| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Bulgaria1–2Luxembourg |
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
26/27
|
Iceland1–1Estonia |
UEFA Nations League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
| Goals & results | Home1 matches | Away0 matches | Overall1 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.00 | — | 0.00 |
| Draws | 0.0% | — | 0.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.00 | — | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.00 | — | 2.00 |
| Total goals / match | 3.00 | — | 3.00 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | — | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 0.0% | — | 0.0% |
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 10 of 1 | 0%0% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 10 of 1 | 0%0% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 00 of 0 | —— |
Scoring order known: 1/1 home.Scoring order known: 1/1 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 1 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
| Goals & results | Home0 matches | Away1 matches | Overall1 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | — | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Draws | — | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals scored / match | — | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | — | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Total goals / match | — | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Failed to score | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | — | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 00 of 0 | —— |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 00 of 0 | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 10 of 1 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 1/1 away.Scoring order known: 1/1 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Bulgaria | Draw | Estonia | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 40.0% | 29.4% | 30.6% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 24.0% | 26.6% | 48.9% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Bulgaria | Estonia | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1488 | 1502 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 0 | 0 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1500 | 1500 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Estonia | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| Estonia | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% |
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bulgaria, the right bar represents Estonia.
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | L | 0.00 | 1.00–2.00 | 1L |
| Estonia | D | 1.00 | 1.00–1.00 | 1D |
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Estonia | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
No absences reported.
No absences reported.
No recent news linked to these teams.
