Karbala

Karbala

VS Scheduled Friday 30 Oct 202600:00

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 12

Talaba

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Karbala0–3Erbil
2026-09-14	26/27	Naft2–1Karbala
2026-09-07	26/27	Karbala2–3Quwa
2026-09-04	26/27	Karbala1–0Karkh
2026-08-30	26/27	Al-Karma2–0Karbala
2026-08-26	26/27	Al Mosul3–0Karbala
2026-08-21	26/27	Karbala1–1Zawra'a
2026-08-16	26/27	Shorta1–1Karbala

Talaba

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Talaba2–2Al Jolan SC
2026-09-13	26/27	Maysan2–0Talaba
2026-09-09	26/27	Talaba3–2Karkh
2026-09-05	26/27	Zakho0–0Talaba
2026-08-31	26/27	Talaba0–0Naft
2026-08-26	26/27	Talaba1–0Newroz SC
2026-08-22	26/27	Duhok3–3Talaba
2026-08-15	26/27	Diala2–1Talaba

Karbala Talaba

Wins

12%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Karbala

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
20	Karbala		Al-Karma	1
20	Karbala	1–1	Zawra'a	2	69′ Away
20	Karbala	0–3	Erbil	3	—
20	Karbala		Shorta	4
20	Karbala		Naft	5
20	Karbala		Newroz SC	6
20	Karbala		Minaa Basra	7
20	Karbala		Talaba	8
20	Karbala		Al Jolan SC	9
20	Karbala		Duhok	10
20	Karbala		Diala	11
20	Karbala		Zakho	12
20	Karbala	2–3	Quwa	13	—
20	Karbala		Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14
20	Karbala		Al Mosul	15
20	Karbala	1–0	Karkh	16	80′ Home
20	Karbala		Kahrabaa	17
20	Karbala		Maysan	18
20	Karbala		Al Gharraf	19
20 · Karbala

Talaba

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Karma		Talaba	8
2	Zawra'a		Talaba	8
3	Erbil		Talaba	8
4	Shorta		Talaba	8
5	Naft		Talaba	8
6	Newroz SC		Talaba	8
7	Minaa Basra		Talaba	8
8 · Talaba
9	Al Jolan SC		Talaba	8
10	Duhok	3–3	Talaba	8	9′ Home
11	Diala	2–1	Talaba	8	—
12	Zakho	0–0	Talaba	8	–
13	Quwa		Talaba	8
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC		Talaba	8
15	Al Mosul		Talaba	8
16	Karkh		Talaba	8
17	Kahrabaa		Talaba	8
18	Maysan	2–0	Talaba	8	77′ Home
19	Al Gharraf		Talaba	8
20	Karbala		Talaba	8

Karbala Home Talaba Away

Wins

25%

0%

Over 1.5

75%

Over 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

25%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

25%

Scores first

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Karbala

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.25	0.62
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.50	0.75
Goals conceded / match	1.75	2.00	1.88
Total goals / match	2.75	2.50	2.62
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Talaba

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.50	1.25
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.00	1.25
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.75	1.38
Total goals / match	2.50	2.75	2.62
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Karbala	Draw	Talaba	How it works
Strength (Elo)	32.0%	38.7%	29.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	11.0%	17.9%	68.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.74–2.22 Model expected goals

54.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.2% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 12.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-212.8%

0-111.5%

0-39.5%

1-29.4%

1-18.5%

1-37.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Karbala	Talaba	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1447	1492	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-55	0	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1503	1486	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Karbala	0.00	0.75	0.62	1.25
Talaba	0.88	0.38	0.62	0.75

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Karbala	0%	12%	38%	38%	12%
Talaba	25%	12%	12%	12%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Karbala at home, 4 matches

0.50 Talaba away, 4 matches

42d Days of rest for Karbala

42d Days of rest for Talaba

— Manager of Karbala

— Manager of Talaba

0 Matches for Karbala in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Talaba in the last 14 days

15 Points for Karbala behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

10 Points for Talaba behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Karbala, the right bar represents Talaba.

On the ball

20 matches

3.5

corners

3.29

12.5

fouls

12.33

2.67

yellow cards

2.6

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Karbala	LLLWLLDD	0.62	0.75–1.88	3L
Talaba	DLWDDWDL	1.25	1.25–1.38	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Karbala	0	4	4	0	0
Talaba	3	4	1	1	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Karbala

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Talaba

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.