Emelec

Emelec

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202601:00

Ecuador 2026 Liga Pro · Matchday 4

Guayaquil City FC

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

EmelecWins: 0
Draws50.0% of meetings: 1
Guayaquil City FCWins: 1

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-10	2026	Guayaquil City FC0–0Emelec
2026-04-18	2026	Emelec1–3Guayaquil City FC

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Emelec1–2Libertad
2026-09-13	2026	Macará1–0Emelec
2026-09-08	2026	Emelec1–0Manta
2026-09-04	2026	Libertad1–1Emelec
2026-08-31	2026	Emelec2–1Leones del Norte
2026-08-24	2026	LDU Quito2–0Emelec
2026-08-16	2026	Emelec2–1Técnico Universitario
2026-08-10	2026	Guayaquil City FC0–0Emelec

Guayaquil City FC

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Guayaquil City FC1–1Leones del Norte
2026-09-12	2026	Guayaquil City FC3–1Mushuc Runa
2026-09-08	2026	Orense4–3Guayaquil City FC
2026-09-02	2026	Deportivo Cuenca1–0Guayaquil City FC
2026-08-29	2026	Guayaquil City FC2–1LDU Quito
2026-08-22	2026	Técnico Universitario2–3Guayaquil City FC
2026-08-15	2026	Guayaquil City FC2–2Libertad
2026-08-10	2026	Guayaquil City FC0–0Emelec

Emelec Guayaquil City FC

Wins

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

62%

Both teams scored

50%

75%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Emelec

Home · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Emelec	2–0	Independiente del Valle	1	19′ Home
11	Emelec	2–0	Macará	2	21′ Home
11	Emelec	1–0	Universidad Católica	3	82′ Home
11	Emelec	0–2	Aucas	4	37′ Away
11	Emelec	1–0	LDU Quito	5	58′ Home
11	Emelec	0–0	Barcelona Guayaquil	6	–
11	Emelec	1–1	Libertad	7	24′ Home
11	Emelec	1–2	Libertad	7	23′ Home
11	Emelec	2–1	Leones del Norte	8	3′ Home
11	Emelec	1–3	Guayaquil City FC	9	20′ Away
11	Emelec	1–1	Mushuc Runa	10	28′ Home
11 · Emelec
11	Emelec	0–2	Deportivo Cuenca	12	80′ Away
11	Emelec	2–1	Orense	13	34′ Away
11	Emelec	2–1	Técnico Universitario	14	32′ Home
11	Emelec	1–1	Delfin	15	59′ Home
11	Emelec	1–0	Manta	16	75′ Home

Guayaquil City FC

Away · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Independiente del Valle	2–0	Guayaquil City FC	9	20′ Home
2	Macará	2–1	Guayaquil City FC	9	35′ Home
3	Universidad Católica	4–1	Guayaquil City FC	9	—
4	Aucas	1–0	Guayaquil City FC	9	45+2′ Home
5	LDU Quito	1–0	Guayaquil City FC	9	36′ Home
6	Barcelona Guayaquil	1–1	Guayaquil City FC	9	63′ Away
7	Libertad	0–1	Guayaquil City FC	9	82′ Away
8	Leones del Norte	1–1	Guayaquil City FC	9	10′ Away
9 · Guayaquil City FC
10	Mushuc Runa	2–2	Guayaquil City FC	9	45+4′ Home
11	Emelec	1–3	Guayaquil City FC	9	20′ Away
12	Deportivo Cuenca	1–0	Guayaquil City FC	9	78′ Home
13	Orense	4–3	Guayaquil City FC	9	5′ Home
14	Técnico Universitario	2–3	Guayaquil City FC	9	41′ Home
15	Delfin	1–0	Guayaquil City FC	9	90+2′ Home
16	Manta	0–1	Guayaquil City FC	9	5′ Away

Emelec Home Guayaquil City FC Away

Wins

50%

27%

Over 1.5

75%

60%

Over 2.5

31%

40%

Over 3.5

6%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

53%

Clean sheets

38%

13%

Scores first

69%

40%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Emelec

31 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away15 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.75	0.73	1.26
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	29.0%
Goals scored / match	1.12	0.53	0.84
Goals conceded / match	0.94	1.40	1.16
Total goals / match	2.06	1.93	2.00
Failed to score	18.8%	53.3%	35.5%
Under 2.5 goals	68.8%	86.7%	77.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 11	46%
Scores first → wins	7 of 11	64%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 4	25%

Scoring order known: 16/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	7	2
31–45	4	3
46–60	2	1
61–75	1	3
76–90	3	6

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Guayaquil City FC

31 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away15 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.56	1.00	1.29
Draws	43.8%	20.0%	32.3%
Goals scored / match	1.06	1.13	1.10
Goals conceded / match	0.88	1.53	1.19
Total goals / match	1.94	2.67	2.29
Failed to score	37.5%	33.3%	35.5%
Under 2.5 goals	62.5%	60.0%	61.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 6	50%
Scores first → wins	3 of 6	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 9	11%

Scoring order known: 15/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Emelec	Draw	Guayaquil City FC	How it works
Strength (Elo)	42.2%	24.3%	33.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	23.7%	27.2%	48.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.89–1.41 Model expected goals

40.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.3% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 14.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-114.2%

1-112.6%

0-010.1%

0-210.0%

1-08.9%

1-28.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Emelec	Guayaquil City FC	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1468	1490	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-26	2	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1496	1495	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Emelec	0.45	0.40	0.60	0.55
Guayaquil City FC	0.35	0.85	0.80	0.55

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Emelec	10%	19%	48%	16%	6%
Guayaquil City FC	13%	32%	16%	13%	26%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Emelec at home, 10 matches

0.67 Guayaquil City FC away, 9 matches

35d Days of rest for Emelec

36d Days of rest for Guayaquil City FC

— Manager of Emelec

— Manager of Guayaquil City FC

0 Matches for Emelec in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Guayaquil City FC in the last 14 days

35 Points for Emelec behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

34 Points for Guayaquil City FC behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

24.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Emelec, the right bar represents Guayaquil City FC.

On the ball

20 matches

4.89

corners

3.18

10.9

fouls

8.7

1.93

yellow cards

2.2

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Emelec	LLWDWLWDLL	1.10	0.80–1.20	2L
Guayaquil City FC	DWLLWWDDLD	1.30	1.50–1.40	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Emelec	5	8	7	0	2
Guayaquil City FC	2	9	9	2	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Emelec

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Guayaquil City FC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.