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Spain
VS Scheduled Europe 26/27 UEFA Nations League · Matchday 2
Croatia
Recent matches

Spain

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 England2–3Spain

Croatia

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Czechia1–2Croatia
Spain Croatia

Wins

100%
100%

Over 2.5 goals

100%
100%

Both teams scored

100%
100%

Clean sheets

0%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Spain

Home · UEFA Nations League
Spain Home Croatia Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

UEFA Nations League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Spain

1 matches
Goals & resultsHome0 matchesAway1 matchesOverall1 matches
Points / match—3.003.00
Draws—0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match—3.003.00
Goals conceded / match—2.002.00
Total goals / match—5.005.00
Failed to score—0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals—0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 0/0 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Croatia

1 matches
Goals & resultsHome0 matchesAway1 matchesOverall1 matches
Points / match—3.003.00
Draws—0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match—2.002.00
Goals conceded / match—1.001.00
Total goals / match—3.003.00
Failed to score—0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals—0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 1/1 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4500
46–6011
61–7500
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelSpainDraw CroatiaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 41.6% 28.9% 29.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 30.7% 17.2% 40.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.50–2.90 Model expected goals
79.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
76.3% Both teams to score
2-2 Most likely score, at 5.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-25.9%
2-35.7%
3-24.9%
3-34.8%
1-24.8%
1-34.6%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureSpainCroatia How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1512 1512 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 0 0 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1500 1500 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Spain 1.002.00 2.000.00
Croatia 0.002.00 0.001.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Spain 0%0%0%0%100%
Croatia 0%0%0%100%0%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

— Spain at home, 0 matches
3.00 Croatia away, 1 matches
3d Days of rest for Spain
3d Days of rest for Croatia
— Manager of Spain
— Manager of Croatia
1 Matches for Spain in the last 14 days
1 Matches for Croatia in the last 14 days
6 Points for Spain behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
6 Points for Croatia behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.46 League goals per match
30.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Spain, the right bar represents Croatia.

On the ball

20 matches
3.0
corners
6.0
16.0
fouls
9.0
—
yellow cards
1.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Spain W 3.00 3.00–2.00 1W
Croatia W 3.00 2.00–1.00 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Spain0 01 10
Croatia0 10 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Spain

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Croatia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.