Emelec

Emelec

VS Scheduled Sunday 1 Nov 202600:00

Ecuador 2026 Liga Pro · Matchday 5

Leones del Norte

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

EmelecWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Leones del NorteWins: 1

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-31	2026	Emelec2–1Leones del Norte
2026-05-03	2026	Leones del Norte2–0Emelec

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Emelec1–2Libertad
2026-09-13	2026	Macará1–0Emelec
2026-09-08	2026	Emelec1–0Manta
2026-09-04	2026	Libertad1–1Emelec
2026-08-31	2026	Emelec2–1Leones del Norte
2026-08-24	2026	LDU Quito2–0Emelec
2026-08-16	2026	Emelec2–1Técnico Universitario
2026-08-10	2026	Guayaquil City FC0–0Emelec

Leones del Norte

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Guayaquil City FC1–1Leones del Norte
2026-09-13	2026	Leones del Norte0–1Técnico Universitario
2026-09-08	2026	Mushuc Runa1–1Leones del Norte
2026-09-03	2026	Leones del Norte1–0Orense
2026-08-31	2026	Emelec2–1Leones del Norte
2026-08-22	2026	Leones del Norte2–3Independiente del Valle
2026-08-15	2026	Manta0–2Leones del Norte
2026-08-08	2026	Aucas3–0Leones del Norte

Emelec Leones del Norte

Wins

38%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Emelec

Home · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Emelec	2–0	Independiente del Valle	1	19′ Home
11	Emelec	2–0	Macará	2	21′ Home
11	Emelec	1–0	Universidad Católica	3	82′ Home
11	Emelec	0–2	Aucas	4	37′ Away
11	Emelec	1–0	LDU Quito	5	58′ Home
11	Emelec	0–0	Barcelona Guayaquil	6	–
11	Emelec	1–1	Libertad	7	24′ Home
11	Emelec	1–2	Libertad	7	23′ Home
11	Emelec	2–1	Leones del Norte	8	3′ Home
11	Emelec	1–3	Guayaquil City FC	9	20′ Away
11	Emelec	1–1	Mushuc Runa	10	28′ Home
11 · Emelec
11	Emelec	0–2	Deportivo Cuenca	12	80′ Away
11	Emelec	2–1	Orense	13	34′ Away
11	Emelec	2–1	Técnico Universitario	14	32′ Home
11	Emelec	1–1	Delfin	15	59′ Home
11	Emelec	1–0	Manta	16	75′ Home

Leones del Norte

Away · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Independiente del Valle	2–1	Leones del Norte	8	28′ Away
2	Macará	0–0	Leones del Norte	8	–
3	Universidad Católica	3–0	Leones del Norte	8	32′ Home
4	Aucas	3–0	Leones del Norte	8	24′ Home
5	LDU Quito	0–1	Leones del Norte	8	45+3′ Away
6	Barcelona Guayaquil	2–1	Leones del Norte	8	35′ Home
7	Libertad	1–3	Leones del Norte	8	27′ Home
8 · Leones del Norte
9	Guayaquil City FC	0–0	Leones del Norte	8	–
9	Guayaquil City FC	1–1	Leones del Norte	8	38′ Away
10	Mushuc Runa	1–1	Leones del Norte	8	7′ Away
11	Emelec	2–1	Leones del Norte	8	3′ Home
12	Deportivo Cuenca	1–1	Leones del Norte	8	51′ Away
13	Orense	2–0	Leones del Norte	8	55′ Home
14	Técnico Universitario	2–1	Leones del Norte	8	—
15	Delfin	0–1	Leones del Norte	8	67′ Away
16	Manta	0–2	Leones del Norte	8	17′ Away

Emelec Home Leones del Norte Away

Wins

50%

25%

Over 1.5

75%

Over 2.5

31%

44%

Over 3.5

6%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

38%

31%

Scores first

69%

44%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Emelec

31 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away15 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.75	0.73	1.26
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	29.0%
Goals scored / match	1.12	0.53	0.84
Goals conceded / match	0.94	1.40	1.16
Total goals / match	2.06	1.93	2.00
Failed to score	18.8%	53.3%	35.5%
Under 2.5 goals	68.8%	86.7%	77.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 11	46%
Scores first → wins	7 of 11	64%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 4	25%

Scoring order known: 16/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	7	2
31–45	4	3
46–60	2	1
61–75	1	3
76–90	3	6

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Leones del Norte

31 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away16 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.53	1.06	1.29
Draws	33.3%	31.2%	32.3%
Goals scored / match	1.20	0.88	1.03
Goals conceded / match	0.87	1.25	1.06
Total goals / match	2.07	2.12	2.10
Failed to score	20.0%	31.2%	25.8%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	56.2%	67.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 7	43%
Scores first → wins	3 of 7	43%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 7	14%

Scoring order known: 16/16 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Emelec	Draw	Leones del Norte	How it works
Strength (Elo)	41.5%	24.4%	34.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	18.3%	27.4%	53.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.69–1.41 Model expected goals

34.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

37.5% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 17.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-117.3%

0-012.3%

0-212.2%

1-111.9%

1-08.5%

1-28.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Emelec	Leones del Norte	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1468	1496	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-26	-13	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1496	1492	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Emelec	0.45	0.40	0.60	0.55
Leones del Norte	0.70	0.50	0.50	0.55

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Emelec	10%	19%	48%	16%	6%
Leones del Norte	6%	23%	39%	23%	10%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Emelec at home, 10 matches

1.40 Leones del Norte away, 10 matches

42d Days of rest for Emelec

43d Days of rest for Leones del Norte

— Manager of Emelec

— Manager of Leones del Norte

0 Matches for Emelec in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Leones del Norte in the last 14 days

35 Points for Emelec behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

34 Points for Leones del Norte behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

24.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Emelec, the right bar represents Leones del Norte.

On the ball

20 matches

4.89

corners

4.35

10.9

fouls

13.0

1.93

yellow cards

2.47

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Emelec	LLWDWLWDLL	1.10	0.80–1.20	2L
Leones del Norte	DLDWLLWLDW	1.20	1.00–1.20	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Emelec	5	8	7	0	2
Leones del Norte	9	7	4	0	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Emelec

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Leones del Norte

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.