Salzburgo

Salzburgo

VS Scheduled Thursday 15 Oct 202617:45

Europe 26/27 UEFA Europa League · Matchday 2

Milan

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-17	26/27	Levski0–1Salzburgo
2026-08-27	26/27	Salzburgo3–0Mjällby AIF
2026-08-20	26/27	Mjällby AIF0–1Salzburgo
2026-08-13	26/27	Pafos FC3–3Salzburgo
2026-08-06	26/27	Salzburgo1–0Pafos FC

Milan

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Milan0–2Benfica

Salzburgo Milan

Wins

80%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

0%

Both teams scored

20%

0%

Clean sheets

80%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Salzburgo

Home · UEFA Europa League

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Salzburgo		Ferencvaros	1
5	Salzburgo		Besiktas	2
5	Salzburgo		Benfica	3
5	Salzburgo		Anderlecht	4
5 · Salzburgo
5	Salzburgo		CSKA Sofia	6
5	Salzburgo		Lech	7
5	Salzburgo		Jagiellonia	8
5	Salzburgo		Omonia	9
5	Salzburgo		OFI Crete	10
5	Salzburgo		Maccabi Tel Aviv	11
5	Salzburgo		Qarabağ	12
5	Salzburgo		PAOK	13
5	Salzburgo		Hajduk Split	14
5	Salzburgo		Hradec Králové	15
5	Salzburgo		Egnatia Rrogozhinë	16
5	Salzburgo		Univ. Craiova	17
5	Salzburgo	1–0	Pafos FC	18	88′ Home
5	Salzburgo		Ararat-Armenia	19
5	Salzburgo		Thun	20
5	Salzburgo		Sheriff	21
5	Salzburgo		Juventus	22
5	Salzburgo		Crystal Palace	23
5	Salzburgo		Sparta Praga	24
5	Salzburgo		Saint-Gilloise	25
5	Salzburgo		Leverkusen	26
5	Salzburgo		Bournemouth	27
5	Salzburgo		Lyon	28
5	Salzburgo		Olympiakos	29
5	Salzburgo		Torreense	30
5	Salzburgo		Sunderland	31
5	Salzburgo		Crvena Zvezda	32
5	Salzburgo		St Truiden	33
5	Salzburgo		Žilina	34
5	Salzburgo		Shamrock Rovers	35
5	Salzburgo		Víkingur Reykjavík	36
5	Salzburgo		FK Kauno Žalgiris	37
5	Salzburgo		Viktoria Plzeň	38
5	Salzburgo		St. Gallen	39
5	Salzburgo		Larne	40
5	Salzburgo		Universitatea Cluj	41
5	Salzburgo		Lillestrøm	42
5	Salzburgo		Dynamo Kyiv	43
5	Salzburgo		FC Iberia 1999	44
5	Salzburgo		Dinamo Zagreb	45
5	Salzburgo		H Be'er Sheva	46
5	Salzburgo		Rennes	47
5	Salzburgo		Sturm Graz	48
5	Salzburgo		FC Twente	49
5	Salzburgo		KuPS	50
5	Salzburgo		Rangers	51
5	Salzburgo		Górnik Zabrze	52
5	Salzburgo		Lincoln Red Imps	53
5	Salzburgo		Aluminij	54
5	Salzburgo		Hammarby	55
5	Salzburgo		Hearts	56
5	Salzburgo		Real Sociedad	57
5	Salzburgo		AZ Alkmaar	58
5	Salzburgo		Celta Vigo	59
5	Salzburgo		Levski	60
5	Salzburgo		Derry City	61
5	Salzburgo		Celtic	62
5	Salzburgo		Celje	63
5	Salzburgo		Hoffenheim	64
5	Salzburgo		Milan	65
5	Salzburgo		Marselha	66
5	Salzburgo		Tromsø	67
5	Salzburgo		FC Midtjylland	68
5	Salzburgo		AGF Aarhus	69
5	Salzburgo		Vojvodina	70
5	Salzburgo	3–0	Mjällby AIF	71	60′ Home
5	Salzburgo		Nijmegen	72
5	Salzburgo		Trabzonspor	73
5	Salzburgo		FC Kairat Almaty	74
5	Salzburgo		KÍ	75
5	Salzburgo		Vestri	76

Milan

Away · UEFA Europa League

Home		Away
1	Ferencvaros	Milan	65
2	Besiktas	Milan	65
3	Benfica	Milan	65
4	Anderlecht	Milan	65
5	Salzburgo	Milan	65
6	CSKA Sofia	Milan	65
7	Lech	Milan	65
8	Jagiellonia	Milan	65
9	Omonia	Milan	65
10	OFI Crete	Milan	65
11	Maccabi Tel Aviv	Milan	65
12	Qarabağ	Milan	65
13	PAOK	Milan	65
14	Hajduk Split	Milan	65
15	Hradec Králové	Milan	65
16	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	Milan	65
17	Univ. Craiova	Milan	65
18	Pafos FC	Milan	65
19	Ararat-Armenia	Milan	65
20	Thun	Milan	65
21	Sheriff	Milan	65
22	Juventus	Milan	65
23	Crystal Palace	Milan	65
24	Sparta Praga	Milan	65
25	Saint-Gilloise	Milan	65
26	Leverkusen	Milan	65
27	Bournemouth	Milan	65
28	Lyon	Milan	65
29	Olympiakos	Milan	65
30	Torreense	Milan	65
31	Sunderland	Milan	65
32	Crvena Zvezda	Milan	65
33	St Truiden	Milan	65
34	Žilina	Milan	65
35	Shamrock Rovers	Milan	65
36	Víkingur Reykjavík	Milan	65
37	FK Kauno Žalgiris	Milan	65
38	Viktoria Plzeň	Milan	65
39	St. Gallen	Milan	65
40	Larne	Milan	65
41	Universitatea Cluj	Milan	65
42	Lillestrøm	Milan	65
43	Dynamo Kyiv	Milan	65
44	FC Iberia 1999	Milan	65
45	Dinamo Zagreb	Milan	65
46	H Be'er Sheva	Milan	65
47	Rennes	Milan	65
48	Sturm Graz	Milan	65
49	FC Twente	Milan	65
50	KuPS	Milan	65
51	Rangers	Milan	65
52	Górnik Zabrze	Milan	65
53	Lincoln Red Imps	Milan	65
54	Aluminij	Milan	65
55	Hammarby	Milan	65
56	Hearts	Milan	65
57	Real Sociedad	Milan	65
58	AZ Alkmaar	Milan	65
59	Celta Vigo	Milan	65
60	Levski	Milan	65
61	Derry City	Milan	65
62	Celtic	Milan	65
63	Celje	Milan	65
64	Hoffenheim	Milan	65
65 · Milan
66	Marselha	Milan	65
67	Tromsø	Milan	65
68	FC Midtjylland	Milan	65
69	AGF Aarhus	Milan	65
70	Vojvodina	Milan	65
71	Mjällby AIF	Milan	65
72	Nijmegen	Milan	65
73	Trabzonspor	Milan	65
74	FC Kairat Almaty	Milan	65
75	KÍ	Milan	65
76	Vestri	Milan	65

Salzburgo Home Milan Away

Wins

100%

—

Over 1.5

50%

—

Over 2.5

50%

—

Over 3.5

0%

—

Both teams scored

0%

—

Clean sheets

100%

—

Scores first

100%

—

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

UEFA Europa League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Salzburgo

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.33	2.60
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.67	1.80
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.00	0.60
Total goals / match	2.00	2.67	2.40
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	66.7%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Milan

1 matches

Goals & results	Home1 matches	Away0 matches	Overall1 matches
Points / match	0.00	—	0.00
Draws	0.0%	—	0.0%
Goals scored / match	0.00	—	0.00
Goals conceded / match	2.00	—	2.00
Total goals / match	2.00	—	2.00
Failed to score	100.0%	—	100.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	—	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 0/0 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Salzburgo	Draw	Milan	How it works
Strength (Elo)	54.3%	18.6%	27.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	76.2%	15.6%	5.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.21–0.42 Model expected goals

46.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

29.4% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 17.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-017.7%

1-016.0%

3-013.0%

2-17.4%

0-07.3%

4-07.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Salzburgo	Milan	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1545	1485	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	36	0	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1497	1553	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.