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Estonia
VS Scheduled Europe 26/27 UEFA Nations League · Matchday 4
Iceland

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
EstoniaWins
0
Draws100.0% of meetings
1
IcelandWins
0
Goals per match
2.00
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Iceland1–1Estonia
Recent matches

Estonia

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Iceland1–1Estonia

Iceland

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Iceland1–1Estonia
Estonia Iceland

Wins

0%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

0%
0%

Both teams scored

100%
100%

Clean sheets

0%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Estonia

Home · UEFA Nations League
HomeAway1st goal
31 Estonia Portugal 1
31 Estonia Austria 2
31 Estonia Greece 3
31 Estonia Sweden 4
31 Estonia Montenegro 5
31 Estonia France 6
31 Estonia Netherlands 7
31 Estonia Republic of Ireland 8
31 Estonia Bosnia and Herzegovina 9
31 Estonia Lithuania 10
31 Estonia Germany 11
31 Estonia Malta 12
31 Estonia Northern Ireland 13
31 Estonia Ukraine 14
31 Estonia Kosovo 15
31 Estonia Finland 16
31 Estonia Switzerland 17
31 Estonia Albania 18
31 Estonia Slovakia 19
31 Estonia Armenia 20
31 Estonia Italy 21
31 Estonia Spain 22
31 Estonia Belgium 23
31 Estonia Croatia 24
31 Estonia Luxembourg 25
31 Estonia Denmark 26
31 Estonia Norway 27
31 Estonia Wales 28
31 Estonia Azerbaijan 29
31 Estonia Gibraltar 30
31 · Estonia
31 Estonia Faroe Islands 32
31 Estonia Iceland 33
31 Estonia Kazakhstan 34
31 Estonia Scotland 35
31 Estonia Slovenia 36
31 Estonia Andorra 37
31 Estonia Cyprus 38
31 Estonia Georgia 39
31 Estonia Hungary 40
31 Estonia Poland 41
31 Estonia Latvia 42
31 Estonia Liechtenstein 43
31 Estonia Israel 44
31 Estonia England 45
31 Estonia Bulgaria 46
31 Estonia Czechia 47
31 Estonia Belarus 48
31 Estonia Moldova 49
31 Estonia Romania 50
31 Estonia North Macedonia 51
31 Estonia Serbia 52
31 Estonia Turkey 53
31 Estonia San Marino 54

Iceland

Away · UEFA Nations League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Portugal Iceland 33
2 Austria Iceland 33
3 Greece Iceland 33
4 Sweden Iceland 33
5 Montenegro Iceland 33
6 France Iceland 33
7 Netherlands Iceland 33
8 Republic of Ireland Iceland 33
9 Bosnia and Herzegovina Iceland 33
10 Lithuania Iceland 33
11 Germany Iceland 33
12 Malta Iceland 33
13 Northern Ireland Iceland 33
14 Ukraine Iceland 33
15 Kosovo Iceland 33
16 Finland Iceland 33
17 Switzerland Iceland 33
18 Albania Iceland 33
19 Slovakia Iceland 33
20 Armenia Iceland 33
21 Italy Iceland 33
22 Spain Iceland 33
23 Belgium Iceland 33
24 Croatia Iceland 33
25 Luxembourg Iceland 33
26 Denmark Iceland 33
27 Norway Iceland 33
28 Wales Iceland 33
29 Azerbaijan Iceland 33
30 Gibraltar Iceland 33
31 Estonia Iceland 33
32 Faroe Islands Iceland 33
33 · Iceland
34 Kazakhstan Iceland 33
35 Scotland Iceland 33
36 Slovenia Iceland 33
37 Andorra Iceland 33
38 Cyprus Iceland 33
39 Georgia Iceland 33
40 Hungary Iceland 33
41 Poland Iceland 33
42 Latvia Iceland 33
43 Liechtenstein Iceland 33
44 Israel Iceland 33
45 England Iceland 33
46 Bulgaria Iceland 33
47 Czechia Iceland 33
48 Belarus Iceland 33
49 Moldova Iceland 33
50 Romania Iceland 33
51 North Macedonia Iceland 33
52 Serbia Iceland 33
53 Turkey Iceland 33
54 San Marino Iceland 33
Estonia Home Iceland Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

UEFA Nations League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Estonia

1 matches
Goals & resultsHome0 matchesAway1 matchesOverall1 matches
Points / match—1.001.00
Draws—100.0%100.0%
Goals scored / match—1.001.00
Goals conceded / match—1.001.00
Total goals / match—2.002.00
Failed to score—0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals—100.0%100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 0/0 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Iceland

1 matches
Goals & resultsHome1 matchesAway0 matchesOverall1 matches
Points / match1.00—1.00
Draws100.0%—100.0%
Goals scored / match1.00—1.00
Goals conceded / match1.00—1.00
Total goals / match2.00—2.00
Failed to score0.0%—0.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%—100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 0/0 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelEstoniaDraw IcelandHow it works
Strength (Elo) 42.0% 28.8% 29.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 38.4% 34.4% 27.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.93–0.72 Model expected goals
22.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
31.1% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 19.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-019.2%
1-017.8%
0-113.9%
1-112.9%
2-08.2%
2-16.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureEstoniaIceland How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1502 1498 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 0 0 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1500 1500 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Estonia 0.001.00 1.000.00
Iceland 1.000.00 0.001.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Estonia 0%0%100%0%0%
Iceland 0%0%100%0%0%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

— Estonia at home, 0 matches
— Iceland away, 0 matches
10d Days of rest for Estonia
10d Days of rest for Iceland
— Manager of Estonia
— Manager of Iceland
1 Matches for Estonia in the last 14 days
1 Matches for Iceland in the last 14 days
8 Points for Estonia behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
8 Points for Iceland behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2.46 League goals per match
30.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Estonia, the right bar represents Iceland.

On the ball

20 matches
3.0
corners
7.0
13.0
fouls
13.0
2.0
yellow cards
1.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Estonia D 1.00 1.00–1.00 1D
Iceland D 1.00 1.00–1.00 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Estonia0 01 00
Iceland1 00 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Estonia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Iceland

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.