Naft

Naft

VS Scheduled Monday 28 Dec 202600:00

Iraq 26/27 Iraq Stars League · Matchday 19

Zawra'a

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Al Mosul0–1Naft
2026-09-14	26/27	Naft2–1Karbala
2026-09-09	26/27	Al-Karma3–0Naft
2026-09-05	26/27	Minaa Basra0–3Naft
2026-08-31	26/27	Talaba0–0Naft
2026-08-26	26/27	Naft1–1Duhok
2026-08-20	26/27	Maysan0–0Naft
2026-08-14	26/27	Naft2–0Karkh

Zawra'a

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-17	26/27	Zawra'a2–0Al Gharraf
2026-09-10	26/27	Quwa0–1Zawra'a
2026-09-07	26/27	Zawra'a1–0Kahrabaa
2026-09-03	26/27	Al Mosul2–2Zawra'a
2026-08-29	26/27	Zawra'a4–0Zakho
2026-08-25	26/27	Zawra'a4–0Maysan
2026-08-21	26/27	Karbala1–1Zawra'a
2026-08-15	26/27	Zawra'a0–0Minaa Basra

Naft Zawra'a

Wins

50%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Both teams scored

25%

Clean sheets

62%

75%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Naft

Home · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Naft		Al-Karma	1
5	Naft		Zawra'a	2
5	Naft		Erbil	3
5	Naft		Shorta	4
5 · Naft
5	Naft		Newroz SC	6
5	Naft		Minaa Basra	7
5	Naft		Talaba	8
5	Naft		Al Jolan SC	9
5	Naft	1–1	Duhok	10	23′ Away
5	Naft		Diala	11
5	Naft		Zakho	12
5	Naft		Quwa	13
5	Naft		Ghaz Al Shamal SC	14
5	Naft		Al Mosul	15
5	Naft	2–0	Karkh	16	12′ Home
5	Naft		Kahrabaa	17
5	Naft		Maysan	18
5	Naft		Al Gharraf	19
5	Naft	2–1	Karbala	20	—

Zawra'a

Away · Iraq Stars League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Karma		Zawra'a	2
2 · Zawra'a
3	Erbil		Zawra'a	2
4	Shorta		Zawra'a	2
5	Naft		Zawra'a	2
6	Newroz SC		Zawra'a	2
7	Minaa Basra		Zawra'a	2
8	Talaba		Zawra'a	2
9	Al Jolan SC		Zawra'a	2
10	Duhok		Zawra'a	2
11	Diala		Zawra'a	2
12	Zakho		Zawra'a	2
13	Quwa	0–1	Zawra'a	2	40′ Away
14	Ghaz Al Shamal SC		Zawra'a	2
15	Al Mosul	2–2	Zawra'a	2	33′ Away
16	Karkh		Zawra'a	2
17	Kahrabaa		Zawra'a	2
18	Maysan		Zawra'a	2
19	Al Gharraf		Zawra'a	2
20	Karbala	1–1	Zawra'a	2	69′ Away

Naft Home Zawra'a Away

Wins

67%

33%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

67%

Clean sheets

33%

Scores first

N/A

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Iraq Stars League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Naft

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.60	1.88
Draws	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.80	1.12
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.60	0.62
Total goals / match	2.33	1.40	1.75
Failed to score	0.0%	60.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	60.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Zawra'a

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.60	1.67	2.25
Draws	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	2.20	1.33	1.88
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.00	0.38
Total goals / match	2.20	2.33	2.25
Failed to score	20.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	66.7%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Naft	Draw	Zawra'a	How it works
Strength (Elo)	34.3%	38.2%	27.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	15.9%	28.9%	55.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.56–1.31 Model expected goals

28.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

31.2% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 20.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-120.2%

0-015.4%

0-213.2%

1-111.3%

1-08.6%

1-27.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Naft	Zawra'a	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1536	1558	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	24	60	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1495	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Naft	0.62	0.50	0.38	0.25
Zawra'a	1.25	0.62	0.00	0.38

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Naft	25%	12%	25%	38%	0%
Zawra'a	12%	25%	25%	0%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Naft at home, 3 matches

1.67 Zawra'a away, 3 matches

101d Days of rest for Naft

102d Days of rest for Zawra'a

— Manager of Naft

— Manager of Zawra'a

0 Matches for Naft in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Zawra'a in the last 14 days

5 Points for Naft behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Zawra'a behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

2.29 League goals per match

38.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Naft, the right bar represents Zawra'a.

On the ball

20 matches

2.71

corners

4.0

13.0

fouls

9.67

2.57

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Naft	WWLWDDDW	1.88	1.12–0.62	2W
Zawra'a	WWWDWWDD	2.25	1.88–0.38	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Naft	2	4	2	0	0
Zawra'a	6	2	0	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Naft

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Zawra'a

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.