Naft

Naft

VS Scheduled Friday 4 Dec 202600:00

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 16

Newroz SC

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Al Mosul0–1Naft
2026-09-14	26/27	Naft2–1Karbala
2026-09-09	26/27	Al-Karma3–0Naft
2026-09-05	26/27	Minaa Basra0–3Naft
2026-08-31	26/27	Talaba0–0Naft
2026-08-26	26/27	Naft1–1Duhok
2026-08-20	26/27	Maysan0–0Naft
2026-08-14	26/27	Naft2–0Karkh

Newroz SC

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Ghaz Al Shamal SC0–0Newroz SC
2026-09-14	26/27	Al Jolan SC0–2Newroz SC
2026-09-09	26/27	Newroz SC3–0Al Mosul
2026-09-04	26/27	Maysan0–2Newroz SC
2026-08-30	26/27	Newroz SC0–0Duhok
2026-08-26	26/27	Talaba1–0Newroz SC
2026-08-22	26/27	Al Gharraf1–0Newroz SC
2026-08-14	26/27	Newroz SC3–3Quwa

Naft Newroz SC

Wins

50%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

25%

Both teams scored

25%

12%

Clean sheets

62%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Naft

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Naft		Al-Karma	1
5	Naft		Zawra'a	2
5	Naft		Erbil	3
5	Naft		Shorta	4
5 · Naft
5	Naft		Newroz SC	6
5	Naft		Minaa Basra	7
5	Naft		Talaba	8
5	Naft		Al Jolan SC	9
5	Naft	1–1	Duhok	10	23′ Away
5	Naft		Diala	11
5	Naft		Zakho	12
5	Naft		Quwa	13
5	Naft		Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14
5	Naft		Al Mosul	15
5	Naft	2–0	Karkh	16	12′ Home
5	Naft		Kahrabaa	17
5	Naft		Maysan	18
5	Naft		Al Gharraf	19
5	Naft	2–1	Karbala	20	—

Newroz SC

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Karma		Newroz SC	6
2	Zawra'a		Newroz SC	6
3	Erbil		Newroz SC	6
4	Shorta		Newroz SC	6
5	Naft		Newroz SC	6
6 · Newroz SC
7	Minaa Basra		Newroz SC	6
8	Talaba	1–0	Newroz SC	6	75′ Home
9	Al Jolan SC	0–2	Newroz SC	6	38′ Away
10	Duhok		Newroz SC	6
11	Diala		Newroz SC	6
12	Zakho		Newroz SC	6
13	Quwa		Newroz SC	6
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC	0–0	Newroz SC	6	–
15	Al Mosul		Newroz SC	6
16	Karkh		Newroz SC	6
17	Kahrabaa		Newroz SC	6
18	Maysan	0–2	Newroz SC	6	36′ Away
19	Al Gharraf	1–0	Newroz SC	6	33′ Home
20	Karbala		Newroz SC	6

Naft Home Newroz SC Away

Wins

67%

40%

Over 1.5

100%

40%

Over 2.5

33%

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

67%

0%

Clean sheets

33%

60%

Scores first

N/A

40%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Naft

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.60	1.88
Draws	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.80	1.12
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.60	0.62
Total goals / match	2.33	1.40	1.75
Failed to score	0.0%	60.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	60.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Newroz SC

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.67	1.40	1.50
Draws	66.7%	20.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.80	1.25
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.40	0.62
Total goals / match	3.00	1.20	1.88
Failed to score	33.3%	60.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	100.0%	75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	2	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Naft	Draw	Newroz SC	How it works
Strength (Elo)	37.2%	37.2%	25.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	22.2%	37.0%	40.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.56–0.87 Model expected goals

17.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

25.0% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 23.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-023.9%

0-120.8%

1-013.4%

1-111.7%

0-29.1%

1-25.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Naft	Newroz SC	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1536	1532	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	24	33	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1499	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Naft	0.62	0.50	0.38	0.25
Newroz SC	0.88	0.38	0.38	0.25

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Naft	25%	12%	25%	38%	0%
Newroz SC	25%	25%	25%	12%	12%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Naft at home, 3 matches

1.40 Newroz SC away, 5 matches

77d Days of rest for Naft

76d Days of rest for Newroz SC

— Manager of Naft

— Manager of Newroz SC

0 Matches for Naft in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Newroz SC in the last 14 days

5 Points for Naft behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Newroz SC behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Naft, the right bar represents Newroz SC.

On the ball

20 matches

2.71

corners

4.29

13.0

fouls

8.0

2.57

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Naft	WWLWDDDW	1.88	1.12–0.62	2W
Newroz SC	DWWWDLLD	1.50	1.25–0.62	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Naft	2	4	2	0	0
Newroz SC	4	3	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Naft

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newroz SC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.