Aucas

Aucas

VS Scheduled Sunday 8 Nov 202600:00

Ecuador 2026 Liga Pro · Matchday 6

Independiente del Valle

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

AucasWins: 0
Draws50.0% of meetings: 1
Independiente del ValleWins: 1

Goals per match: 3.50
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-07-16	2026	Aucas0–3Independiente del Valle
2026-03-14	2026	Independiente del Valle2–2Aucas

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Aucas1–2Macará
2026-09-12	2026	Manta0–0Aucas
2026-09-07	2026	Aucas1–1Barcelona Guayaquil
2026-09-03	2026	Universidad Católica1–1Aucas
2026-08-30	2026	Aucas1–0Libertad
2026-08-23	2026	Delfin0–1Aucas
2026-08-17	2026	Aucas0–1LDU Quito
2026-08-08	2026	Aucas3–0Leones del Norte

Independiente del Valle

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-14	2026	Libertad2–3Independiente del Valle
2026-09-05	2026	Independiente del Valle3–1Macará
2026-09-03	2026	Barcelona Guayaquil2–1Independiente del Valle
2026-08-29	2026	Independiente del Valle2–2Universidad Católica
2026-08-22	2026	Leones del Norte2–3Independiente del Valle
2026-08-15	2026	Independiente del Valle3–2Delfin
2026-08-08	2026	LDU Quito0–2Independiente del Valle
2026-08-02	2026	Independiente del Valle1–0Deportivo Cuenca

Aucas Independiente del Valle

Wins

38%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

75%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

50%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Aucas

Home · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Aucas	0–3	Independiente del Valle	1	14′ Away
4	Aucas	1–4	Macará	2	21′ Home
4	Aucas	1–2	Macará	2	45+2′ Away
4	Aucas	2–1	Universidad Católica	3	9′ Away
4 · Aucas
4	Aucas	0–1	LDU Quito	5	35′ Away
4	Aucas	1–1	Barcelona Guayaquil	6	6′ Home
4	Aucas	1–0	Libertad	7	77′ Home
4	Aucas	3–0	Leones del Norte	8	24′ Home
4	Aucas	1–0	Guayaquil City FC	9	45+2′ Home
4	Aucas	1–1	Mushuc Runa	10	45+5′ Home
4	Aucas	2–0	Emelec	11	72′ Home
4	Aucas	0–1	Deportivo Cuenca	12	81′ Away
4	Aucas	3–2	Orense	13	3′ Home
4	Aucas	0–1	Técnico Universitario	14	65′ Away
4	Aucas	1–0	Delfin	15	—
4	Aucas	3–1	Manta	16	12′ Home

Independiente del Valle

Away · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Independiente del Valle
2	Macará	0–3	Independiente del Valle	1	45+2′ Away
3	Universidad Católica	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	—
4	Aucas	0–3	Independiente del Valle	1	14′ Away
5	LDU Quito	0–2	Independiente del Valle	1	1′ Away
6	Barcelona Guayaquil	2–1	Independiente del Valle	1	40′ Away
7	Libertad	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	19′ Away
8	Leones del Norte	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	1′ Home
9	Guayaquil City FC	2–4	Independiente del Valle	1	8′ Away
10	Mushuc Runa	1–4	Independiente del Valle	1	19′ Away
11	Emelec	2–0	Independiente del Valle	1	19′ Home
12	Deportivo Cuenca	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	26′ Home
13	Orense	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	27′ Away
14	Técnico Universitario	1–2	Independiente del Valle	1	36′ Away
15	Delfin	0–1	Independiente del Valle	1	48′ Away
16	Manta	0–2	Independiente del Valle	1	80′ Away

Aucas Home Independiente del Valle Away

Wins

50%

87%

Over 1.5

62%

93%

Over 2.5

44%

73%

Over 3.5

19%

47%

Both teams scored

44%

60%

Clean sheets

31%

33%

Scores first

62%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Aucas

31 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away15 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.62	1.60	1.61
Draws	12.5%	40.0%	25.8%
Goals scored / match	1.25	0.93	1.10
Goals conceded / match	1.12	0.80	0.97
Total goals / match	2.38	1.73	2.06
Failed to score	25.0%	26.7%	25.8%
Under 2.5 goals	56.2%	73.3%	64.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	6 of 10	60%
Scores first → wins	7 of 10	70%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 6	17%

Scoring order known: 16/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Independiente del Valle

30 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away15 matches	Overall30 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.60	2.47
Draws	13.3%	0.0%	6.7%
Goals scored / match	2.40	2.47	2.43
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.20	1.10
Total goals / match	3.40	3.67	3.53
Failed to score	6.7%	6.7%	6.7%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	26.7%	30.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/15 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Aucas	Draw	Independiente del Valle	How it works
Strength (Elo)	29.0%	22.8%	48.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	13.2%	17.1%	65.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.98–2.45 Model expected goals

62.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

54.6% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 9.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-29.7%

1-29.5%

0-17.9%

0-37.9%

1-17.8%

1-37.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Aucas	Independiente del Valle	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1527	1678	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	2	39	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1501	1503	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Aucas	0.55	0.55	0.55	0.55
Independiente del Valle	1.40	1.40	0.25	0.90

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Aucas	10%	36%	19%	19%	16%
Independiente del Valle	0%	10%	20%	20%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.60 Aucas at home, 10 matches

2.70 Independiente del Valle away, 10 matches

50d Days of rest for Aucas

55d Days of rest for Independiente del Valle

— Manager of Aucas

— Manager of Independiente del Valle

0 Matches for Aucas in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Independiente del Valle in the last 14 days

24 Points for Aucas behind the leaders, and 17 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Independiente del Valle behind the leaders, and 41 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

24.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Aucas, the right bar represents Independiente del Valle.

On the ball

20 matches

4.39

corners

5.65

13.2

fouls

9.17

2.2

yellow cards

2.36

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Aucas	LDDDWWLWWL	1.50	1.10–0.90	1L
Independiente del Valle	WWLDWWWWWW	2.50	2.40–1.30	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Aucas	6	8	6	0	1
Independiente del Valle	15	4	1	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Aucas

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Independiente del Valle

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.