Iceland

Iceland

VS Scheduled Saturday 3 Oct 202617:00

Europe 26/27 UEFA Nations League · Matchday 3

Bulgaria

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Iceland1–1Estonia

Bulgaria

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	26/27	Bulgaria1–2Luxembourg

Iceland Bulgaria

Wins

0%

Over 2.5 goals

0%

100%

Both teams scored

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Iceland

Home · UEFA Nations League

Home			Away		1st goal
33	Iceland		Portugal	1
33	Iceland		Austria	2
33	Iceland		Greece	3
33	Iceland		Sweden	4
33	Iceland		Montenegro	5
33	Iceland		France	6
33	Iceland		Netherlands	7
33	Iceland		Republic of Ireland	8
33	Iceland		Bosnia and Herzegovina	9
33	Iceland		Lithuania	10
33	Iceland		Germany	11
33	Iceland		Malta	12
33	Iceland		Northern Ireland	13
33	Iceland		Ukraine	14
33	Iceland		Kosovo	15
33	Iceland		Finland	16
33	Iceland		Switzerland	17
33	Iceland		Albania	18
33	Iceland		Slovakia	19
33	Iceland		Armenia	20
33	Iceland		Italy	21
33	Iceland		Spain	22
33	Iceland		Belgium	23
33	Iceland		Croatia	24
33	Iceland		Luxembourg	25
33	Iceland		Denmark	26
33	Iceland		Norway	27
33	Iceland		Wales	28
33	Iceland		Azerbaijan	29
33	Iceland		Gibraltar	30
33	Iceland	1–1	Estonia	31	45′ Home
33	Iceland		Faroe Islands	32
33 · Iceland
33	Iceland		Kazakhstan	34
33	Iceland		Scotland	35
33	Iceland		Slovenia	36
33	Iceland		Andorra	37
33	Iceland		Cyprus	38
33	Iceland		Georgia	39
33	Iceland		Hungary	40
33	Iceland		Poland	41
33	Iceland		Latvia	42
33	Iceland		Liechtenstein	43
33	Iceland		Israel	44
33	Iceland		England	45
33	Iceland		Bulgaria	46
33	Iceland		Czechia	47
33	Iceland		Belarus	48
33	Iceland		Moldova	49
33	Iceland		Romania	50
33	Iceland		North Macedonia	51
33	Iceland		Serbia	52
33	Iceland		Turkey	53
33	Iceland		San Marino	54

Bulgaria

Away · UEFA Nations League

Home		Away
1	Portugal	Bulgaria	46
2	Austria	Bulgaria	46
3	Greece	Bulgaria	46
4	Sweden	Bulgaria	46
5	Montenegro	Bulgaria	46
6	France	Bulgaria	46
7	Netherlands	Bulgaria	46
8	Republic of Ireland	Bulgaria	46
9	Bosnia and Herzegovina	Bulgaria	46
10	Lithuania	Bulgaria	46
11	Germany	Bulgaria	46
12	Malta	Bulgaria	46
13	Northern Ireland	Bulgaria	46
14	Ukraine	Bulgaria	46
15	Kosovo	Bulgaria	46
16	Finland	Bulgaria	46
17	Switzerland	Bulgaria	46
18	Albania	Bulgaria	46
19	Slovakia	Bulgaria	46
20	Armenia	Bulgaria	46
21	Italy	Bulgaria	46
22	Spain	Bulgaria	46
23	Belgium	Bulgaria	46
24	Croatia	Bulgaria	46
25	Luxembourg	Bulgaria	46
26	Denmark	Bulgaria	46
27	Norway	Bulgaria	46
28	Wales	Bulgaria	46
29	Azerbaijan	Bulgaria	46
30	Gibraltar	Bulgaria	46
31	Estonia	Bulgaria	46
32	Faroe Islands	Bulgaria	46
33	Iceland	Bulgaria	46
34	Kazakhstan	Bulgaria	46
35	Scotland	Bulgaria	46
36	Slovenia	Bulgaria	46
37	Andorra	Bulgaria	46
38	Cyprus	Bulgaria	46
39	Georgia	Bulgaria	46
40	Hungary	Bulgaria	46
41	Poland	Bulgaria	46
42	Latvia	Bulgaria	46
43	Liechtenstein	Bulgaria	46
44	Israel	Bulgaria	46
45	England	Bulgaria	46
46 · Bulgaria
47	Czechia	Bulgaria	46
48	Belarus	Bulgaria	46
49	Moldova	Bulgaria	46
50	Romania	Bulgaria	46
51	North Macedonia	Bulgaria	46
52	Serbia	Bulgaria	46
53	Turkey	Bulgaria	46
54	San Marino	Bulgaria	46

Iceland Home Bulgaria Away

Wins

0%

—

Over 1.5

100%

—

Over 2.5

0%

—

Over 3.5

0%

—

Both teams scored

100%

—

Clean sheets

0%

—

Scores first

100%

—

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

UEFA Nations League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Iceland

1 matches

Goals & results	Home1 matches	Away0 matches	Overall1 matches
Points / match	1.00	—	1.00
Draws	100.0%	—	100.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	—	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	—	1.00
Total goals / match	2.00	—	2.00
Failed to score	0.0%	—	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	—	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 1/1 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bulgaria

1 matches

Goals & results	Home1 matches	Away0 matches	Overall1 matches
Points / match	0.00	—	0.00
Draws	0.0%	—	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	—	1.00
Goals conceded / match	2.00	—	2.00
Total goals / match	3.00	—	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	—	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	—	0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 0/0 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Iceland	Draw	Bulgaria	How it works
Strength (Elo)	42.8%	28.6%	28.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	63.0%	21.8%	14.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.85–0.72 Model expected goals

46.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

42.8% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.1%

2-013.0%

1-110.2%

2-19.4%

3-08.0%

0-07.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Iceland	Bulgaria	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1498	1488	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	0	0	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1500	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Iceland	1.00	0.00	0.00	1.00
Bulgaria	1.00	0.00	1.00	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Iceland	0%	0%	100%	0%	0%
Bulgaria	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Iceland at home, 1 matches

— Bulgaria away, 0 matches

7d Days of rest for Iceland

7d Days of rest for Bulgaria

— Manager of Iceland

— Manager of Bulgaria

1 Matches for Iceland in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Bulgaria in the last 14 days

8 Points for Iceland behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Bulgaria behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.46 League goals per match

30.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Iceland, the right bar represents Bulgaria.

On the ball

20 matches

7.0

corners

5.0

13.0

fouls

10.0

1.0

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Iceland	D	1.00	1.00–1.00	1D
Bulgaria	L	0.00	1.00–2.00	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Iceland	1	0	0	0	1
Bulgaria	0	1	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Iceland

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bulgaria

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.