Arema

Arema

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202609:30

Indonesia 26/27 Liga 1 · Matchday 4

Bhayangkara

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Arema1–1Persik
2026-09-13	26/27	PSM3–3Arema
2026-09-04	26/27	Arema4–0Adhyaksa

Bhayangkara

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Bhayangkara2–0Adhyaksa
2026-09-11	26/27	Dewa United2–2Bhayangkara
2026-09-05	26/27	Bhayangkara1–1Persebaya

Arema Bhayangkara

Wins

33%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

33%

Both teams scored

67%

Clean sheets

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Arema

Home · Liga 1

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Arema		Dewa United	1
7	Arema		Madura Utd	2
7	Arema		Persija	3
7	Arema		Bali United	4
7	Arema		Persib	5
7	Arema		Borneo	6
7 · Arema
7	Arema		Bhayangkara	8
7	Arema		Persita	9
7	Arema		Persebaya	10
7	Arema	1–1	Persik	11	6′ Away
7	Arema		PSM	12
7	Arema		Garudayaksa FC	13
7	Arema		Malut United	14
7	Arema		PSIM Yogyakarta	15
7	Arema		PSS	16
7	Arema		Persijap	17
7	Arema	4–0	Adhyaksa	18	6′ Home

Bhayangkara

Away · Liga 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Dewa United	2–2	Bhayangkara	8	29′ Away
2	Madura Utd		Bhayangkara	8
3	Persija		Bhayangkara	8
4	Bali United		Bhayangkara	8
5	Persib		Bhayangkara	8
6	Borneo		Bhayangkara	8
7	Arema		Bhayangkara	8
8 · Bhayangkara
9	Persita		Bhayangkara	8
10	Persebaya		Bhayangkara	8
11	Persik		Bhayangkara	8
12	PSM		Bhayangkara	8
13	Garudayaksa FC		Bhayangkara	8
14	Malut United		Bhayangkara	8
15	PSIM Yogyakarta		Bhayangkara	8
16	PSS		Bhayangkara	8
17	Persijap		Bhayangkara	8
18	Adhyaksa		Bhayangkara	8

Arema Home Bhayangkara Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

50%

100%

Over 3.5

50%

100%

Both teams scored

50%

100%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

50%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Arema

3 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away1 matches	Overall3 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.00	1.67
Draws	50.0%	100.0%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	2.50	3.00	2.67
Goals conceded / match	0.50	3.00	1.33
Total goals / match	3.00	6.00	4.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	0.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bhayangkara

3 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away1 matches	Overall3 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.00	1.67
Draws	50.0%	100.0%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	1.50	2.00	1.67
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.00	1.00
Total goals / match	2.00	4.00	2.67
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	0.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 1/1 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Arema	Draw	Bhayangkara	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	34.5%	21.9%	41.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.70–1.88 Model expected goals

67.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

67.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 8.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-18.9%

1-28.4%

2-17.6%

2-27.1%

1-35.3%

0-15.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Arema	Bhayangkara	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Arema	2.00	0.67	0.67	0.67
Bhayangkara	0.67	1.00	0.67	0.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Arema	0%	0%	33%	0%	67%
Bhayangkara	0%	0%	67%	0%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Arema at home, 2 matches

1.00 Bhayangkara away, 1 matches

22d Days of rest for Arema

21d Days of rest for Bhayangkara

— Manager of Arema

— Manager of Bhayangkara

0 Matches for Arema in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Bhayangkara in the last 14 days

5 Points for Arema behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Bhayangkara behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

2.75 League goals per match

28.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Arema, the right bar represents Bhayangkara.

On the ball

20 matches

4.0

corners

5.33

—

fouls

—

1.5

yellow cards

1.67

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Arema	DDW	1.67	2.67–1.33	2D
Bhayangkara	WDD	1.67	1.67–1.00	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Arema	2	1	0	0	1
Bhayangkara	1	1	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Arema

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bhayangkara

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.