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Marquense
VS Scheduled Guatemala 26/27 Liga Nacional · Matchday 21
Aurora

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
MarquenseWins
0
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
AuroraWins
1
Goals per match
1.00
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
0.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Aurora1–0Marquense
Recent matches

Marquense

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Marquense1–0Malacateco
2026-09-19 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Aurora1–0Marquense
2026-09-13 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Marquense0–0San Pedro
2026-09-10 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Comunicaciones0–2Marquense
2026-09-06 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Marquense0–4Xelajú
2026-08-29 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Guastatoya1–2Marquense
2026-08-24 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Marquense2–1Cobán
2026-08-17 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Suchitepéquez1–2Marquense

Aurora

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Cobán3–2Aurora
2026-09-19 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Aurora1–0Marquense
2026-09-13 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Mixco3–2Aurora
2026-09-10 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Aurora1–2Municipal
2026-09-05 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Antigua2–1Aurora
2026-08-31 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Aurora1–0Malacateco
2026-08-22 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 Aurora3–2Suchitepéquez
2026-08-16 Guatemala, Liga Nacional 26/27 San Pedro2–1Aurora
Marquense Aurora

Wins

62%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
75%

Both teams scored

38%
75%

Clean sheets

38%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Marquense

Home · Liga Nacional
HomeAway1st goal
6 Marquense 1–2 Municipal 1 12′ Home
6 Marquense Guastatoya 2
6 Marquense Antigua 3
6 Marquense 0–0 San Pedro 4 –
6 Marquense Mixco 5
6 · Marquense
6 Marquense 0–4 Xelajú 7 13′ Away
6 Marquense Aurora 8
6 Marquense Comunicaciones 9
6 Marquense 1–0 Malacateco 10 66′ Home
6 Marquense 2–1 Cobán 11 15′ Home
6 Marquense Suchitepéquez 12

Aurora

Away · Liga Nacional
HomeAway1st goal
1 Municipal Aurora 8
2 Guastatoya Aurora 8
3 Antigua 2–1 Aurora 8 66′ Home
4 San Pedro 2–1 Aurora 8 15′ Home
5 Mixco 3–2 Aurora 8 4′ Home
6 Marquense Aurora 8
7 Xelajú 3–1 Aurora 8 —
8 · Aurora
9 Comunicaciones Aurora 8
10 Malacateco Aurora 8
11 Cobán 3–2 Aurora 8 —
12 Suchitepéquez Aurora 8
Marquense Home Aurora Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Nacional · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Marquense

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway6 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match1.401.501.45
Draws20.0%0.0%9.1%
Goals scored / match0.801.171.00
Goals conceded / match1.401.171.27
Total goals / match2.202.332.27
Failed to score40.0%33.3%36.4%
Under 2.5 goals40.0%50.0%45.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 3 33%
Scores first → wins 2 of 3 67%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1521
16–3000
31–4514
46–6000
61–7510
76–9002

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Aurora

11 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway5 matchesOverall11 matches
Points / match2.000.001.09
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.501.401.45
Goals conceded / match1.002.601.73
Total goals / match2.504.003.18
Failed to score16.7%0.0%9.1%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%0.0%27.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 4/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMarquenseDraw AuroraHow it works
Strength (Elo) 51.1% 17.2% 31.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 20.4% 23.2% 55.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.98–1.79 Model expected goals
51.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals
51.3% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 11.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-111.3%
1-111.0%
0-210.1%
1-29.8%
0-06.3%
1-06.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMarquenseAurora How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1496 1473 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 9 -16 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1497 1499 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Marquense 0.550.45 0.640.64
Aurora 0.640.82 0.731.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Marquense 9%27%9%36%18%
Aurora 0%27%0%27%46%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Marquense at home, 5 matches
0.00 Aurora away, 5 matches
57d Days of rest for Marquense
57d Days of rest for Aurora
— Manager of Marquense
— Manager of Aurora
0 Matches for Marquense in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Aurora in the last 14 days
7 Points for Marquense behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
11 Points for Aurora behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.80 League goals per match
18.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Marquense, the right bar represents Aurora.

On the ball

20 matches
6.75
corners
4.73
9.5
fouls
9.5
2.5
yellow cards
2.43

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Marquense WLDWLWWWLL 1.60 1.00–1.10 1W
Aurora LWLLLWWLWL 1.20 1.60–1.80 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Marquense2 72 00
Aurora3 44 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Marquense

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Aurora

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.