Karbala

VS Scheduled Friday 25 Dec 202600:00

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 18

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Karbala0–3Erbil
2026-09-14	26/27	Naft2–1Karbala
2026-09-07	26/27	Karbala2–3Quwa
2026-09-04	26/27	Karbala1–0Karkh
2026-08-30	26/27	Al-Karma2–0Karbala
2026-08-26	26/27	Al Mosul3–0Karbala
2026-08-21	26/27	Karbala1–1Zawra'a
2026-08-16	26/27	Shorta1–1Karbala

Diala

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Quwa1–1Diala
2026-09-12	26/27	Diala3–1Al Gharraf
2026-09-08	26/27	Erbil2–0Diala
2026-09-03	26/27	Diala1–2Al-Karma
2026-08-29	26/27	Diala3–3Al Jolan SC
2026-08-25	26/27	Zakho2–2Diala
2026-08-21	26/27	Al Mosul2–1Diala
2026-08-15	26/27	Diala2–1Talaba

Karbala Diala

Wins

12%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

75%

Both teams scored

50%

88%

Clean sheets

12%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Karbala

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
20	Karbala		Al-Karma	1
20	Karbala	1–1	Zawra'a	2	69′ Away
20	Karbala	0–3	Erbil	3	—
20	Karbala		Shorta	4
20	Karbala		Naft	5
20	Karbala		Newroz SC	6
20	Karbala		Minaa Basra	7
20	Karbala		Talaba	8
20	Karbala		Al Jolan SC	9
20	Karbala		Duhok	10
20	Karbala		Diala	11
20	Karbala		Zakho	12
20	Karbala	2–3	Quwa	13	—
20	Karbala		Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14
20	Karbala		Al Mosul	15
20	Karbala	1–0	Karkh	16	80′ Home
20	Karbala		Kahrabaa	17
20	Karbala		Maysan	18
20	Karbala		Al Gharraf	19
20 · Karbala

Diala

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Karma		Diala	11
2	Zawra'a		Diala	11
3	Erbil	2–0	Diala	11	16′ Home
4	Shorta		Diala	11
5	Naft		Diala	11
6	Newroz SC		Diala	11
7	Minaa Basra		Diala	11
8	Talaba		Diala	11
9	Al Jolan SC		Diala	11
10	Duhok		Diala	11
11 · Diala
12	Zakho	2–2	Diala	11	39′ Home
13	Quwa	1–1	Diala	11	—
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC		Diala	11
15	Al Mosul	2–1	Diala	11	36′ Home
16	Karkh		Diala	11
17	Kahrabaa		Diala	11
18	Maysan		Diala	11
19	Al Gharraf		Diala	11
20	Karbala		Diala	11

Karbala Home Diala Away

Wins

25%

0%

Over 1.5

75%

100%

Over 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

25%

Both teams scored

50%

75%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Scores first

25%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Karbala

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.25	0.62
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.50	0.75
Goals conceded / match	1.75	2.00	1.88
Total goals / match	2.75	2.50	2.62
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Diala

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.75	0.50	1.12
Draws	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	2.25	1.00	1.62
Goals conceded / match	1.75	1.75	1.75
Total goals / match	4.00	2.75	3.38
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Karbala	Draw	Diala	How it works
Strength (Elo)	32.0%	38.7%	29.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	14.6%	18.9%	63.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.94–2.22 Model expected goals

58.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

52.6% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 10.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-210.5%

1-29.8%

0-19.4%

1-18.9%

0-37.8%

1-37.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Karbala	Diala	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1447	1492	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-55	-16	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1503	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Karbala	0.00	0.75	0.62	1.25
Diala	0.38	1.25	1.25	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Karbala	0%	12%	38%	38%	12%
Diala	0%	0%	25%	38%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Karbala at home, 4 matches

0.50 Diala away, 4 matches

98d Days of rest for Karbala

97d Days of rest for Diala

— Manager of Karbala

— Manager of Diala

0 Matches for Karbala in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Diala in the last 14 days

15 Points for Karbala behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Diala behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Karbala, the right bar represents Diala.

On the ball

20 matches

3.5

corners

4.33

12.5

fouls

8.5

2.67

yellow cards

3.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Karbala	LLLWLLDD	0.62	0.75–1.88	3L
Diala	DWLLDDLW	1.12	1.62–1.75	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Karbala	0	4	4	0	0
Diala	0	3	5	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Karbala

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Diala

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.