Minaa Basra

Minaa Basra

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202617:45

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 11

Al-Karma

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Minaa Basra1–1Duhok
2026-09-13	26/27	Kahrabaa2–1Minaa Basra
2026-09-09	26/27	Minaa Basra3–0Maysan
2026-09-05	26/27	Minaa Basra0–3Naft
2026-08-31	26/27	Erbil2–0Minaa Basra
2026-08-26	26/27	Minaa Basra3–0Al Gharraf
2026-08-20	26/27	Minaa Basra2–1Zakho
2026-08-15	26/27	Zawra'a0–0Minaa Basra

Al-Karma

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Al-Karma1–0Zakho
2026-09-14	26/27	Erbil1–2Al-Karma
2026-09-09	26/27	Al-Karma3–0Naft
2026-09-03	26/27	Diala1–2Al-Karma
2026-08-30	26/27	Al-Karma2–0Karbala
2026-08-26	26/27	Kahrabaa1–1Al-Karma
2026-08-21	26/27	Al-Karma2–1Shorta
2026-08-15	26/27	Al-Karma1–1Al Mosul

Minaa Basra Al-Karma

Wins

38%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

38%

62%

Clean sheets

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Minaa Basra

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Minaa Basra		Al-Karma	1
7	Minaa Basra		Zawra'a	2
7	Minaa Basra		Erbil	3
7	Minaa Basra		Shorta	4
7	Minaa Basra	0–3	Naft	5	11′ Away
7	Minaa Basra		Newroz SC	6
7 · Minaa Basra
7	Minaa Basra		Talaba	8
7	Minaa Basra		Al Jolan SC	9
7	Minaa Basra	1–1	Duhok	10	74′ Away
7	Minaa Basra		Diala	11
7	Minaa Basra	2–1	Zakho	12	39′ Home
7	Minaa Basra		Quwa	13
7	Minaa Basra		Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14
7	Minaa Basra		Al Mosul	15
7	Minaa Basra		Karkh	16
7	Minaa Basra		Kahrabaa	17
7	Minaa Basra	3–0	Maysan	18	—
7	Minaa Basra	3–0	Al Gharraf	19	—
7	Minaa Basra		Karbala	20

Al-Karma

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Al-Karma
2	Zawra'a		Al-Karma	1
3	Erbil	1–2	Al-Karma	1	6′ Away
4	Shorta		Al-Karma	1
5	Naft		Al-Karma	1
6	Newroz SC		Al-Karma	1
7	Minaa Basra		Al-Karma	1
8	Talaba		Al-Karma	1
9	Al Jolan SC		Al-Karma	1
10	Duhok		Al-Karma	1
11	Diala	1–2	Al-Karma	1	10′ Away
12	Zakho		Al-Karma	1
13	Quwa		Al-Karma	1
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC		Al-Karma	1
15	Al Mosul		Al-Karma	1
16	Karkh		Al-Karma	1
17	Kahrabaa	1–1	Al-Karma	1	78′ Home
18	Maysan		Al-Karma	1
19	Al Gharraf		Al-Karma	1
20	Karbala		Al-Karma	1

Minaa Basra Home Al-Karma Away

Wins

60%

67%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

80%

67%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

40%

100%

Clean sheets

40%

0%

Scores first

60%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Minaa Basra

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.33	1.38
Draws	20.0%	33.3%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.80	0.33	1.25
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.33	1.12
Total goals / match	2.80	1.67	2.38
Failed to score	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Al-Karma

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.60	2.33	2.50
Draws	20.0%	33.3%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.80	1.67	1.75
Goals conceded / match	0.40	1.00	0.62
Total goals / match	2.20	2.67	2.38
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	33.3%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Minaa Basra	Draw	Al-Karma	How it works
Strength (Elo)	29.8%	38.7%	31.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	7.9%	16.8%	72.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.56–2.21 Model expected goals

49.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

37.1% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 15.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-215.3%

0-113.9%

0-311.3%

1-28.6%

1-17.8%

1-36.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Minaa Basra	Al-Karma	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1494	1563	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-7	65	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1506	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Minaa Basra	0.50	0.75	0.62	0.50
Al-Karma	0.75	1.00	0.12	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Minaa Basra	12%	0%	25%	62%	0%
Al-Karma	0%	12%	38%	50%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Minaa Basra at home, 5 matches

2.33 Al-Karma away, 3 matches

36d Days of rest for Minaa Basra

35d Days of rest for Al-Karma

— Manager of Minaa Basra

— Manager of Al-Karma

0 Matches for Minaa Basra in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Al-Karma in the last 14 days

9 Points for Minaa Basra behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Al-Karma behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Minaa Basra, the right bar represents Al-Karma.

On the ball

20 matches

5.43

corners

5.57

8.0

fouls

6.0

1.4

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Minaa Basra	DLWLLWWD	1.38	1.25–1.12	1D
Al-Karma	WWWWWDWD	2.50	1.75–0.62	5W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Minaa Basra	2	4	2	0	1
Al-Karma	3	5	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Minaa Basra

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Al-Karma

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.