Mushuc Runa

Mushuc Runa

VS Scheduled Sunday 18 Oct 202601:00

Ecuador 2026 Liga Pro · Matchday 3

Orense

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

Mushuc RunaWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
OrenseWins: 1

Goals per match: 4.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-07-20	2026	Mushuc Runa2–1Orense
2026-03-19	2026	Orense3–2Mushuc Runa

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Deportivo Cuenca1–1Mushuc Runa
2026-09-12	2026	Guayaquil City FC3–1Mushuc Runa
2026-09-08	2026	Mushuc Runa1–1Leones del Norte
2026-09-02	2026	LDU Quito0–0Mushuc Runa
2026-08-28	2026	Mushuc Runa1–0Delfin
2026-08-22	2026	Deportivo Cuenca0–0Mushuc Runa
2026-08-16	2026	Mushuc Runa0–0Barcelona Guayaquil
2026-08-10	2026	Técnico Universitario0–3Mushuc Runa

Orense

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-21	2026	Manta2–1Orense
2026-09-15	2026	Universidad Católica2–1Orense
2026-09-08	2026	Orense4–3Guayaquil City FC
2026-09-03	2026	Leones del Norte1–0Orense
2026-08-30	2026	Orense1–2Macará
2026-08-23	2026	Barcelona Guayaquil3–0Orense
2026-08-16	2026	Orense2–0Deportivo Cuenca
2026-08-09	2026	Delfin1–1Orense

Mushuc Runa Orense

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

62%

Both teams scored

38%

62%

Clean sheets

62%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Mushuc Runa

Home · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Mushuc Runa	1–4	Independiente del Valle	1	19′ Away
10	Mushuc Runa	0–0	Macará	2	–
10	Mushuc Runa	0–0	Universidad Católica	3	–
10	Mushuc Runa	0–0	Aucas	4	–
10	Mushuc Runa	1–3	LDU Quito	5	54′ Away
10	Mushuc Runa	0–0	Barcelona Guayaquil	6	–
10	Mushuc Runa	0–2	Libertad	7	84′ Away
10	Mushuc Runa	1–1	Leones del Norte	8	7′ Away
10	Mushuc Runa	2–2	Guayaquil City FC	9	45+4′ Home
10 · Mushuc Runa
10	Mushuc Runa	2–0	Emelec	11	22′ Home
10	Mushuc Runa	4–1	Deportivo Cuenca	12	9′ Away
10	Mushuc Runa	2–1	Orense	13	9′ Home
10	Mushuc Runa	1–0	Técnico Universitario	14	90+4′ Home
10	Mushuc Runa	1–0	Delfin	15	61′ Home
10	Mushuc Runa	1–0	Manta	16	24′ Home

Orense

Away · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Independiente del Valle	2–0	Orense	13	36′ Home
2	Macará	1–2	Orense	13	22′ Away
3	Universidad Católica	2–1	Orense	13	3′ Home
4	Aucas	3–2	Orense	13	3′ Home
5	LDU Quito	3–0	Orense	13	—
6	Barcelona Guayaquil	3–0	Orense	13	26′ Home
7	Libertad	3–0	Orense	13	38′ Home
8	Leones del Norte	1–0	Orense	13	61′ Home
9	Guayaquil City FC	0–1	Orense	13	31′ Away
10	Mushuc Runa	2–1	Orense	13	9′ Home
11	Emelec	2–1	Orense	13	34′ Away
12	Deportivo Cuenca	1–3	Orense	13	35′ Away
13 · Orense
14	Técnico Universitario	1–1	Orense	13	6′ Away
15	Delfin	1–1	Orense	13	3′ Home
16	Manta	0–0	Orense	13	–
16	Manta	2–1	Orense	13	29′ Home

Mushuc Runa Home Orense Away

Wins

40%

19%

Over 1.5

53%

81%

Over 2.5

33%

62%

Over 3.5

27%

12%

Both teams scored

40%

56%

Clean sheets

53%

12%

Scores first

40%

31%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Mushuc Runa

31 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away16 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.60	0.94	1.26
Draws	40.0%	37.5%	38.7%
Goals scored / match	1.07	1.25	1.16
Goals conceded / match	0.93	1.56	1.26
Total goals / match	2.00	2.81	2.42
Failed to score	33.3%	18.8%	25.8%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	37.5%	51.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 6	50%
Scores first → wins	5 of 6	83%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 5	20%

Scoring order known: 15/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	2
16–30	4	1
31–45	3	3
46–60	1	2
61–75	3	1
76–90	4	5

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Orense

31 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away16 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.40	0.75	1.06
Draws	20.0%	18.8%	19.4%
Goals scored / match	1.53	0.88	1.19
Goals conceded / match	1.47	1.69	1.58
Total goals / match	3.00	2.56	2.77
Failed to score	13.3%	37.5%	25.8%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	37.5%	38.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 5	80%
Scores first → wins	3 of 5	60%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 10	0%

Scoring order known: 16/16 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Mushuc Runa	Draw	Orense	How it works
Strength (Elo)	51.0%	21.9%	27.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	33.4%	24.9%	41.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.34–1.52 Model expected goals

53.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

57.1% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.7%

1-28.8%

0-18.7%

2-17.8%

1-07.7%

0-26.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Mushuc Runa	Orense	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1484	1437	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	7	-40	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1488	1501	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Mushuc Runa	0.55	0.50	0.55	0.80
Orense	0.40	0.70	0.95	0.70

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Mushuc Runa	19%	13%	19%	16%	32%
Orense	6%	6%	26%	45%	16%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.11 Mushuc Runa at home, 9 matches

0.73 Orense away, 11 matches

28d Days of rest for Mushuc Runa

27d Days of rest for Orense

— Manager of Mushuc Runa

— Manager of Orense

0 Matches for Mushuc Runa in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Orense in the last 14 days

35 Points for Mushuc Runa behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

41 Points for Orense behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

24.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mushuc Runa, the right bar represents Orense.

On the ball

20 matches

5.53

corners

5.06

12.35

fouls

12.58

2.35

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Mushuc Runa	DLDDWDDWWL	1.40	0.90–0.80	1D
Orense	LLWLLLWDLL	0.70	1.20–2.00	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Mushuc Runa	4	12	4	0	1
Orense	2	9	9	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mushuc Runa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Orense

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.