Duhok

Duhok

VS Scheduled Friday 23 Oct 202615:30

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 11

Karbala

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Minaa Basra1–1Duhok
2026-09-13	26/27	Karkh3–2Duhok
2026-09-08	26/27	Duhok1–1Ghaz Al Shamal SC
2026-09-03	26/27	Duhok2–1Quwa
2026-08-30	26/27	Newroz SC0–0Duhok
2026-08-26	26/27	Naft1–1Duhok
2026-08-22	26/27	Duhok3–3Talaba
2026-08-16	26/27	Duhok1–1Al Gharraf

Karbala

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Karbala0–3Erbil
2026-09-14	26/27	Naft2–1Karbala
2026-09-07	26/27	Karbala2–3Quwa
2026-09-04	26/27	Karbala1–0Karkh
2026-08-30	26/27	Al-Karma2–0Karbala
2026-08-26	26/27	Al Mosul3–0Karbala
2026-08-21	26/27	Karbala1–1Zawra'a
2026-08-16	26/27	Shorta1–1Karbala

Duhok Karbala

Wins

12%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

50%

Both teams scored

88%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Duhok

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Duhok		Al-Karma	1
10	Duhok		Zawra'a	2
10	Duhok		Erbil	3
10	Duhok		Shorta	4
10	Duhok		Naft	5
10	Duhok		Newroz SC	6
10	Duhok		Minaa Basra	7
10	Duhok	3–3	Talaba	8	9′ Home
10	Duhok		Al Jolan SC	9
10 · Duhok
10	Duhok		Diala	11
10	Duhok		Zakho	12
10	Duhok	2–1	Quwa	13	15′ Away
10	Duhok	1–1	Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14	—
10	Duhok		Al Mosul	15
10	Duhok		Karkh	16
10	Duhok		Kahrabaa	17
10	Duhok		Maysan	18
10	Duhok	1–1	Al Gharraf	19	42′ Away
10	Duhok		Karbala	20

Karbala

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Karma	2–0	Karbala	20	49′ Home
2	Zawra'a		Karbala	20
3	Erbil		Karbala	20
4	Shorta	1–1	Karbala	20	28′ Home
5	Naft	2–1	Karbala	20	—
6	Newroz SC		Karbala	20
7	Minaa Basra		Karbala	20
8	Talaba		Karbala	20
9	Al Jolan SC		Karbala	20
10	Duhok		Karbala	20
11	Diala		Karbala	20
12	Zakho		Karbala	20
13	Quwa		Karbala	20
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC		Karbala	20
15	Al Mosul	3–0	Karbala	20	39′ Home
16	Karkh		Karbala	20
17	Kahrabaa		Karbala	20
18	Maysan		Karbala	20
19	Al Gharraf		Karbala	20
20 · Karbala

Duhok Home Karbala Away

Wins

25%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

25%

0%

Both teams scored

100%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Duhok

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.75	1.12
Draws	75.0%	75.0%	75.0%
Goals scored / match	1.75	1.00	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.25	1.38
Total goals / match	3.25	2.25	2.75
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	75.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Karbala

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.25	0.62
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.50	0.75
Goals conceded / match	1.75	2.00	1.88
Total goals / match	2.75	2.50	2.62
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Duhok	Draw	Karbala	How it works
Strength (Elo)	43.0%	34.3%	22.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	52.3%	22.7%	23.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.85–1.17 Model expected goals

56.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

57.1% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.6%

2-19.8%

1-09.0%

2-08.4%

1-26.2%

3-16.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Duhok	Karbala	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1498	1447	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-0	-55	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1491	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Duhok	0.62	0.75	0.88	0.50
Karbala	0.00	0.75	0.62	1.25

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Duhok	12%	0%	50%	12%	25%
Karbala	0%	12%	38%	38%	12%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Duhok at home, 4 matches

0.25 Karbala away, 4 matches

35d Days of rest for Duhok

35d Days of rest for Karbala

— Manager of Duhok

— Manager of Karbala

0 Matches for Duhok in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Karbala in the last 14 days

11 Points for Duhok behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Karbala behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Duhok, the right bar represents Karbala.

On the ball

20 matches

5.5

corners

3.5

8.25

fouls

12.5

2.5

yellow cards

2.67

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Duhok	DLDWDDDD	1.12	1.38–1.38	1D
Karbala	LLLWLLDD	0.62	0.75–1.88	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Duhok	1	4	3	1	1
Karbala	0	4	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Duhok

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Karbala

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.