Talaba

Talaba

VS Scheduled Friday 25 Dec 202600:00

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 18

Erbil

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Talaba2–2Al Jolan SC
2026-09-13	26/27	Maysan2–0Talaba
2026-09-09	26/27	Talaba3–2Karkh
2026-09-05	26/27	Zakho0–0Talaba
2026-08-31	26/27	Talaba0–0Naft
2026-08-26	26/27	Talaba1–0Newroz SC
2026-08-22	26/27	Duhok3–3Talaba
2026-08-15	26/27	Diala2–1Talaba

Erbil

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Karbala0–3Erbil
2026-09-14	26/27	Erbil1–2Al-Karma
2026-09-08	26/27	Erbil2–0Diala
2026-09-04	26/27	Shorta0–0Erbil
2026-08-31	26/27	Erbil2–0Minaa Basra
2026-08-25	26/27	Karkh0–1Erbil
2026-08-21	26/27	Erbil1–1Quwa
2026-08-16	26/27	Erbil2–0Kahrabaa

Talaba Erbil

Wins

25%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

25%

Both teams scored

50%

25%

Clean sheets

38%

75%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Talaba

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Talaba		Al-Karma	1
8	Talaba		Zawra'a	2
8	Talaba		Erbil	3
8	Talaba		Shorta	4
8	Talaba	0–0	Naft	5	–
8	Talaba	1–0	Newroz SC	6	75′ Home
8	Talaba		Minaa Basra	7
8 · Talaba
8	Talaba	2–2	Al Jolan SC	9	21′ Home
8	Talaba		Duhok	10
8	Talaba		Diala	11
8	Talaba		Zakho	12
8	Talaba		Quwa	13
8	Talaba		Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14
8	Talaba		Al Mosul	15
8	Talaba	3–2	Karkh	16	13′ Home
8	Talaba		Kahrabaa	17
8	Talaba		Maysan	18
8	Talaba		Al Gharraf	19
8	Talaba		Karbala	20

Erbil

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Karma		Erbil	3
2	Zawra'a		Erbil	3
3 · Erbil
4	Shorta	0–0	Erbil	3	–
5	Naft		Erbil	3
6	Newroz SC		Erbil	3
7	Minaa Basra		Erbil	3
8	Talaba		Erbil	3
9	Al Jolan SC		Erbil	3
10	Duhok		Erbil	3
11	Diala		Erbil	3
12	Zakho		Erbil	3
13	Quwa		Erbil	3
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC		Erbil	3
15	Al Mosul		Erbil	3
16	Karkh	0–1	Erbil	3	4′ Away
17	Kahrabaa		Erbil	3
18	Maysan		Erbil	3
19	Al Gharraf		Erbil	3
20	Karbala	0–3	Erbil	3	—

Talaba Home Erbil Away

Wins

50%

67%

Over 1.5

50%

33%

Over 2.5

50%

33%

Over 3.5

50%

0%

Both teams scored

50%

0%

Clean sheets

50%

100%

Scores first

75%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Talaba

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.50	1.25
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.00	1.25
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.75	1.38
Total goals / match	2.50	2.75	2.62
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	1	2
46–60	0	0
61–75	3	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Erbil

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.33	2.12
Draws	20.0%	33.3%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.60	1.33	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.60	0.00	0.38
Total goals / match	2.20	1.33	1.88
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	66.7%	75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	0
16–30	—	0
31–45	—	0
46–60	—	0
61–75	—	0
76–90	—	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Talaba	Draw	Erbil	How it works
Strength (Elo)	30.7%	38.7%	30.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	7.9%	16.7%	72.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.56–2.22 Model expected goals

50.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

37.1% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 15.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-215.3%

0-113.8%

0-311.3%

1-28.6%

1-17.7%

1-36.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Talaba	Erbil	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1492	1551	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	0	38	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1486	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Talaba	0.88	0.38	0.62	0.75
Erbil	0.88	0.62	0.25	0.12

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Talaba	25%	12%	12%	12%	38%
Erbil	12%	12%	50%	25%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Talaba at home, 4 matches

2.33 Erbil away, 3 matches

98d Days of rest for Talaba

98d Days of rest for Erbil

— Manager of Talaba

— Manager of Erbil

0 Matches for Talaba in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Erbil in the last 14 days

10 Points for Talaba behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

3 Points for Erbil behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Talaba, the right bar represents Erbil.

On the ball

20 matches

3.29

corners

4.88

12.33

fouls

9.0

2.6

yellow cards

2.29

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Talaba	DLWDDWDL	1.25	1.25–1.38	1D
Erbil	WLWDWWDW	2.12	1.50–0.38	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Talaba	3	4	1	1	3
Erbil	5	2	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Talaba

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Erbil

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.