Al-Karma

Al-Karma

VS Scheduled Friday 30 Oct 202600:00

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 12

Duhok

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Al-Karma1–0Zakho
2026-09-14	26/27	Erbil1–2Al-Karma
2026-09-09	26/27	Al-Karma3–0Naft
2026-09-03	26/27	Diala1–2Al-Karma
2026-08-30	26/27	Al-Karma2–0Karbala
2026-08-26	26/27	Kahrabaa1–1Al-Karma
2026-08-21	26/27	Al-Karma2–1Shorta
2026-08-15	26/27	Al-Karma1–1Al Mosul

Duhok

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Minaa Basra1–1Duhok
2026-09-13	26/27	Karkh3–2Duhok
2026-09-08	26/27	Duhok1–1Ghaz Al Shamal SC
2026-09-03	26/27	Duhok2–1Quwa
2026-08-30	26/27	Newroz SC0–0Duhok
2026-08-26	26/27	Naft1–1Duhok
2026-08-22	26/27	Duhok3–3Talaba
2026-08-16	26/27	Duhok1–1Al Gharraf

Al-Karma Duhok

Wins

75%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

38%

Both teams scored

62%

88%

Clean sheets

38%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Al-Karma

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Al-Karma
1	Al-Karma		Zawra'a	2
1	Al-Karma		Erbil	3
1	Al-Karma	2–1	Shorta	4	4′ Away
1	Al-Karma	3–0	Naft	5	13′ Home
1	Al-Karma		Newroz SC	6
1	Al-Karma		Minaa Basra	7
1	Al-Karma		Talaba	8
1	Al-Karma		Al Jolan SC	9
1	Al-Karma		Duhok	10
1	Al-Karma		Diala	11
1	Al-Karma	1–0	Zakho	12	65′ Home
1	Al-Karma		Quwa	13
1	Al-Karma		Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14
1	Al-Karma	1–1	Al Mosul	15	—
1	Al-Karma		Karkh	16
1	Al-Karma		Kahrabaa	17
1	Al-Karma		Maysan	18
1	Al-Karma		Al Gharraf	19
1	Al-Karma	2–0	Karbala	20	49′ Home

Duhok

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Karma		Duhok	10
2	Zawra'a		Duhok	10
3	Erbil		Duhok	10
4	Shorta		Duhok	10
5	Naft	1–1	Duhok	10	23′ Away
6	Newroz SC	0–0	Duhok	10	–
7	Minaa Basra	1–1	Duhok	10	74′ Away
8	Talaba		Duhok	10
9	Al Jolan SC		Duhok	10
10 · Duhok
11	Diala		Duhok	10
12	Zakho		Duhok	10
13	Quwa		Duhok	10
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC		Duhok	10
15	Al Mosul		Duhok	10
16	Karkh	3–2	Duhok	10	39′ Away
17	Kahrabaa		Duhok	10
18	Maysan		Duhok	10
19	Al Gharraf		Duhok	10
20	Karbala		Duhok	10

Al-Karma Home Duhok Away

Wins

80%

0%

Over 1.5

80%

75%

Over 2.5

40%

25%

Over 3.5

0%

25%

Both teams scored

40%

75%

Clean sheets

60%

25%

Scores first

N/A

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Al-Karma

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.60	2.33	2.50
Draws	20.0%	33.3%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.80	1.67	1.75
Goals conceded / match	0.40	1.00	0.62
Total goals / match	2.20	2.67	2.38
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	33.3%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Duhok

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.75	1.12
Draws	75.0%	75.0%	75.0%
Goals scored / match	1.75	1.00	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.25	1.38
Total goals / match	3.25	2.25	2.75
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	75.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	0 of 3	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Al-Karma	Draw	Duhok	How it works
Strength (Elo)	45.0%	33.1%	21.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	54.4%	23.8%	20.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.72–0.96 Model expected goals

49.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

50.3% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 11.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-011.7%

1-111.3%

2-010.1%

2-19.7%

0-06.8%

0-16.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Al-Karma	Duhok	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1563	1498	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	65	-0	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1506	1491	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Al-Karma	0.75	1.00	0.12	0.50
Duhok	0.62	0.75	0.88	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Al-Karma	0%	12%	38%	50%	0%
Duhok	12%	0%	50%	12%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.60 Al-Karma at home, 5 matches

0.75 Duhok away, 4 matches

41d Days of rest for Al-Karma

42d Days of rest for Duhok

— Manager of Al-Karma

— Manager of Duhok

0 Matches for Al-Karma in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Duhok in the last 14 days

0 Points for Al-Karma behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Duhok behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Al-Karma, the right bar represents Duhok.

On the ball

20 matches

5.57

corners

5.5

6.0

fouls

8.25

3.0

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Al-Karma	WWWWWDWD	2.50	1.75–0.62	5W
Duhok	DLDWDDDD	1.12	1.38–1.38	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Al-Karma	3	5	0	0	0
Duhok	1	4	3	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Al-Karma

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Duhok

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.