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Netherlands
VS Scheduled Europe 26/27 UEFA Nations League · Matchday 4
Serbia

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
NetherlandsWins
1
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
SerbiaWins
0
Goals per match
3.00
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Serbia1–2Netherlands
Recent matches

Netherlands

DateSeasonMatch
2026-10-01 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Greece2–2Netherlands
2026-09-27 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Serbia1–2Netherlands
2026-09-24 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Netherlands1–1Germany

Serbia

DateSeasonMatch
2026-10-01 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Germany2–0Serbia
2026-09-27 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Serbia1–2Netherlands
2026-09-24 Europe, UEFA Nations League 26/27 Serbia1–2Greece
Netherlands Serbia

Wins

33%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

67%
67%

Both teams scored

100%
67%

Clean sheets

0%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Netherlands Home Serbia Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

UEFA Nations League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Netherlands

3 matches
Goals & resultsHome1 matchesAway2 matchesOverall3 matches
Points / match1.002.001.67
Draws100.0%50.0%66.7%
Goals scored / match1.002.001.67
Goals conceded / match1.001.501.33
Total goals / match2.003.503.00
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%0.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 1/1 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4501
46–6000
61–7500
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Serbia

3 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway1 matchesOverall3 matches
Points / match0.000.000.00
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.000.67
Goals conceded / match2.002.002.00
Total goals / match3.002.002.67
Failed to score0.0%100.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%100.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 1/1 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–150—
16–300—
31–450—
46–600—
61–750—
76–900—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelNetherlandsDraw SerbiaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 47.5% 26.8% 25.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 74.9% 12.9% 6.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.70–0.65 Model expected goals
59.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.7% Both teams to score
2-0 Most likely score, at 12.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-012.8%
3-011.6%
1-09.5%
2-18.3%
4-07.8%
3-17.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureNetherlandsSerbia How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1512 1465 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 14 -23 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1504 1496 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Netherlands 0.331.33 1.000.33
Serbia 0.330.33 0.671.33

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Netherlands 0%0%33%33%33%
Serbia 0%0%33%67%0%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Netherlands at home, 1 matches
0.00 Serbia away, 1 matches
3d Days of rest for Netherlands
3d Days of rest for Serbia
— Manager of Netherlands
— Manager of Serbia
3 Matches for Netherlands in the last 14 days
3 Matches for Serbia in the last 14 days
4 Points for Netherlands behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Serbia behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.46 League goals per match
30.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Netherlands, the right bar represents Serbia.

On the ball

20 matches
8.0
corners
2.5
10.5
fouls
9.0
3.0
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Netherlands DWD 1.67 1.67–1.33 1D
Serbia LLL 0.00 0.67–2.00 3L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Netherlands1 02 00
Serbia1 02 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Netherlands

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Serbia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.