Leones del Norte

Leones del Norte

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Oct 202601:00

Ecuador 2026 Liga Pro · Matchday 3

Emelec

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

Leones del NorteWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
EmelecWins: 1

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-31	2026	Emelec2–1Leones del Norte
2026-05-03	2026	Leones del Norte2–0Emelec

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Guayaquil City FC1–1Leones del Norte
2026-09-13	2026	Leones del Norte0–1Técnico Universitario
2026-09-08	2026	Mushuc Runa1–1Leones del Norte
2026-09-03	2026	Leones del Norte1–0Orense
2026-08-31	2026	Emelec2–1Leones del Norte
2026-08-22	2026	Leones del Norte2–3Independiente del Valle
2026-08-15	2026	Manta0–2Leones del Norte
2026-08-08	2026	Aucas3–0Leones del Norte

Emelec

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Emelec1–2Libertad
2026-09-13	2026	Macará1–0Emelec
2026-09-08	2026	Emelec1–0Manta
2026-09-04	2026	Libertad1–1Emelec
2026-08-31	2026	Emelec2–1Leones del Norte
2026-08-24	2026	LDU Quito2–0Emelec
2026-08-16	2026	Emelec2–1Técnico Universitario
2026-08-10	2026	Guayaquil City FC0–0Emelec

Leones del Norte Emelec

Wins

25%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Leones del Norte

Home · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Leones del Norte	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	1′ Home
8	Leones del Norte	1–1	Macará	2	61′ Away
8	Leones del Norte	1–0	Universidad Católica	3	27′ Home
8	Leones del Norte	0–1	Aucas	4	78′ Away
8	Leones del Norte	0–2	LDU Quito	5	46′ Away
8	Leones del Norte	1–1	Barcelona Guayaquil	6	22′ Home
8	Leones del Norte	1–1	Libertad	7	5′ Home
8 · Leones del Norte
8	Leones del Norte	1–1	Guayaquil City FC	9	10′ Away
8	Leones del Norte	3–1	Mushuc Runa	10	31′ Home
8	Leones del Norte	2–0	Emelec	11	45+7′ Home
8	Leones del Norte	1–1	Deportivo Cuenca	12	18′ Away
8	Leones del Norte	1–0	Orense	13	61′ Home
8	Leones del Norte	0–1	Técnico Universitario	14	36′ Away
8	Leones del Norte	1–0	Delfin	15	59′ Home
8	Leones del Norte	3–0	Manta	16	16′ Home

Emelec

Away · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Independiente del Valle	6–1	Emelec	11	—
2	Macará	1–0	Emelec	11	60′ Home
3	Universidad Católica	1–1	Emelec	11	46′ Home
4	Aucas	2–0	Emelec	11	72′ Home
5	LDU Quito	2–0	Emelec	11	2′ Home
6	Barcelona Guayaquil	1–0	Emelec	11	58′ Home
7	Libertad	1–1	Emelec	11	45+1′ Home
8	Leones del Norte	2–0	Emelec	11	45+7′ Home
9	Guayaquil City FC	0–0	Emelec	11	–
10	Mushuc Runa	2–0	Emelec	11	22′ Home
11 · Emelec
12	Deportivo Cuenca	2–1	Emelec	11	35′ Home
13	Orense	0–2	Emelec	11	21′ Away
14	Técnico Universitario	0–1	Emelec	11	90+4′ Away
15	Delfin	1–1	Emelec	11	22′ Home
16	Manta	0–0	Emelec	11	–

Leones del Norte Home Emelec Away

Wins

40%

13%

Over 1.5

67%

Over 2.5

20%

13%

Over 3.5

13%

7%

Both teams scored

47%

33%

Clean sheets

33%

27%

Scores first

60%

13%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Leones del Norte

31 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away16 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.53	1.06	1.29
Draws	33.3%	31.2%	32.3%
Goals scored / match	1.20	0.88	1.03
Goals conceded / match	0.87	1.25	1.06
Total goals / match	2.07	2.12	2.10
Failed to score	20.0%	31.2%	25.8%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	56.2%	67.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	6 of 9	67%
Scores first → wins	6 of 9	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 6	0%

Scoring order known: 15/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	4	1
31–45	4	3
46–60	3	2
61–75	3	1
76–90	2	5

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Emelec

31 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away15 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.75	0.73	1.26
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	29.0%
Goals scored / match	1.12	0.53	0.84
Goals conceded / match	0.94	1.40	1.16
Total goals / match	2.06	1.93	2.00
Failed to score	18.8%	53.3%	35.5%
Under 2.5 goals	68.8%	86.7%	77.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 11	0%

Scoring order known: 15/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Leones del Norte	Draw	Emelec	How it works
Strength (Elo)	48.5%	22.8%	28.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	38.6%	30.9%	30.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.07–0.91 Model expected goals

31.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

39.2% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.8%

0-013.8%

1-113.4%

0-112.6%

2-07.9%

2-17.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Leones del Norte	Emelec	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1496	1468	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-13	-26	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1492	1496	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Leones del Norte	0.70	0.50	0.50	0.55
Emelec	0.45	0.40	0.60	0.55

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Leones del Norte	6%	23%	39%	23%	10%
Emelec	10%	19%	48%	16%	6%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Leones del Norte at home, 10 matches

0.70 Emelec away, 10 matches

29d Days of rest for Leones del Norte

28d Days of rest for Emelec

— Manager of Leones del Norte

— Manager of Emelec

0 Matches for Leones del Norte in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Emelec in the last 14 days

34 Points for Leones del Norte behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

35 Points for Emelec behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

24.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Leones del Norte, the right bar represents Emelec.

On the ball

20 matches

4.35

corners

4.89

13.0

fouls

10.9

2.47

yellow cards

1.93

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Leones del Norte	DLDWLLWLDW	1.20	1.00–1.20	1D
Emelec	LLWDWLWDLL	1.10	0.80–1.20	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Leones del Norte	9	7	4	0	3
Emelec	5	8	7	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Leones del Norte

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Emelec

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.