Head-to-head overview
2 meetings- Universidad CatólicaWins
- 0
- Draws50.0% of meetings
- 1
- Independiente del ValleWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 4.50
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle2–2Universidad Católica |
| 2026-05-01 |
2026
|
Universidad Católica2–3Independiente del Valle |
Recent matches
Universidad Católica
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 |
2026
|
LDU Quito2–1Universidad Católica |
| 2026-09-15 |
2026
|
Universidad Católica2–1Orense |
| 2026-09-06 |
2026
|
Delfin0–1Universidad Católica |
| 2026-09-03 |
2026
|
Universidad Católica1–1Aucas |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle2–2Universidad Católica |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Universidad Católica5–1Manta |
| 2026-08-18 |
2026
|
Macará1–1Universidad Católica |
| 2026-08-10 |
2026
|
Libertad2–1Universidad Católica |
Independiente del Valle
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 |
2026
|
Libertad2–3Independiente del Valle |
| 2026-09-05 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle3–1Macará |
| 2026-09-03 |
2026
|
Barcelona Guayaquil2–1Independiente del Valle |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle2–2Universidad Católica |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Leones del Norte2–3Independiente del Valle |
| 2026-08-15 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle3–2Delfin |
| 2026-08-08 |
2026
|
LDU Quito0–2Independiente del Valle |
| 2026-08-02 |
2026
|
Independiente del Valle1–0Deportivo Cuenca |
Universidad Católica
Independiente del Valle
Wins
38%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
75%
Both teams scored
88%
75%
Clean sheets
12%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Universidad Católica
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 2–3 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | — |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 4–0 | Macará | 2 | — |
| 3 · Universidad Católica | |||||
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 1–1 | Aucas | 4 | 45+6′ Home |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 1–0 | LDU Quito | 5 | 59′ Home |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 2–1 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | 3′ Home |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 2–0 | Libertad | 7 | 57′ Home |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 3–0 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 32′ Home |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 4–1 | Guayaquil City FC | 9 | — |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 2–3 | Mushuc Runa | 10 | 45+2′ Away |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 1–1 | Emelec | 11 | 46′ Home |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 1–0 | Deportivo Cuenca | 12 | 65′ Home |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 2–1 | Orense | 13 | 3′ Home |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 5–0 | Técnico Universitario | 14 | — |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 2–2 | Delfin | 15 | 6′ Home |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 5–1 | Manta | 16 | 20′ Home |
Independiente del Valle
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Independiente del Valle | |||||
| 2 | Macará | 0–3 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 45+2′ Away |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 2–3 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | — |
| 4 | Aucas | 0–3 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 14′ Away |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 0–2 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 1′ Away |
| 6 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 2–1 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 40′ Away |
| 7 | Libertad | 2–3 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 19′ Away |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 2–3 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 1′ Home |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 2–4 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 8′ Away |
| 10 | Mushuc Runa | 1–4 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 19′ Away |
| 11 | Emelec | 2–0 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 19′ Home |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 2–3 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 26′ Home |
| 13 | Orense | 2–3 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 27′ Away |
| 14 | Técnico Universitario | 1–2 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 36′ Away |
| 15 | Delfin | 0–1 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 48′ Away |
| 16 | Manta | 0–2 | Independiente del Valle | 1 | 80′ Away |
Universidad Católica Home
Independiente del Valle Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Liga Pro · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Universidad Católica
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away16 matches | Overall31 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.20 | 1.12 | 1.65 |
| Draws | 20.0% | 37.5% | 29.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.47 | 0.94 | 1.68 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.93 | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Total goals / match | 3.40 | 1.88 | 2.61 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 31.2% | 16.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 68.8% | 51.6% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 14/15 home.Scoring order known: 30/31 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Independiente del Valle
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away15 matches | Overall30 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.33 | 2.60 | 2.47 |
| Draws | 13.3% | 0.0% | 6.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 2.40 | 2.47 | 2.43 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Total goals / match | 3.40 | 3.67 | 3.53 |
| Failed to score | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 26.7% | 30.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 14/15 away.Scoring order known: 28/30 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Universidad Católica | Draw | Independiente del Valle | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 32.8% | 24.1% | 43.1% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 21.7% | 18.8% | 55.2% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.47–2.45
Model expected goals
70.7%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
67.0%
Both teams to score
1-2
Most likely score, at 8.8%
Most likely scores
1-28.8%
1-17.2%
1-37.1%
2-26.4%
0-26.0%
2-15.3%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Universidad Católica | Independiente del Valle | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1568 | 1678 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 18 | 39 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1507 | 1503 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica | 0.80 | 0.85 | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| Independiente del Valle | 1.40 | 1.40 | 0.25 | 0.90 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica | 6% | 19% | 26% | 23% | 26% |
| Independiente del Valle | 0% | 10% | 20% | 20% | 50% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.89
Universidad Católica at home, 9 matches
2.70
Independiente del Valle away, 10 matches
69d
Days of rest for Universidad Católica
76d
Days of rest for Independiente del Valle
—
Manager of Universidad Católica
—
Manager of Independiente del Valle
0
Matches for Universidad Católica in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Independiente del Valle in the last 14 days
23
Points for Universidad Católica behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone
0
Points for Independiente del Valle behind the leaders, and 41 above the relegation zone
2.27
League goals per match
24.7%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Universidad Católica, the right bar represents Independiente del Valle.
On the ball
4.56
5.65
corners
10.5
9.17
fouls
2.56
2.36
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica | LWWDDWDLWD | 1.60 | 1.90–1.00 | 1L |
| Independiente del Valle | WWLDWWWWWW | 2.50 | 2.40–1.30 | 2W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Católica | 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Independiente del Valle | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Universidad Católica
No absences reported.
Independiente del Valle
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.