Universidad Católica

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202601:00

Ecuador 2026 Liga Pro · Matchday 2

Macará

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

Universidad CatólicaWins: 1
Draws50.0% of meetings: 1
MacaráWins: 0

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-18	2026	Macará1–1Universidad Católica
2026-04-24	2026	Universidad Católica4–0Macará

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-21	2026	LDU Quito2–1Universidad Católica
2026-09-15	2026	Universidad Católica2–1Orense
2026-09-06	2026	Delfin0–1Universidad Católica
2026-09-03	2026	Universidad Católica1–1Aucas
2026-08-29	2026	Independiente del Valle2–2Universidad Católica
2026-08-22	2026	Universidad Católica5–1Manta
2026-08-18	2026	Macará1–1Universidad Católica
2026-08-10	2026	Libertad2–1Universidad Católica

Macará

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Aucas1–2Macará
2026-09-13	2026	Macará1–0Emelec
2026-09-05	2026	Independiente del Valle3–1Macará
2026-09-02	2026	Macará4–3Manta
2026-08-30	2026	Orense1–2Macará
2026-08-25	2026	Libertad1–0Macará
2026-08-18	2026	Macará1–1Universidad Católica
2026-08-09	2026	Barcelona Guayaquil1–2Macará

Universidad Católica Macará

Wins

38%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

88%

75%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Universidad Católica

Home · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Universidad Católica	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	—
3	Universidad Católica	4–0	Macará	2	—
3 · Universidad Católica
3	Universidad Católica	1–1	Aucas	4	45+6′ Home
3	Universidad Católica	1–0	LDU Quito	5	59′ Home
3	Universidad Católica	2–1	Barcelona Guayaquil	6	3′ Home
3	Universidad Católica	2–0	Libertad	7	57′ Home
3	Universidad Católica	3–0	Leones del Norte	8	32′ Home
3	Universidad Católica	4–1	Guayaquil City FC	9	—
3	Universidad Católica	2–3	Mushuc Runa	10	45+2′ Away
3	Universidad Católica	1–1	Emelec	11	46′ Home
3	Universidad Católica	1–0	Deportivo Cuenca	12	65′ Home
3	Universidad Católica	2–1	Orense	13	3′ Home
3	Universidad Católica	5–0	Técnico Universitario	14	—
3	Universidad Católica	2–2	Delfin	15	6′ Home
3	Universidad Católica	5–1	Manta	16	20′ Home

Macará

Away · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Independiente del Valle	3–1	Macará	2	—
2 · Macará
3	Universidad Católica	4–0	Macará	2	—
4	Aucas	1–4	Macará	2	21′ Home
4	Aucas	1–2	Macará	2	45+2′ Away
5	LDU Quito	0–2	Macará	2	12′ Away
6	Barcelona Guayaquil	1–2	Macará	2	15′ Away
7	Libertad	1–0	Macará	2	5′ Home
8	Leones del Norte	1–1	Macará	2	61′ Away
9	Guayaquil City FC	2–1	Macará	2	45+1′ Away
10	Mushuc Runa	0–0	Macará	2	–
11	Emelec	2–0	Macará	2	21′ Home
12	Deportivo Cuenca	1–1	Macará	2	20′ Home
13	Orense	1–2	Macará	2	14′ Away
14	Técnico Universitario	0–2	Macará	2	30′ Away
15	Delfin	2–1	Macará	2	45+2′ Away
16	Manta	0–1	Macará	2	71′ Away

Universidad Católica Home Macará Away

Wins

67%

44%

Over 1.5

87%

81%

Over 2.5

67%

50%

Over 3.5

47%

19%

Both teams scored

60%

56%

Clean sheets

40%

25%

Scores first

N/A

56%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Universidad Católica

31 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away16 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	2.20	1.12	1.65
Draws	20.0%	37.5%	29.0%
Goals scored / match	2.47	0.94	1.68
Goals conceded / match	0.93	0.94	0.94
Total goals / match	3.40	1.88	2.61
Failed to score	0.0%	31.2%	16.1%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	68.8%	51.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Macará

31 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away16 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.50	1.74
Draws	20.0%	18.8%	19.4%
Goals scored / match	1.53	1.25	1.39
Goals conceded / match	0.93	1.25	1.10
Total goals / match	2.47	2.50	2.48
Failed to score	20.0%	25.0%	22.6%
Under 2.5 goals	46.7%	50.0%	48.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	7 of 9	78%
Scores first → wins	6 of 9	67%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 6	17%

Scoring order known: 16/16 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Universidad Católica	Draw	Macará	How it works
Strength (Elo)	44.5%	23.8%	31.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	30.9%	22.2%	45.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.53–1.90 Model expected goals

64.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

65.2% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 9.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-19.4%

1-28.9%

2-17.2%

2-26.8%

0-16.1%

0-25.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Universidad Católica	Macará	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1568	1572	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	18	50	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1507	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Universidad Católica	0.80	0.85	0.55	0.65
Macará	0.65	0.90	0.60	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Universidad Católica	6%	19%	26%	23%	26%
Macará	6%	19%	23%	36%	16%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.89 Universidad Católica at home, 9 matches

1.73 Macará away, 11 matches

20d Days of rest for Universidad Católica

22d Days of rest for Macará

— Manager of Universidad Católica

— Manager of Macará

0 Matches for Universidad Católica in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Macará in the last 14 days

23 Points for Universidad Católica behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

20 Points for Macará behind the leaders, and 21 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

24.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Universidad Católica, the right bar represents Macará.

On the ball

20 matches

4.56

corners

4.61

10.5

fouls

12.5

2.56

yellow cards

2.17

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Universidad Católica	LWWDDWDLWD	1.60	1.90–1.00	1L
Macará	WWLWWLDWWW	2.20	1.90–1.30	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Universidad Católica	7	9	4	0	2
Macará	7	8	5	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Universidad Católica

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Macará

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.