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Ferro Maputo
VS Scheduled Mozambique 2026 Moçambola · Matchday 14
Ferro Nacala

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
Ferro MaputoWins
0
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
Ferro NacalaWins
1
Goals per match
1.00
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
0.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-14 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Nacala1–0Ferro Maputo
Recent matches

Ferro Maputo

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Beira0–1Ferro Maputo
2026-08-30 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Maputo1–0Chingale
2026-08-25 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Maxaquene2–2Ferro Maputo
2026-08-22 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Maputo0–1Costa do Sol
2026-08-18 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Nampula2–1Ferro Maputo
2026-08-14 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Nacala1–0Ferro Maputo
2026-08-09 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Maputo2–0AD Pemba
2026-08-06 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Maputo0–0Baía de Pemba

Ferro Nacala

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-16 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferroviário0–0Ferro Nacala
2026-09-02 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Nacala1–0Vilankulo
2026-08-25 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Baía de Pemba1–0Ferro Nacala
2026-08-21 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 AD Pemba1–0Ferro Nacala
2026-08-17 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Nacala0–1Black Bulls
2026-08-14 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Ferro Nacala1–0Ferro Maputo
2026-08-10 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Maxaquene1–0Ferro Nacala
2026-08-05 Mozambique, Moçambola 2026 Costa do Sol3–0Ferro Nacala
Ferro Maputo Ferro Nacala

Wins

38%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

25%
12%

Both teams scored

25%
0%

Clean sheets

50%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 2026

Ferro Maputo

Home · Moçambola
HomeAway1st goal
6 Ferro Maputo 0–1 Black Bulls 1 90′ Away
6 Ferro Maputo 0–1 Costa do Sol 2 —
6 Ferro Maputo 0–1 Ferro Beira 3 23′ Away
6 Ferro Maputo 2–0 Ferroviário 4 7′ Home
6 Ferro Maputo Ferro Nampula 5
6 · Ferro Maputo
6 Ferro Maputo Ferro Nacala 7
6 Ferro Maputo 0–0 Baía de Pemba 8 –
6 Ferro Maputo 2–0 AD Pemba 9 35′ Home
6 Ferro Maputo Vilankulo 10
6 Ferro Maputo 1–0 Chingale 11 88′ Home
6 Ferro Maputo 1–0 Maxaquene 12 65′ Home

Ferro Nacala

Away · Moçambola
HomeAway1st goal
1 Black Bulls Ferro Nacala 7
2 Costa do Sol 3–0 Ferro Nacala 7 —
3 Ferro Beira 2–0 Ferro Nacala 7 26′ Home
4 Ferroviário 0–0 Ferro Nacala 7 –
5 Ferro Nampula 1–3 Ferro Nacala 7 13′ Away
6 Ferro Maputo Ferro Nacala 7
7 · Ferro Nacala
8 Baía de Pemba 1–0 Ferro Nacala 7 56′ Home
9 AD Pemba 1–0 Ferro Nacala 7 14′ Home
10 Vilankulo 1–1 Ferro Nacala 7 51′ Home
11 Chingale Ferro Nacala 7
12 Maxaquene 1–0 Ferro Nacala 7 17′ Home
Ferro Maputo Home Ferro Nacala Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Moçambola · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Ferro Maputo

15 matches
Goals & resultsHome8 matchesAway7 matchesOverall15 matches
Points / match1.620.861.27
Draws12.5%42.9%26.7%
Goals scored / match0.750.570.67
Goals conceded / match0.380.860.60
Total goals / match1.121.431.27
Failed to score50.0%57.1%53.3%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%71.4%86.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 4 50%
Scores first → wins 4 of 4 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 8/8 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ferro Nacala

15 matches
Goals & resultsHome7 matchesAway8 matchesOverall15 matches
Points / match1.860.621.20
Draws14.3%25.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match0.570.500.53
Goals conceded / match0.291.250.80
Total goals / match0.861.751.33
Failed to score42.9%75.0%60.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%75.0%86.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 6 0%

Scoring order known: 8/8 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelFerro MaputoDraw Ferro NacalaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 46.0% 25.6% 28.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 27.0% 45.8% 27.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.51–0.52 Model expected goals
8.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
16.2% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 35.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-035.7%
0-118.4%
1-018.3%
1-19.5%
0-24.8%
2-04.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureFerro MaputoFerro Nacala How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1501 1477 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 21 -55 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1499 1500 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Ferro Maputo 0.290.36 0.360.29
Ferro Nacala 0.290.29 0.430.43

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Ferro Maputo 20%53%13%7%7%
Ferro Nacala 13%60%13%7%7%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.62 Ferro Maputo at home, 8 matches
0.62 Ferro Nacala away, 8 matches
5d Days of rest for Ferro Maputo
5d Days of rest for Ferro Nacala
— Manager of Ferro Maputo
— Manager of Ferro Nacala
3 Matches for Ferro Maputo in the last 14 days
3 Matches for Ferro Nacala in the last 14 days
15 Points for Ferro Maputo behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
16 Points for Ferro Nacala behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
1.66 League goals per match
27.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ferro Maputo, the right bar represents Ferro Nacala.

On the ball

20 matches
5.78
corners
5.5
8.33
fouls
—
1.67
yellow cards
1.5

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Ferro Maputo WWDLLLWDWD 1.50 0.90–0.60 2W
Ferro Nacala DWLLLWLLLL 0.70 0.20–1.00 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Ferro Maputo2 84 00
Ferro Nacala3 74 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ferro Maputo

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ferro Nacala

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.