Head-to-head overview
3 meetings- LibertadWins
- 1
- Draws66.7% of meetings
- 2
- EmelecWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 2.33
- Over 2.5 goals
- 33.3%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Emelec1–2Libertad |
| 2026-09-04 |
2026
|
Libertad1–1Emelec |
| 2026-05-10 |
2026
|
Emelec1–1Libertad |
Recent matches
Libertad
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Emelec1–2Libertad |
| 2026-09-14 |
2026
|
Libertad2–3Independiente del Valle |
| 2026-09-07 |
2026
|
Deportivo Cuenca0–1Libertad |
| 2026-09-04 |
2026
|
Libertad1–1Emelec |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Aucas1–0Libertad |
| 2026-08-25 |
2026
|
Libertad1–0Macará |
| 2026-08-15 |
2026
|
Guayaquil City FC2–2Libertad |
| 2026-08-10 |
2026
|
Libertad2–1Universidad Católica |
Emelec
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Emelec1–2Libertad |
| 2026-09-13 |
2026
|
Macará1–0Emelec |
| 2026-09-08 |
2026
|
Emelec1–0Manta |
| 2026-09-04 |
2026
|
Libertad1–1Emelec |
| 2026-08-31 |
2026
|
Emelec2–1Leones del Norte |
| 2026-08-24 |
2026
|
LDU Quito2–0Emelec |
| 2026-08-16 |
2026
|
Emelec2–1Técnico Universitario |
| 2026-08-10 |
2026
|
Guayaquil City FC0–0Emelec |
Libertad
Emelec
Wins
50%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
38%
Both teams scored
62%
50%
Clean sheets
25%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Libertad
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 2–3 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 19′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–0 | Macará | 2 | 5′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 2–1 | Universidad Católica | 3 | 40′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 3–2 | Aucas | 4 | 22′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 2–1 | LDU Quito | 5 | 18′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 0–0 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | – |
| 7 · Libertad | |||||
| 7 | Libertad | 1–3 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 27′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 0–1 | Guayaquil City FC | 9 | 82′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 2–2 | Mushuc Runa | 10 | 4′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–1 | Emelec | 11 | 45+1′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 0–1 | Deportivo Cuenca | 12 | 73′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 3–0 | Orense | 13 | 38′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–0 | Técnico Universitario | 14 | 90+1′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–0 | Delfin | 15 | 72′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–0 | Manta | 16 | 90+3′ Home |
Emelec
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 6–1 | Emelec | 11 | — |
| 2 | Macará | 1–0 | Emelec | 11 | 60′ Home |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 1–1 | Emelec | 11 | 46′ Home |
| 4 | Aucas | 2–0 | Emelec | 11 | 72′ Home |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 2–0 | Emelec | 11 | 2′ Home |
| 6 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 1–0 | Emelec | 11 | 58′ Home |
| 7 | Libertad | 1–1 | Emelec | 11 | 45+1′ Home |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 2–0 | Emelec | 11 | 45+7′ Home |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 0–0 | Emelec | 11 | – |
| 10 | Mushuc Runa | 2–0 | Emelec | 11 | 22′ Home |
| 11 · Emelec | |||||
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 2–1 | Emelec | 11 | 35′ Home |
| 13 | Orense | 0–2 | Emelec | 11 | 21′ Away |
| 14 | Técnico Universitario | 0–1 | Emelec | 11 | 90+4′ Away |
| 15 | Delfin | 1–1 | Emelec | 11 | 22′ Home |
| 16 | Manta | 0–0 | Emelec | 11 | – |
Libertad Home
Emelec Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Libertad
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away16 matches | Overall31 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.80 | 1.06 | 1.42 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 31.2% | 25.8% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.33 | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Total goals / match | 2.33 | 2.19 | 2.26 |
| Failed to score | 20.0% | 37.5% | 29.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53.3% | 56.2% | 54.8% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 5 of 97 of 14 | 56%50% |
| Scores first → wins | 7 of 910 of 14 | 78%71% |
| Concedes first → wins | 1 of 52 of 14 | 20%14% |
Scoring order known: 15/15 home.Scoring order known: 31/31 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 3 | 2 |
| 31–45 | 5 | 4 |
| 46–60 | 2 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 4 | 5 |
| 76–90 | 5 | 2 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Emelec
| Goals & results | Home16 matches | Away15 matches | Overall31 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.75 | 0.73 | 1.26 |
| Draws | 25.0% | 33.3% | 29.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.12 | 0.53 | 0.84 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.94 | 1.40 | 1.16 |
| Total goals / match | 2.06 | 1.93 | 2.00 |
| Failed to score | 18.8% | 53.3% | 35.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68.8% | 86.7% | 77.4% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 26 of 13 | 50%46% |
| Scores first → wins | 2 of 29 of 13 | 100%69% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 111 of 15 | 0%7% |
Scoring order known: 15/15 away.Scoring order known: 31/31 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Libertad | Draw | Emelec | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 51.8% | 21.6% | 26.6% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 42.6% | 29.4% | 27.8% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.20–0.91
Model expected goals
35.2%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.7%
Both teams to score
1-0
Most likely score, at 14.5%
Most likely scores
1-014.5%
1-113.2%
0-012.1%
0-111.0%
2-08.7%
2-18.0%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Libertad | Emelec | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1522 | 1468 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 55 | -26 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1508 | 1496 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | 0.60 | 0.75 | 0.35 | 0.70 |
| Emelec | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.55 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | 10% | 29% | 16% | 26% | 19% |
| Emelec | 10% | 19% | 48% | 16% | 6% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.90
Libertad at home, 10 matches
0.70
Emelec away, 10 matches
49d
Days of rest for Libertad
49d
Days of rest for Emelec
—
Manager of Libertad
—
Manager of Emelec
0
Matches for Libertad in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Emelec in the last 14 days
30
Points for Libertad behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
35
Points for Emelec behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
2.27
League goals per match
24.7%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Libertad, the right bar represents Emelec.
On the ball
3.65
4.89
corners
12.6
10.9
fouls
2.19
1.93
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | WLWDLWDWWW | 2.00 | 1.60–0.90 | 1W |
| Emelec | LLWDWLWDLL | 1.10 | 0.80–1.20 | 2L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | 7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Emelec | 5 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Libertad
No absences reported.
Emelec
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.