Al-Hilal

Al-Hilal

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202619:00

Saudi Arabia 26/27 Saudi Pro League · Matchday 8

Al-Ittihad

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-12	26/27	Al-Taawoun0–6Al-Hilal
2026-09-07	26/27	Al-Hilal0–2Neom SC
2026-09-04	26/27	Al-Shabab0–2Al-Hilal
2026-09-01	26/27	Al-Hilal3–0Al-Ahli
2026-08-28	26/27	Al-Khaleej1–5Al-Hilal
2026-08-20	26/27	Al-Fayha0–3Al-Hilal
2026-08-14	26/27	Al-Hilal4–2Faisaly

Al-Ittihad

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-11	26/27	Faisaly1–3Al-Ittihad
2026-09-08	26/27	Al-Ittihad2–1Al-Fayha
2026-09-05	26/27	Al-Ittihad2–1Al-Nassr
2026-08-29	26/27	Al-Fateh0–0Al-Ittihad
2026-08-24	26/27	Al-Ittihad3–2Al-Hazem
2026-08-21	26/27	Al-Qadsiah0–1Al-Ittihad
2026-08-15	26/27	Al-Ittihad1–1Al-Kholood

Al-Hilal Al-Ittihad

Wins

86%

71%

Over 2.5 goals

71%

57%

Both teams scored

29%

71%

Clean sheets

57%

29%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Al-Hilal

Home · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Al-Hilal
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Ittihad	2
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Nassr	3
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Qadsiah	4
1	Al-Hilal	0–2	Neom SC	5	—
1	Al-Hilal	3–0	Al-Ahli	6	9′ Home
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Kholood	7
1	Al-Hilal		Draih	8
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Ettifaq	9
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Hazem	10
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Riyadh	11
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Fayha	12
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Khaleej	13
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Shabab	14
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Fateh	15
1	Al-Hilal	4–2	Faisaly	16	19′ Home
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Taawoun	17
1	Al-Hilal		Abha	18

Al-Ittihad

Away · Saudi Pro League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Al-Hilal		Al-Ittihad	2
2 · Al-Ittihad
3	Al-Nassr		Al-Ittihad	2
4	Al-Qadsiah	0–1	Al-Ittihad	2	45+1′ Away
5	Neom SC		Al-Ittihad	2
6	Al-Ahli		Al-Ittihad	2
7	Al-Kholood		Al-Ittihad	2
8	Draih		Al-Ittihad	2
9	Al-Ettifaq		Al-Ittihad	2
10	Al-Hazem		Al-Ittihad	2
11	Al-Riyadh		Al-Ittihad	2
12	Al-Fayha		Al-Ittihad	2
13	Al-Khaleej		Al-Ittihad	2
14	Al-Shabab		Al-Ittihad	2
15	Al-Fateh	0–0	Al-Ittihad	2	–
16	Faisaly	1–3	Al-Ittihad	2	28′ Away
17	Al-Taawoun		Al-Ittihad	2
18	Abha		Al-Ittihad	2

Al-Hilal Home Al-Ittihad Away

Wins

67%

Over 1.5

100%

33%

Over 2.5

67%

33%

Over 3.5

33%

Both teams scored

33%

Clean sheets

33%

67%

Scores first

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Saudi Pro League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Al-Hilal

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.00	3.00	2.57
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.33	4.00	3.29
Goals conceded / match	1.33	0.25	0.71
Total goals / match	3.67	4.25	4.00
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Al-Ittihad

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.50	2.33	2.43
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.33	1.71
Goals conceded / match	1.25	0.33	0.86
Total goals / match	3.25	1.67	2.57
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	66.7%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Al-Hilal	Draw	Al-Ittihad	How it works
Strength (Elo)	45.1%	27.9%	27.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	62.0%	20.6%	15.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.03–0.89 Model expected goals

54.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

50.1% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 11.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-011.1%

1-011.0%

2-19.9%

1-19.8%

3-07.5%

3-16.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Al-Hilal	Al-Ittihad	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1578	1550	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	66	51	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1496	1498	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Al-Hilal	2.00	1.29	0.43	0.29
Al-Ittihad	1.29	0.43	0.43	0.43

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Al-Hilal	0%	0%	29%	29%	43%
Al-Ittihad	14%	14%	14%	29%	29%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Al-Hilal at home, 3 matches

2.33 Al-Ittihad away, 3 matches

28d Days of rest for Al-Hilal

29d Days of rest for Al-Ittihad

— Manager of Al-Hilal

— Manager of Al-Ittihad

0 Matches for Al-Hilal in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Al-Ittihad in the last 14 days

0 Points for Al-Hilal behind the leaders, and 15 above the relegation zone

1 Points for Al-Ittihad behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.76 League goals per match

30.2% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Al-Hilal, the right bar represents Al-Ittihad.

On the ball

20 matches

5.29

corners

4.29

10.14

fouls

11.29

1.6

yellow cards

2.6

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Al-Hilal	WLWWWWW	2.57	3.29–0.71	1W
Al-Ittihad	WWWDWWD	2.43	1.71–0.86	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Al-Hilal	5	1	1	0	0
Al-Ittihad	5	2	0	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Al-Hilal

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Al-Ittihad

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.