Orense

Orense

VS Scheduled Sunday 22 Nov 202600:00

Ecuador 2026 Liga Pro · Matchday 7

Mushuc Runa

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

OrenseWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Mushuc RunaWins: 1

Goals per match: 4.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-07-20	2026	Mushuc Runa2–1Orense
2026-03-19	2026	Orense3–2Mushuc Runa

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-21	2026	Manta2–1Orense
2026-09-15	2026	Universidad Católica2–1Orense
2026-09-08	2026	Orense4–3Guayaquil City FC
2026-09-03	2026	Leones del Norte1–0Orense
2026-08-30	2026	Orense1–2Macará
2026-08-23	2026	Barcelona Guayaquil3–0Orense
2026-08-16	2026	Orense2–0Deportivo Cuenca
2026-08-09	2026	Delfin1–1Orense

Mushuc Runa

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Deportivo Cuenca1–1Mushuc Runa
2026-09-12	2026	Guayaquil City FC3–1Mushuc Runa
2026-09-08	2026	Mushuc Runa1–1Leones del Norte
2026-09-02	2026	LDU Quito0–0Mushuc Runa
2026-08-28	2026	Mushuc Runa1–0Delfin
2026-08-22	2026	Deportivo Cuenca0–0Mushuc Runa
2026-08-16	2026	Mushuc Runa0–0Barcelona Guayaquil
2026-08-10	2026	Técnico Universitario0–3Mushuc Runa

Orense Mushuc Runa

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

25%

Both teams scored

62%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

62%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Orense

Home · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Orense	2–3	Independiente del Valle	1	27′ Away
13	Orense	1–2	Macará	2	14′ Away
13	Orense	1–2	Universidad Católica	3	21′ Away
13	Orense	2–1	Aucas	4	19′ Away
13	Orense	1–2	LDU Quito	5	20′ Away
13	Orense	1–1	Barcelona Guayaquil	6	27′ Away
13	Orense	2–1	Libertad	7	45+5′ Home
13	Orense	2–0	Leones del Norte	8	55′ Home
13	Orense	4–3	Guayaquil City FC	9	5′ Home
13	Orense	3–2	Mushuc Runa	10	12′ Home
13	Orense	0–2	Emelec	11	21′ Away
13	Orense	2–0	Deportivo Cuenca	12	61′ Home
13 · Orense
13	Orense	1–2	Técnico Universitario	14	51′ Home
13	Orense	0–0	Delfin	15	–
13	Orense	1–1	Manta	16	49′ Home

Mushuc Runa

Away · Liga Pro

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Independiente del Valle	3–1	Mushuc Runa	10	2′ Away
2	Macará	2–1	Mushuc Runa	10	12′ Away
3	Universidad Católica	2–3	Mushuc Runa	10	45+2′ Away
4	Aucas	1–1	Mushuc Runa	10	45+5′ Home
5	LDU Quito	0–0	Mushuc Runa	10	–
6	Barcelona Guayaquil	2–1	Mushuc Runa	10	43′ Away
7	Libertad	2–2	Mushuc Runa	10	4′ Away
8	Leones del Norte	3–1	Mushuc Runa	10	31′ Home
9	Guayaquil City FC	3–1	Mushuc Runa	10	23′ Home
10 · Mushuc Runa
11	Emelec	1–1	Mushuc Runa	10	28′ Home
12	Deportivo Cuenca	0–0	Mushuc Runa	10	–
12	Deportivo Cuenca	1–1	Mushuc Runa	10	—
13	Orense	3–2	Mushuc Runa	10	12′ Home
14	Técnico Universitario	0–3	Mushuc Runa	10	7′ Away
15	Delfin	1–0	Mushuc Runa	10	86′ Home
16	Manta	1–2	Mushuc Runa	10	5′ Away

Orense Home Mushuc Runa Away

Wins

40%

19%

Over 1.5

93%

81%

Over 2.5

60%

62%

Over 3.5

20%

38%

Both teams scored

73%

75%

Clean sheets

20%

19%

Scores first

47%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Orense

31 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away16 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.40	0.75	1.06
Draws	20.0%	18.8%	19.4%
Goals scored / match	1.53	0.88	1.19
Goals conceded / match	1.47	1.69	1.58
Total goals / match	3.00	2.56	2.77
Failed to score	13.3%	37.5%	25.8%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	37.5%	38.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 7	29%
Scores first → wins	5 of 7	71%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 7	14%

Scoring order known: 15/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	2	7
31–45	5	3
46–60	5	3
61–75	4	3
76–90	5	5

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Mushuc Runa

31 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away16 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.60	0.94	1.26
Draws	40.0%	37.5%	38.7%
Goals scored / match	1.07	1.25	1.16
Goals conceded / match	0.93	1.56	1.26
Total goals / match	2.00	2.81	2.42
Failed to score	33.3%	18.8%	25.8%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	37.5%	51.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 15/16 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Orense	Draw	Mushuc Runa	How it works
Strength (Elo)	39.4%	24.6%	36.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	24.6%	23.4%	50.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.15–1.77 Model expected goals

54.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

55.9% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.0%

1-29.7%

0-19.6%

0-28.4%

2-16.3%

1-06.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Orense	Mushuc Runa	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1437	1484	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-40	7	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1501	1488	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Orense	0.40	0.70	0.95	0.70
Mushuc Runa	0.55	0.50	0.55	0.80

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Orense	6%	6%	26%	45%	16%
Mushuc Runa	19%	13%	19%	16%	32%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.33 Orense at home, 9 matches

1.18 Mushuc Runa away, 11 matches

62d Days of rest for Orense

63d Days of rest for Mushuc Runa

— Manager of Orense

— Manager of Mushuc Runa

0 Matches for Orense in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Mushuc Runa in the last 14 days

41 Points for Orense behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

35 Points for Mushuc Runa behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

24.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Orense, the right bar represents Mushuc Runa.

On the ball

20 matches

5.06

corners

5.53

12.58

fouls

12.35

3.0

yellow cards

2.35

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Orense	LLWLLLWDLL	0.70	1.20–2.00	2L
Mushuc Runa	DLDDWDDWWL	1.40	0.90–0.80	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Orense	2	9	9	0	0
Mushuc Runa	4	12	4	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Orense

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Mushuc Runa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.