Macará

Macará

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Oct 202601:00

Ecuador 2026 Liga Pro · Matchday 3

Independiente del Valle

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

MacaráWins: 0
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Independiente del ValleWins: 2

Goals per match: 3.50
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-05	2026	Independiente del Valle3–1Macará
2026-05-16	2026	Macará0–3Independiente del Valle

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Aucas1–2Macará
2026-09-13	2026	Macará1–0Emelec
2026-09-05	2026	Independiente del Valle3–1Macará
2026-09-02	2026	Macará4–3Manta
2026-08-30	2026	Orense1–2Macará
2026-08-25	2026	Libertad1–0Macará
2026-08-18	2026	Macará1–1Universidad Católica
2026-08-09	2026	Barcelona Guayaquil1–2Macará

Independiente del Valle

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-14	2026	Libertad2–3Independiente del Valle
2026-09-05	2026	Independiente del Valle3–1Macará
2026-09-03	2026	Barcelona Guayaquil2–1Independiente del Valle
2026-08-29	2026	Independiente del Valle2–2Universidad Católica
2026-08-22	2026	Leones del Norte2–3Independiente del Valle
2026-08-15	2026	Independiente del Valle3–2Delfin
2026-08-08	2026	LDU Quito0–2Independiente del Valle
2026-08-02	2026	Independiente del Valle1–0Deportivo Cuenca

Macará Independiente del Valle

Wins

62%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

75%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Macará

Home · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Macará	0–3	Independiente del Valle	1	45+2′ Away
2 · Macará
2	Macará	1–1	Universidad Católica	3	52′ Away
2	Macará	0–1	Aucas	4	75′ Away
2	Macará	1–0	LDU Quito	5	20′ Home
2	Macará	3–1	Barcelona Guayaquil	6	27′ Away
2	Macará	3–0	Libertad	7	11′ Home
2	Macará	0–0	Leones del Norte	8	–
2	Macará	2–1	Guayaquil City FC	9	35′ Home
2	Macará	2–1	Mushuc Runa	10	12′ Away
2	Macará	1–0	Emelec	11	60′ Home
2	Macará	3–0	Deportivo Cuenca	12	1′ Home
2	Macará	1–2	Orense	13	22′ Away
2	Macará	1–1	Técnico Universitario	14	46′ Away
2	Macará	1–0	Delfin	15	25′ Home
2	Macará	4–3	Manta	16	20′ Home

Independiente del Valle

Away · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Independiente del Valle
2	Macará	0–3	Independiente del Valle	1	45+2′ Away
3	Universidad Católica	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	—
4	Aucas	0–3	Independiente del Valle	1	14′ Away
5	LDU Quito	0–2	Independiente del Valle	1	1′ Away
6	Barcelona Guayaquil	2–1	Independiente del Valle	1	40′ Away
7	Libertad	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	19′ Away
8	Leones del Norte	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	1′ Home
9	Guayaquil City FC	2–4	Independiente del Valle	1	8′ Away
10	Mushuc Runa	1–4	Independiente del Valle	1	19′ Away
11	Emelec	2–0	Independiente del Valle	1	19′ Home
12	Deportivo Cuenca	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	26′ Home
13	Orense	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	27′ Away
14	Técnico Universitario	1–2	Independiente del Valle	1	36′ Away
15	Delfin	0–1	Independiente del Valle	1	48′ Away
16	Manta	0–2	Independiente del Valle	1	80′ Away

Macará Home Independiente del Valle Away

Wins

60%

87%

Over 1.5

67%

93%

Over 2.5

53%

73%

Over 3.5

13%

47%

Both teams scored

47%

60%

Clean sheets

40%

33%

Scores first

47%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Macará

31 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away16 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.50	1.74
Draws	20.0%	18.8%	19.4%
Goals scored / match	1.53	1.25	1.39
Goals conceded / match	0.93	1.25	1.10
Total goals / match	2.47	2.50	2.48
Failed to score	20.0%	25.0%	22.6%
Under 2.5 goals	46.7%	50.0%	48.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 7	57%
Scores first → wins	7 of 7	100%
Concedes first → wins	2 of 7	29%

Scoring order known: 15/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	5	2
31–45	1	3
46–60	2	4
61–75	4	2
76–90	9	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Independiente del Valle

30 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away15 matches	Overall30 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.60	2.47
Draws	13.3%	0.0%	6.7%
Goals scored / match	2.40	2.47	2.43
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.20	1.10
Total goals / match	3.40	3.67	3.53
Failed to score	6.7%	6.7%	6.7%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	26.7%	30.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Macará	Draw	Independiente del Valle	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.1%	24.2%	42.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	20.1%	18.6%	57.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.38–2.45 Model expected goals

69.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

65.2% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.0%

1-17.3%

1-37.3%

0-26.5%

2-26.2%

0-15.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Macará	Independiente del Valle	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1572	1678	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	50	39	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1503	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Macará	0.65	0.90	0.60	0.60
Independiente del Valle	1.40	1.40	0.25	0.90

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Macará	6%	19%	23%	36%	16%
Independiente del Valle	0%	10%	20%	20%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.11 Macará at home, 9 matches

2.70 Independiente del Valle away, 10 matches

29d Days of rest for Macará

34d Days of rest for Independiente del Valle

— Manager of Macará

— Manager of Independiente del Valle

0 Matches for Macará in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Independiente del Valle in the last 14 days

20 Points for Macará behind the leaders, and 21 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Independiente del Valle behind the leaders, and 41 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

24.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Macará, the right bar represents Independiente del Valle.

On the ball

20 matches

4.61

corners

5.65

12.5

fouls

9.17

2.17

yellow cards

2.36

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Macará	WWLWWLDWWW	2.20	1.90–1.30	2W
Independiente del Valle	WWLDWWWWWW	2.50	2.40–1.30	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Macará	7	8	5	0	1
Independiente del Valle	15	4	1	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Macará

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Independiente del Valle

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.