Alianza

Alianza

VS Scheduled Tuesday 29 Sep 202602:00

Panama 26/27 LPF · Matchday 10

Independiente

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Alianza0–0Universitario
2026-09-14	26/27	Veraguas2–1Alianza
2026-09-07	26/27	Alianza1–1San Francisco
2026-08-30	26/27	Unión Coclé2–2Alianza
2026-08-25	26/27	Alianza2–0Tauro
2026-08-17	26/27	Alianza2–4Plaza Amador
2026-08-10	26/27	San Miguelito0–0Alianza
2026-08-01	26/27	Árabe0–1Alianza

Independiente

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-21	26/27	Independiente4–3San Miguelito
2026-09-13	26/27	Independiente2–2Plaza Amador
2026-09-08	26/27	UMECIT2–0Independiente
2026-08-29	26/27	Tauro2–1Independiente
2026-08-23	26/27	Independiente3–0Unión Coclé
2026-08-15	26/27	San Francisco2–1Independiente
2026-08-11	26/27	Independiente2–2Universitario
2026-08-04	26/27	Independiente0–0Herrera

Alianza Independiente

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

75%

Both teams scored

50%

62%

Clean sheets

50%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Alianza

Home · LPF

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Alianza	2–4	Plaza Amador	1	12′ Away
7	Alianza		Árabe	2
7	Alianza	1–1	San Francisco	3	47′ Home
7	Alianza		Veraguas	4
7	Alianza	2–0	Tauro	5	10′ Home
7	Alianza	0–0	UMECIT	6	–
7 · Alianza
7	Alianza	0–0	Universitario	8	–
7	Alianza		Independiente	9
7	Alianza		San Miguelito	10
7	Alianza		Unión Coclé	11
7	Alianza		Herrera	12
7	Alianza		1st ranked East	13
7	Alianza		1st ranked West	14
7	Alianza		2nd ranked East	15
7	Alianza		2nd ranked West	16
7	Alianza		3rd ranked East	17
7	Alianza		3rd ranked West	18
7	Alianza		Winner Play-Offs 1	19
7	Alianza		Winner Play-Offs 2	20

Independiente

Away · LPF

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Plaza Amador		Independiente	9
2	Árabe		Independiente	9
3	San Francisco	2–1	Independiente	9	26′ Home
4	Veraguas	1–1	Independiente	9	17′ Home
5	Tauro	2–1	Independiente	9	11′ Home
6	UMECIT	2–0	Independiente	9	89′ Home
7	Alianza		Independiente	9
8	Universitario		Independiente	9
9 · Independiente
10	San Miguelito		Independiente	9
11	Unión Coclé		Independiente	9
12	Herrera		Independiente	9
13	1st ranked East		Independiente	9
14	1st ranked West		Independiente	9
15	2nd ranked East		Independiente	9
16	2nd ranked West		Independiente	9
17	3rd ranked East		Independiente	9
18	3rd ranked West		Independiente	9
19	Winner Play-Offs 1		Independiente	9
20	Winner Play-Offs 2		Independiente	9

Alianza Home Independiente Away

Wins

20%

0%

Over 1.5

60%

100%

Over 2.5

20%

50%

Over 3.5

20%

0%

Both teams scored

40%

75%

Clean sheets

60%

0%

Scores first

40%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

LPF · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Alianza

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.20	1.25	1.22
Draws	60.0%	50.0%	55.6%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Failed to score	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	50.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	2
46–60	2	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Independiente

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.80	0.25	1.11
Draws	60.0%	25.0%	44.4%
Goals scored / match	2.20	0.75	1.56
Goals conceded / match	1.40	1.75	1.56
Total goals / match	3.60	2.50	3.11
Failed to score	20.0%	25.0%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	50.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Alianza	Draw	Independiente	How it works
Strength (Elo)	39.0%	34.1%	26.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	31.6%	27.7%	40.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.10–1.28 Model expected goals

42.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.8% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 13.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-113.0%

0-111.9%

1-010.2%

0-09.3%

1-28.3%

0-27.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Alianza	Independiente	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1496	1491	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-3	-11	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1497	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Alianza	0.44	0.56	0.56	0.44
Independiente	0.56	1.00	0.67	0.89

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Alianza	33%	11%	22%	11%	22%
Independiente	11%	0%	22%	33%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.20 Alianza at home, 5 matches

0.25 Independiente away, 4 matches

9d Days of rest for Alianza

8d Days of rest for Independiente

— Manager of Alianza

— Manager of Independiente

1 Matches for Alianza in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Independiente in the last 14 days

10 Points for Alianza behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Independiente behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.64 League goals per match

35.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Alianza, the right bar represents Independiente.

On the ball

20 matches

3.78

corners

4.11

13.33

fouls

13.83

2.0

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Alianza	DLDDWLDWD	1.22	1.00–1.00	1D
Independiente	WDLLWLDDD	1.11	1.56–1.56	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Alianza	2	5	2	0	0
Independiente	2	4	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Alianza

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Independiente

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.