Costa do Sol

Costa do Sol

VS Scheduled Sunday 30 Aug 202613:00

Mozambique 2026 Moçambola · Matchday 14

AD Pemba

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

Costa do SolWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
AD PembaWins: 0

Goals per match: 2.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-15	2026	AD Pemba0–2Costa do Sol

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	2026	Chingale0–1Costa do Sol
2026-08-30	2026	Costa do Sol1–2Ferro Beira
2026-08-26	2026	Costa do Sol3–0Black Bulls
2026-08-22	2026	Ferro Maputo0–1Costa do Sol
2026-08-19	2026	Baía de Pemba1–0Costa do Sol
2026-08-15	2026	AD Pemba0–2Costa do Sol
2026-08-11	2026	Costa do Sol0–0Ferro Nampula
2026-08-05	2026	Costa do Sol3–0Ferro Nacala

AD Pemba

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	2026	Vilankulo1–0AD Pemba
2026-08-30	2026	AD Pemba0–1Ferroviário
2026-08-26	2026	AD Pemba2–0Ferro Nampula
2026-08-21	2026	AD Pemba1–0Ferro Nacala
2026-08-18	2026	AD Pemba1–0Maxaquene
2026-08-15	2026	AD Pemba0–2Costa do Sol
2026-08-09	2026	Ferro Maputo2–0AD Pemba
2026-08-05	2026	Black Bulls2–0AD Pemba

Costa do Sol AD Pemba

Wins

62%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

0%

Both teams scored

12%

0%

Clean sheets

75%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Costa do Sol

Home · Moçambola

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Costa do Sol	3–0	Black Bulls	1	22′ Home
2 · Costa do Sol
2	Costa do Sol	1–2	Ferro Beira	3	47′ Away
2	Costa do Sol		Ferroviário	4
2	Costa do Sol	0–0	Ferro Nampula	5	–
2	Costa do Sol	1–0	Ferro Maputo	6	82′ Home
2	Costa do Sol	3–0	Ferro Nacala	7	—
2	Costa do Sol		Baía de Pemba	8
2	Costa do Sol		AD Pemba	9
2	Costa do Sol	2–1	Vilankulo	10	16′ Home
2	Costa do Sol	1–0	Chingale	11	65′ Home
2	Costa do Sol		Maxaquene	12

AD Pemba

Away · Moçambola

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Black Bulls	2–0	AD Pemba	9	31′ Home
2	Costa do Sol		AD Pemba	9
3	Ferro Beira		AD Pemba	9
4	Ferroviário	2–0	AD Pemba	9	42′ Home
5	Ferro Nampula	2–1	AD Pemba	9	18′ Home
6	Ferro Maputo	2–0	AD Pemba	9	35′ Home
7	Ferro Nacala	1–0	AD Pemba	9	90+9′ Home
8	Baía de Pemba	0–1	AD Pemba	9	90+2′ Away
9 · AD Pemba
10	Vilankulo	1–0	AD Pemba	9	—
11	Chingale	0–0	AD Pemba	9	–
12	Maxaquene		AD Pemba	9

Costa do Sol Home AD Pemba Away

Wins

71%

12%

Over 1.5

57%

50%

Over 2.5

57%

12%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

29%

12%

Clean sheets

71%

25%

Scores first

71%

12%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Moçambola · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Costa do Sol

15 matches

Goals & results	Home7 matches	Away8 matches	Overall15 matches
Points / match	2.29	1.62	1.93
Draws	14.3%	12.5%	13.3%
Goals scored / match	1.57	1.12	1.33
Goals conceded / match	0.43	0.62	0.53
Total goals / match	2.00	1.75	1.87
Failed to score	14.3%	37.5%	26.7%
Under 2.5 goals	42.9%	75.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 5	60%
Scores first → wins	5 of 5	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 7/7 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

AD Pemba

15 matches

Goals & results	Home7 matches	Away8 matches	Overall15 matches
Points / match	1.86	0.50	1.13
Draws	14.3%	12.5%	13.3%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.25	0.60
Goals conceded / match	0.71	1.25	1.00
Total goals / match	1.71	1.50	1.60
Failed to score	28.6%	75.0%	53.3%
Under 2.5 goals	85.7%	87.5%	86.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 6	0%

Scoring order known: 8/8 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Costa do Sol	Draw	AD Pemba	How it works
Strength (Elo)	55.9%	21.4%	22.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	55.1%	29.6%	15.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.27–0.52 Model expected goals

26.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

29.0% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 21.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-021.3%

0-016.7%

2-013.5%

1-111.0%

0-18.6%

2-17.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Costa do Sol	AD Pemba	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1564	1467	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	37	-25	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1502	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Costa do Sol	0.80	0.53	0.33	0.20
AD Pemba	0.14	0.50	0.64	0.36

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Costa do Sol	13%	40%	7%	33%	7%
AD Pemba	7%	40%	40%	13%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.29 Costa do Sol at home, 7 matches

0.50 AD Pemba away, 8 matches

4d Days of rest for Costa do Sol

4d Days of rest for AD Pemba

— Manager of Costa do Sol

— Manager of AD Pemba

3 Matches for Costa do Sol in the last 14 days

3 Matches for AD Pemba in the last 14 days

5 Points for Costa do Sol behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

17 Points for AD Pemba behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

1.66 League goals per match

27.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Costa do Sol, the right bar represents AD Pemba.

On the ball

20 matches

6.0

corners

1.5

21.0

fouls

—

1.5

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Costa do Sol	WLWWLWDWWL	1.90	1.40–0.60	1W
AD Pemba	LLWWWLLLDD	1.10	0.50–0.90	2L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Costa do Sol	6	6	3	0	0
AD Pemba	2	5	7	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Costa do Sol

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

AD Pemba

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.