraf		Minaa Basra	7
19	Al Gharraf		Talaba	8
19	Al Gharraf		Al Jolan SC	9
19	Al Gharraf		Duhok	10
19	Al Gharraf		Diala	11
19	Al Gharraf		Zakho	12
19	Al Gharraf		Quwa	13
19	Al Gharraf	0–1	Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14	67′ Away
19	Al Gharraf		Al Mosul	15
19	Al Gharraf		Karkh	16
19	Al Gharraf		Kahrabaa	17
19	Al Gharraf		Maysan	18
19 · Al Gharraf
19	Al Gharraf		Karbala	20

Naft

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Karma	3–0	Naft	5	13′ Home
2	Zawra'a		Naft	5
3	Erbil		Naft	5
4	Shorta		Naft	5
5 · Naft
6	Newroz SC		Naft	5
7	Minaa Basra	0–3	Naft	5	11′ Away
8	Talaba	0–0	Naft	5	–
9	Al Jolan SC		Naft	5
10	Duhok		Naft	5
11	Diala		Naft	5
12	Zakho		Naft	5
13	Quwa		Naft	5
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC		Naft	5
15	Al Mosul	0–1	Naft	5	90+8′ Away
16	Karkh		Naft	5
17	Kahrabaa		Naft	5
18	Maysan	0–0	Naft	5	–
19	Al Gharraf		Naft	5
20	Karbala		Naft	5

Al Gharraf Home Naft Away

Wins

33%

40%

Over 1.5

33%

40%

Over 2.5

33%

40%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

33%

0%

Clean sheets

33%

80%

Scores first

33%

40%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Al Gharraf

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.40	0.62
Draws	0.0%	40.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	0.67	0.40	0.50
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.80	1.50
Total goals / match	1.67	2.20	2.00
Failed to score	33.3%	60.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	60.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	3
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Naft

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.60	1.88
Draws	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.80	1.12
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.60	0.62
Total goals / match	2.33	1.40	1.75
Failed to score	0.0%	60.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	60.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	2	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Al Gharraf	Draw	Naft	How it works
Strength (Elo)	28.7%	38.5%	32.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	10.1%	20.4%	68.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.56–1.89 Model expected goals

43.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

35.9% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 16.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-116.3%

0-215.4%

0-39.7%

1-19.1%

1-28.6%

0-08.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Al Gharraf	Naft	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1453	1536	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-48	24	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1504	1500	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Al Gharraf	0.38	0.12	0.62	0.88
Naft	0.62	0.50	0.38	0.25

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Al Gharraf	12%	25%	25%	25%	12%
Naft	25%	12%	25%	38%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Al Gharraf at home, 3 matches

1.60 Naft away, 5 matches

35d Days of rest for Al Gharraf

34d Days of rest for Naft

— Manager of Al Gharraf

— Manager of Naft

0 Matches for Al Gharraf in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Naft in the last 14 days

15 Points for Al Gharraf behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Naft behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Al Gharraf, the right bar represents Naft.

On the ball

20 matches

3.0

corners

2.71

8.4

fouls

13.0

1.33

yellow cards

2.57

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Al Gharraf	LLLDLLWD	0.62	0.50–1.50	3L
Naft	WWLWDDDW	1.88	1.12–0.62	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Al Gharraf	2	4	2	0	1
Naft	2	4	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Al Gharraf

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Naft

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.