AEL Limassol

AEL Limassol

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202617:00

Cyprus 26/27 First Division · Matchday 7

Aris

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Pafos0–2AEL Limassol
2026-09-11	26/27	AEL Limassol2–1Nea Salamis
2026-09-06	26/27	APOEL6–0AEL Limassol
2026-08-30	26/27	AEL Limassol2–0Anorthosis Famagusta

Aris

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Aris0–0Karmiotissa
2026-09-14	26/27	Ypsonas0–1Aris
2026-09-07	26/27	Aris1–4Omonia
2026-08-29	26/27	Aris2–2Apollon Limassol

AEL Limassol Aris

Wins

75%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

25%

50%

Clean sheets

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

AEL Limassol

Home · First Division

Home			Away		1st goal
3	AEL Limassol		Omonia	1
3	AEL Limassol		AEK	2
3 · AEL Limassol
3	AEL Limassol		Pafos	4
3	AEL Limassol		Apollon Limassol	5
3	AEL Limassol		Omonia 29is Maiou	6
3	AEL Limassol		Aris	7
3	AEL Limassol		APOEL	8
3	AEL Limassol		Olymp Nicosia	9
3	AEL Limassol	2–1	Nea Salamis	10	43′ Home
3	AEL Limassol		Karmiotissa	11
3	AEL Limassol	2–0	Anorthosis Famagusta	12	42′ Home
3	AEL Limassol		Ypsonas	13

Aris

Away · First Division

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Omonia		Aris	7
2	AEK		Aris	7
3	AEL Limassol		Aris	7
4	Pafos		Aris	7
5	Apollon Limassol		Aris	7
6	Omonia 29is Maiou		Aris	7
7 · Aris
8	APOEL		Aris	7
9	Olymp Nicosia		Aris	7
10	Nea Salamis		Aris	7
11	Karmiotissa		Aris	7
12	Anorthosis Famagusta		Aris	7
13	Ypsonas	0–1	Aris	7	84′ Away

AEL Limassol Home Aris Away

Wins

100%

Over 1.5

100%

0%

Over 2.5

50%

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

50%

0%

Clean sheets

50%

100%

Scores first

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First Division · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

AEL Limassol

4 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away2 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.50	2.25
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.50	3.00	1.75
Total goals / match	2.50	4.00	3.25
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Aris

4 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away1 matches	Overall4 matches
Points / match	0.67	3.00	1.25
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	2.00	0.00	1.50
Total goals / match	3.00	1.00	2.50
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	100.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 1/1 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	AEL Limassol	Draw	Aris	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	41.2%	26.5%	31.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.38–1.18 Model expected goals

46.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

51.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.6%

1-010.7%

0-19.1%

2-18.7%

0-07.7%

1-27.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	AEL Limassol	Aris	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
AEL Limassol	0.50	1.00	0.50	1.25
Aris	0.25	0.75	0.50	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
AEL Limassol	0%	0%	50%	25%	25%
Aris	25%	25%	0%	0%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 AEL Limassol at home, 2 matches

3.00 Aris away, 1 matches

37d Days of rest for AEL Limassol

35d Days of rest for Aris

— Manager of AEL Limassol

— Manager of Aris

0 Matches for AEL Limassol in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Aris in the last 14 days

3 Points for AEL Limassol behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

7 Points for Aris behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

3.11 League goals per match

37.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents AEL Limassol, the right bar represents Aris.

On the ball

20 matches

2.0

corners

4.0

9.75

fouls

16.0

2.67

yellow cards

3.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
AEL Limassol	WWLW	2.25	1.50–1.75	2W
Aris	DWLD	1.25	1.00–1.50	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
AEL Limassol	2	1	1	0	0
Aris	0	3	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

AEL Limassol

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Aris

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.