Head-to-head overview
2 meetings- Independiente del ValleWins
- 1
- Draws50.0% of meetings
- 1
- Universidad CatólicaWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 4.50
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle2–2Universidad Católica |
| 2026-05-01 |
2026
|
Universidad Católica2–3Independiente del Valle |
Recent matches
Independiente del Valle
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 |
2026
|
Libertad2–3Independiente del Valle |
| 2026-09-05 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle3–1Macará |
| 2026-09-03 |
2026
|
Barcelona Guayaquil2–1Independiente del Valle |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle2–2Universidad Católica |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Leones del Norte2–3Independiente del Valle |
| 2026-08-15 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle3–2Delfin |
| 2026-08-08 |
2026
|
LDU Quito0–2Independiente del Valle |
| 2026-08-02 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle1–0Deportivo Cuenca |
Universidad Católica
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 |
2026
|
LDU Quito2–1Universidad Católica |
| 2026-09-15 |
2026
|
Universidad Católica2–1Orense |
| 2026-09-06 |
2026
|
Delfin0–1Universidad Católica |
| 2026-09-03 |
2026
|
Universidad Católica1–1Aucas |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle2–2Universidad Católica |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Universidad Católica5–1Manta |
| 2026-08-18 |
2026
|
Macará1–1Universidad Católica |
| 2026-08-10 |
2026
|
Libertad2–1Universidad Católica |
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Católica
Wins
75%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
62%
Both teams scored
75%
88%
Clean sheets
25%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Independiente del Valle
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Independiente del Valle | |||||
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 3–1 | Macará | 2 | — |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 2–2 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 51′ Home |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 2–2 | Aucas | 4 | 12′ Home |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 0–2 | LDU Quito | 5 | 2′ Away |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 1–0 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | 7′ Home |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 2–3 | Libertad | 7 | 47′ Away |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 2–1 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 28′ Away |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 2–0 | Guayaquil City FC | 9 | 20′ Home |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 3–1 | Mushuc Runa | 10 | 2′ Away |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 6–1 | Emelec | 11 | — |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 1–0 | Deportivo Cuenca | 12 | 53′ Home |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 2–0 | Orense | 13 | 36′ Home |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 3–0 | Técnico Universitario | 14 | 41′ Home |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 3–2 | Delfin | 15 | — |
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 4–0 | Manta | 16 | 23′ Home |
Universidad Católica
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 2–2 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 51′ Home |
| 2 | Macará | 1–1 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 52′ Away |
| 3 · Universidad Católica | |||||
| 4 | Aucas | 2–1 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 9′ Away |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 1–1 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 51′ Away |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 2–1 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 10′ Away |
| 6 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 1–1 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 47′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 2–1 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 40′ Home |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 1–0 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 27′ Home |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 0–0 | Universidad Católica | 3 | – |
| 10 | Mushuc Runa | 0–0 | Universidad Católica | 3 | – |
| 11 | Emelec | 1–0 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 82′ Home |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 0–2 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 34′ Away |
| 13 | Orense | 1–2 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 21′ Away |
| 14 | Técnico Universitario | 0–2 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 25′ Away |
| 15 | Delfin | 0–1 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 87′ Away |
| 16 | Manta | 1–0 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 12′ Home |
Independiente del Valle Home
Universidad Católica Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Independiente del Valle
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away15 matches | Overall30 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.33 | 2.60 | 2.47 |
| Draws | 13.3% | 0.0% | 6.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.40 | 2.47 | 2.43 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Total goals / match | 3.40 | 3.67 | 3.53 |
| Failed to score | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 26.7% | 30.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 14/15 home.Scoring order known: 28/30 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Universidad Católica
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away16 matches | Overall31 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.20 | 1.12 | 1.65 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 37.5% | 29.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.47 | 0.94 | 1.68 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.93 | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Total goals / match | 3.40 | 1.88 | 2.61 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 31.2% | 16.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 68.8% | 51.6% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 3 of 9— | 33%— |
| Scores first → wins | 4 of 9— | 44%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 5— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 16/16 away.Scoring order known: 30/31 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 2 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 2 | 2 |
| 31–45 | 1 | 2 |
| 46–60 | 4 | 2 |
| 61–75 | 2 | 6 |
| 76–90 | 4 | 2 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Independiente del Valle | Draw | Universidad Católica | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 59.6% | 18.3% | 22.1% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 47.8% | 18.5% | 27.4% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
2.60–1.94
Model expected goals
76.8%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
73.8%
Both teams to score
2-1
Most likely score, at 7.0%
Most likely scores
2-17.0%
2-26.8%
3-16.1%
3-25.9%
1-15.4%
1-25.2%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Independiente del Valle | Universidad Católica | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1678 | 1568 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 39 | 18 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1503 | 1507 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 1.40 | 1.40 | 0.25 | 0.90 |
| Universidad Católica | 0.80 | 0.85 | 0.55 | 0.65 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 0% | 10% | 20% | 20% | 50% |
| Universidad Católica | 6% | 19% | 26% | 23% | 26% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.50
Independiente del Valle at home, 10 matches
1.09
Universidad Católica away, 11 matches
41d
Days of rest for Independiente del Valle
34d
Days of rest for Universidad Católica
—
Manager of Independiente del Valle
—
Manager of Universidad Católica
0
Matches for Independiente del Valle in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Universidad Católica in the last 14 days
0
Points for Independiente del Valle behind the leaders, and 41 above the relegation zone
23
Points for Universidad Católica behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone
2.27
League goals per match
24.7%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Independiente del Valle, the right bar represents Universidad Católica.
On the ball
5.65
4.56
corners
9.17
10.5
fouls
2.36
2.56
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | WWLDWWWWWW | 2.50 | 2.40–1.30 | 2W |
| Universidad Católica | LWWDDWDLWD | 1.60 | 1.90–1.00 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Universidad Católica | 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Independiente del Valle
No absences reported.
Universidad Católica
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.