Olancho

VS Scheduled Monday 12 Oct 202600:15

Honduras 26/27 Liga Nacional · Matchday 9

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Génesis0–0Olancho
2026-09-13	26/27	Olancho1–1Real España
2026-09-05	26/27	Choloma0–0Olancho
2026-08-30	26/27	Motagua2–1Olancho
2026-08-24	26/27	Olancho1–1Olimpia
2026-08-17	26/27	Olancho1–0Juticalpa
2026-08-09	26/27	UPNFM1–1Olancho
2026-08-03	26/27	Estrella Roja0–1Olancho

Atlético Independiente

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-21	26/27	Olimpia4–0Atlético Independiente
2026-09-14	26/27	Atlético Independiente2–1Juticalpa
2026-09-06	26/27	Atlético Independiente0–0Motagua
2026-08-30	26/27	Platense2–1Atlético Independiente
2026-08-22	26/27	Atlético Independiente1–1Génesis
2026-08-16	26/27	Real España1–1Atlético Independiente
2026-08-10	26/27	Atlético Independiente2–1Choloma
2026-08-04	26/27	Marathón1–0Atlético Independiente

Olancho Atlético Independiente

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

12%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

62%

Clean sheets

50%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Olancho

Home · Liga Nacional

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Olancho	1–1	Real España	1	73′ Away
6	Olancho	1–1	Olimpia	2	90+5′ Home
6	Olancho		Marathón	3
6	Olancho		Motagua	4
6	Olancho		Génesis	5
6 · Olancho
6	Olancho		Estrella Roja	7
6	Olancho		Atlético Independiente	8
6	Olancho		UPNFM	9
6	Olancho		Choloma	10
6	Olancho	1–0	Juticalpa	11	71′ Home
6	Olancho		Platense	12

Atlético Independiente

Away · Liga Nacional

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Real España	1–1	Atlético Independiente	8	47′ Home
2	Olimpia	4–0	Atlético Independiente	8	—
3	Marathón	1–0	Atlético Independiente	8	24′ Home
4	Motagua		Atlético Independiente	8
5	Génesis		Atlético Independiente	8
6	Olancho		Atlético Independiente	8
7	Estrella Roja		Atlético Independiente	8
8 · Atlético Independiente
9	UPNFM		Atlético Independiente	8
10	Choloma		Atlético Independiente	8
11	Juticalpa		Atlético Independiente	8
12	Platense	2–1	Atlético Independiente	8	28′ Home

Olancho Home Atlético Independiente Away

Wins

33%

0%

Over 1.5

67%

75%

Over 2.5

0%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

25%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

67%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Liga Nacional · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Olancho

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.67	1.20	1.38
Draws	66.7%	60.0%	62.5%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.60	0.75
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.60	0.62
Total goals / match	1.67	1.20	1.38
Failed to score	0.0%	40.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	80.0%	87.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Atlético Independiente

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.25	1.12
Draws	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	1.25	0.50	0.88
Goals conceded / match	0.75	2.00	1.38
Total goals / match	2.00	2.50	2.25
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Olancho	Draw	Atlético Independiente	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	32.0%	41.0%	27.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.66–0.58 Model expected goals

13.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

21.4% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 28.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-028.8%

1-019.1%

0-116.8%

1-111.1%

2-06.3%

0-24.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Olancho	Atlético Independiente	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Olancho	0.25	0.50	0.00	0.62
Atlético Independiente	0.38	0.50	0.88	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Olancho	25%	25%	38%	12%	0%
Atlético Independiente	12%	12%	25%	38%	12%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.67 Olancho at home, 3 matches

0.25 Atlético Independiente away, 4 matches

23d Days of rest for Olancho

21d Days of rest for Atlético Independiente

— Manager of Olancho

— Manager of Atlético Independiente

0 Matches for Olancho in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Atlético Independiente in the last 14 days

7 Points for Olancho behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Atlético Independiente behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

27.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Olancho, the right bar represents Atlético Independiente.

On the ball

20 matches

3.86

corners

3.62

17.0

fouls

—

3.8

yellow cards

2.25

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Olancho	DDDLDWDW	1.38	0.75–0.62	3D
Atlético Independiente	LWDLDDWL	1.12	0.88–1.38	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Olancho	2	6	0	0	1
Atlético Independiente	1	4	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Olancho

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Atlético Independiente

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.