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Estrella Roja
VS Scheduled Honduras 26/27 Liga Nacional · Matchday 9
Real España
Recent matches

Estrella Roja

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Choloma2–0Estrella Roja
2026-09-12 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Estrella Roja2–2Platense
2026-09-06 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Marathón5–0Estrella Roja
2026-08-30 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Estrella Roja2–2Olimpia
2026-08-23 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Estrella Roja5–2Juticalpa
2026-08-16 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 UPNFM2–2Estrella Roja
2026-08-10 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Motagua0–2Estrella Roja
2026-08-03 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Estrella Roja0–1Olancho

Real España

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Real España1–0Motagua
2026-09-13 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Olancho1–1Real España
2026-09-07 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Real España2–0UPNFM
2026-08-31 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Real España2–1Choloma
2026-08-23 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Marathón1–1Real España
2026-08-16 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Real España1–1Atlético Independiente
2026-08-09 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Real España2–0Génesis
2026-08-01 Honduras, Liga Nacional 26/27 Platense0–3Real España
Estrella Roja Real España

Wins

25%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
25%

Both teams scored

50%
50%

Clean sheets

12%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Estrella Roja

Home · Liga Nacional
HomeAway1st goal
7 Estrella Roja Real España 1
7 Estrella Roja 2–2 Olimpia 2 45+3′ Home
7 Estrella Roja Marathón 3
7 Estrella Roja Motagua 4
7 Estrella Roja Génesis 5
7 Estrella Roja 0–1 Olancho 6 27′ Away
7 · Estrella Roja
7 Estrella Roja Atlético Independiente 8
7 Estrella Roja UPNFM 9
7 Estrella Roja Choloma 10
7 Estrella Roja 5–2 Juticalpa 11 —
7 Estrella Roja 2–2 Platense 12 1′ Away

Real España

Away · Liga Nacional
Estrella Roja Home Real España Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Nacional · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Estrella Roja

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.251.001.12
Draws50.0%25.0%37.5%
Goals scored / match2.251.001.62
Goals conceded / match1.752.252.00
Total goals / match4.003.253.62
Failed to score25.0%50.0%37.5%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%50.0%37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Real España

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway3 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match2.601.672.25
Draws20.0%66.7%37.5%
Goals scored / match1.601.671.62
Goals conceded / match0.400.670.50
Total goals / match2.002.332.12
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals80.0%66.7%75.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3010
31–4510
46–6000
61–7520
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelEstrella RojaDraw Real EspañaHow it works
Goals (Poisson) 8.5% 16.1% 72.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.65–2.34 Model expected goals
54.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.6% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 13.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-213.8%
0-111.8%
0-310.8%
1-28.9%
1-17.6%
1-37.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureEstrella RojaReal España How to read it
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Estrella Roja 0.121.50 0.751.25
Real España 0.880.75 0.120.38

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Estrella Roja 0%12%25%0%62%
Real España 0%12%62%25%0%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.25 Estrella Roja at home, 4 matches
1.67 Real España away, 3 matches
22d Days of rest for Estrella Roja
21d Days of rest for Real España
— Manager of Estrella Roja
— Manager of Real España
0 Matches for Estrella Roja in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Real España in the last 14 days
9 Points for Estrella Roja behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
0 Points for Real España behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
27.1% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Estrella Roja, the right bar represents Real España.

On the ball

20 matches
5.57
corners
4.43
14.25
fouls
6.0
2.33
yellow cards
2.29

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Estrella Roja LDLDWDWL 1.12 1.62–2.00 1L
Real España WDWWDDWW 2.25 1.62–0.50 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Estrella Roja1 34 11
Real España4 31 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Estrella Roja

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Real España

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.