Al Mosul

Al Mosul

VS Scheduled Friday 4 Dec 202600:00

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 16

Minaa Basra

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Al Mosul0–1Naft
2026-09-13	26/27	Zakho2–1Al Mosul
2026-09-09	26/27	Newroz SC3–0Al Mosul
2026-09-03	26/27	Al Mosul2–2Zawra'a
2026-08-30	26/27	Shorta2–0Al Mosul
2026-08-26	26/27	Al Mosul3–0Karbala
2026-08-21	26/27	Al Mosul2–1Diala
2026-08-15	26/27	Al-Karma1–1Al Mosul

Minaa Basra

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Minaa Basra1–1Duhok
2026-09-13	26/27	Kahrabaa2–1Minaa Basra
2026-09-09	26/27	Minaa Basra3–0Maysan
2026-09-05	26/27	Minaa Basra0–3Naft
2026-08-31	26/27	Erbil2–0Minaa Basra
2026-08-26	26/27	Minaa Basra3–0Al Gharraf
2026-08-20	26/27	Minaa Basra2–1Zakho
2026-08-15	26/27	Zawra'a0–0Minaa Basra

Al Mosul Minaa Basra

Wins

25%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

50%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Al Mosul

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Al Mosul		Al-Karma	1
15	Al Mosul	2–2	Zawra'a	2	33′ Away
15	Al Mosul		Erbil	3
15	Al Mosul		Shorta	4
15	Al Mosul	0–1	Naft	5	90+8′ Away
15	Al Mosul		Newroz SC	6
15	Al Mosul		Minaa Basra	7
15	Al Mosul		Talaba	8
15	Al Mosul		Al Jolan SC	9
15	Al Mosul		Duhok	10
15	Al Mosul	2–1	Diala	11	36′ Home
15	Al Mosul		Zakho	12
15	Al Mosul		Quwa	13
15	Al Mosul		Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14
15 · Al Mosul
15	Al Mosul		Karkh	16
15	Al Mosul		Kahrabaa	17
15	Al Mosul		Maysan	18
15	Al Mosul		Al Gharraf	19
15	Al Mosul	3–0	Karbala	20	39′ Home

Minaa Basra

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Karma		Minaa Basra	7
2	Zawra'a	0–0	Minaa Basra	7	–
3	Erbil	2–0	Minaa Basra	7	—
4	Shorta		Minaa Basra	7
5	Naft		Minaa Basra	7
6	Newroz SC		Minaa Basra	7
7 · Minaa Basra
8	Talaba		Minaa Basra	7
9	Al Jolan SC		Minaa Basra	7
10	Duhok		Minaa Basra	7
11	Diala		Minaa Basra	7
12	Zakho		Minaa Basra	7
13	Quwa		Minaa Basra	7
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC		Minaa Basra	7
15	Al Mosul		Minaa Basra	7
16	Karkh		Minaa Basra	7
17	Kahrabaa	2–1	Minaa Basra	7	—
18	Maysan		Minaa Basra	7
19	Al Gharraf		Minaa Basra	7
20	Karbala		Minaa Basra	7

Al Mosul Home Minaa Basra Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

75%

67%

Over 2.5

75%

33%

Over 3.5

25%

0%

Both teams scored

50%

33%

Clean sheets

25%

33%

Scores first

50%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Al Mosul

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.75	0.25	1.00
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.75	0.50	1.12
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.50
Total goals / match	2.75	2.50	2.62
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	3	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	3	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Minaa Basra

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.33	1.38
Draws	20.0%	33.3%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.80	0.33	1.25
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.33	1.12
Total goals / match	2.80	1.67	2.38
Failed to score	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Al Mosul	Draw	Minaa Basra	How it works
Strength (Elo)	34.6%	38.1%	27.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	14.9%	19.7%	63.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.90–2.11 Model expected goals

55.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

50.8% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 11.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-211.0%

0-110.4%

1-29.9%

1-19.3%

0-37.8%

1-37.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Al Mosul	Minaa Basra	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1475	1494	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-26	-7	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1506	1499	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Al Mosul	0.38	0.75	0.62	0.88
Minaa Basra	0.50	0.75	0.62	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Al Mosul	0%	12%	25%	50%	12%
Minaa Basra	12%	0%	25%	62%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.75 Al Mosul at home, 4 matches

0.33 Minaa Basra away, 3 matches

77d Days of rest for Al Mosul

77d Days of rest for Minaa Basra

— Manager of Al Mosul

— Manager of Minaa Basra

0 Matches for Al Mosul in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Minaa Basra in the last 14 days

12 Points for Al Mosul behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Minaa Basra behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Al Mosul, the right bar represents Minaa Basra.

On the ball

20 matches

3.5

corners

5.43

8.0

fouls

8.0

1.6

yellow cards

1.4

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Al Mosul	LLLDLWWD	1.00	1.12–1.50	3L
Minaa Basra	DLWLLWWD	1.38	1.25–1.12	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Al Mosul	2	3	3	0	0
Minaa Basra	2	4	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Al Mosul

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Minaa Basra

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.